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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Germany and Austria heading for crisis - Austrian gov telling citizens they are headed for "a deep and complex energy crisis that the world has never seen before.”


GERMANY is "facing the biggest crisis the country has ever had", trade bodies warned amid growing panic over the threat of a full shutdown of Russian gas flow.​

BDA ( Confederation of German Employers' Associations) President Rainer Dulger told national newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung: "It looks as if Russia is severely reducing gas or will not supply any more in the long run.

"We are facing the biggest crisis the country has ever had.

"We have to be honest and say – we will lose the prosperity we had for years for the time being."

 
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I know a lot of folks here trade fairly frequently and I’m not trying to talk anyone out of their investment strategy but here is an article that I found interesting. It looks back and discusses how “top” companies change over time and the possible pitfalls of being under diversified. I do have about 18% of my portfolio in individual stocks but I’m basically buy and hold unless I see a fundamental change in the company or industry.

 
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I know a lot of folks here trade fairly frequently and I’m not trying to talk anyone out of their investment strategy but here is an article that I found interesting. It looks back and discusses how “top” companies change over time and the possible pitfalls of being under diversified. I do have about 18% of my portfolio in individual stocks but I’m basically buy and hold unless I see a fundamental change in the company or industry.

Thanks for posting, will check it out. I hold 14 individual stocks (including my current company via options/RSUs), but this only represents about 5% of our investment assets. Everything else is funds and ETFs. Honestly, as I get more and more knowledgeable and comfortable with leverage ETFs plays, I may get rid of some stocks to focus on these 2x and 3x market/sector opportunities.
 
That’s an opinion piece and go look up some of the other stuff that Henderson has written…interesting law professor. And From what I’ve seen, “most” actually support Twitter’s position in some way, shape, or form. But it doesn’t really matter to me. I didn’t say Musk would pay hundreds of billions. But nobody wants to be entrenched in litigation for years whether you are worth $1M or $100B. The depositions, responses, court appearances, etc. are all a distraction to the many businesses he has. Not good no matter how you slice it.

He should be worried. See Chancellor Kathleen McCormick‘s ruling on specific performance in DecoPac. Forced a buyer seeking to walk to close, And she’s the Chancellor on this case.
 
He should be worried. See Chancellor Kathleen McCormick‘s ruling on specific performance in DecoPac. Forced a buyer seeking to walk to close, And she’s the Chancellor on this case.
In 3-4 years when this case reaches SCOTUS, Musk will be able to walk away with little to no penalty.
 
Some important companies reporting this week:

What’s ahead​

We’ll get earnings from Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Halliburton (HAL) before the opening bell Tuesday. Danaher (DHR) reports before the bell Thursday. Here are some other key earnings reports and economic numbers to watch in the week ahead.
Monday, July 18
  • Before the bell: Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Charles Schwab (SCHW)
  • After the bell: IBM (IBM)
Tuesday, July 19
  • Before the bell: Lockheed Martin (LMT), Novartis (NVS), Hasbro (HAS)
  • After the bell: Netflix (NFLX), JB Hunt (JBHT)
  • 8:30 a.m. ET: Housing starts and building Permits (June)
Wednesday, July 20
  • Before the bell: Abbott Labs (ABT), Baker Hughes (BKR), Biogen (BIIB), M&T Bank (MTB), Northern Trust (NTRS)
  • After the bell: Tesla (TSLA), United Airlines (UAL), CSX (CSX), Alcoa (AA), Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
  • 10 a.m. ET: Existing home sales (June)
Thursday, July 21
  • Before the bell: AT&T (T), Dow (DOW), American Airlines (AAL), Nucor (NUE), DR Horton (DHI), Travelers (TRV), SAP (SAP), AutoNation (AN), Philip Morris (PM), Freeport McMoRan (FCX), Union Pacific (UNP), Nokia (NOK), Domino’s (DPZ)
  • After the bell: Snap (SNAP), Mattel (MAT), Boston Beer (SAM)
  • 8:30 a.m. EST: Initial Jobless claims (week ended July 16)
Friday, July 22
  • Before the bell: Twitter (TWTR), Verizon (VZ), HCA (HCA), American Express (AXP), Schlumberger (SLB), Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)
 
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Prediction by analyst on Fast Money on Twitter litigation. 4-5 billion from Musk…4 billions stock Musk has and 1 billion breakup fee.
 
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Seems reasonable. Make the deal and all parties move on.
I know some were saying it would get settled for less than the billion break up fee but I thought it would likely be more. I think that kind of deal is plausible.

It’s not a game and make he him feel the pinch.
 
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He should be worried. See Chancellor Kathleen McCormick‘s ruling on specific performance in DecoPac. Forced a buyer seeking to walk to close, And she’s the Chancellor on this case.

Yesterday, Chancellor McCormick granted TWTR’s request for an expedited 5-day trial to begin in October. Musk‘s team wanted to delay the start of the trial to next year.
 
Are people in FOMO mode?
Someone mentioned here a little while back, and I agreed with it, that a rally up to 4000-4100 level wasn't out of the question. It bounced off some support levels as well. Now it's hovering at the 50DMA and further rally up to that area mentioned is possible but if it went significantly beyond that I'd be surprised.

Lot of names have been beaten down and some short covering might juice it a little as well.
 
I’ve been moving more assets into the market the last two weeks and now close to 37%. I believe many of the Tech stocks have hit their low for the year. It appears the Tech stocks have done very well the last few days which is encouraging. I guess the rate increase might lower the market again but feel people that wanted to sell have sold already. I am starting to doubt the 30% bottom and if it goes lower then 25% is the low.
 
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T has taken VZ down with it. It's broken that 48 level that I thought was a support area. Revisit of the earlier year lows in the 45s?
 
Questioned this awhile back, can you trust Stankey's projections. Free cash flow estimates reduced from 16B to 14B.

Leave it to Stankey to talk doom and gloom when they put up the most subs in 10 years. His CNBC interview made no sense unless you tell me he’s purposely trying to reduce the share price so he can take the company private and wipe out the dividend that is sucking the company dry. Why even go on CNBC if the stock tanks every time he opens his mouth?
 
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Leave it to Stankey to talk doom and gloom when they put up the most subs in 10 years. His CNBC interview made no sense unless you tell me he’s purposely trying to reduce the share price so he can take the company private and wipe out the dividend that is sucking the company dry. Why even go on CNBC if the stock tanks every time he opens his mouth?
Every time he is scheduled for an interview, short the stock! :)
 
Leave it to Stankey to talk doom and gloom when they put up the most subs in 10 years. His CNBC interview made no sense unless you tell me he’s purposely trying to reduce the share price so he can take the company private and wipe out the dividend that is sucking the company dry. Why even go on CNBC if the stock tanks every time he opens his mouth?
Why do you get the idea that T is going private? I haven’t seen anything about that. This sounds like your M&A deals in the media space lol. Btw I do think M&A in media is possible and maybe even likely.
 
Why do you get the idea that T is going private? I haven’t seen anything about that. This sounds like your M&A deals in the media space lol. Btw I do think M&A in media is possible and maybe even likely.
Nah, I was just spit-balling trying to make sense of a situation that simply makes no sense. Every time the guys speaks, he makes AT&T sound like a train-wreck even when they put up good numbers. It’s almost as if he does it on purpose.
 
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I think you hate BTC more than TSLA, so maybe it was a good day for you?
I don’t hate BTC or TSLA. Although I do dislike Musk. Just makes no sense given the Technoking and Master of Coin. Just a Musk crypto pump and dump scheme.
 
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