The way I see this, from a 40,000 ft view, this is how the Administration will Justify Flood returning.
REGULAR SEASON coaching records: 3 winning seasons, 3 Bowls, just one losing season
Entry to power conference yielded one winning season in first year with senior dominated team. Second year was coaches first losing record, but young team decimated by injuries , suspension
Year 1: 9-3 with L in bowl game - Big East Co-Champs
Year 2: 6-6 with L in bowl game to Notre Dame
Year 3: 7-5 with a WIN in bowl game (FIRST YEAR in BIG TEN w senior dominated team)
Year 4: 5-7, 4-8 or 3-7 (2nd year in B1G w/ young team decimated by injuries , suspension)
Enters B1G with experienced team, does well with bowl win in first year. Exceeds expectations. Second year in Major conference with young team was first losing season. Vegas predicted 4 wins with. So results should not be unexpected in 2015.
Influence of membership in B1G on recruiting has largely not hit the field yet.
Nov 2012 entry to B1G
Feb 2013 Very little to no influence from being in B1G on Feb 2013 signing day class and 2013 and following Seasons.
Feb 2014, HS Seniors have had only 1 yr to absorb RU to B1g.. so only moderate influence on recruiting This class were True Frosh & redshirted in 2014 Season, and Redshirts Fr & sophs in 2015 season – So only marginal influence on the field in either 2014 or 2015 should be expected from B1G recruiting in this class
Feb 2015. B1G influence on recruits should start to take hold, but not Fully .. kids from this class are only True Frosh and redshirts during 2015 season so influence from this First B1G class would largely not be seen until 2016 and more in 17&18
Bottom line with recruiting. Flood players currently on the field in position to make impact (Sr, Jr’s etc) were largely recruited in period of conference uncertainty. Kids in these classes envisioned RU as Uconn is now, in the AAC. So first influence of B1G recruiting should really only start showing in 2016 then more strongly in 17, so first full impact Not until 2017 Team.
And even comparing 14 to 15… results are not that different going from Sr dominated team to young team with 1st yr QB. Of all 10 games played. 7 Had similar results to 2014, 2 have been worse, and one outcome better. So on the whole, there has only been a one game regression from last year with a much younger team. The administration will surely look at this in this way.
Norfolk St 15/ Howard 14 - Both Easy Wins - SIMILAR RESULT
Wash St 14/ 15 Both games down to the Wire SIMILAR RESULT
Penn St Close in 14, Big Loss 15 WORSE RESULT
Kansas 15 / Tulane 14 - Both Easy Wins SIMILAR RESULT
Michigan State Close in 15 – Blow out 14 BETTER RESULT
Indiana Win in 15 & 14 SIMILAR RESULT
Ohio St Blow out both yrs SIMILAR RESULT
Wisconsin Blow out both yrs SIMILAR RESULT
Michigan Close win 14 Blown out 15 WORSE RESULT
Nebraska Loss in Both Yrs – (Closer in 15) SIMILAR RESULT
I think he will be back.
REGULAR SEASON coaching records: 3 winning seasons, 3 Bowls, just one losing season
Entry to power conference yielded one winning season in first year with senior dominated team. Second year was coaches first losing record, but young team decimated by injuries , suspension
Year 1: 9-3 with L in bowl game - Big East Co-Champs
Year 2: 6-6 with L in bowl game to Notre Dame
Year 3: 7-5 with a WIN in bowl game (FIRST YEAR in BIG TEN w senior dominated team)
Year 4: 5-7, 4-8 or 3-7 (2nd year in B1G w/ young team decimated by injuries , suspension)
Enters B1G with experienced team, does well with bowl win in first year. Exceeds expectations. Second year in Major conference with young team was first losing season. Vegas predicted 4 wins with. So results should not be unexpected in 2015.
Influence of membership in B1G on recruiting has largely not hit the field yet.
Nov 2012 entry to B1G
Feb 2013 Very little to no influence from being in B1G on Feb 2013 signing day class and 2013 and following Seasons.
Feb 2014, HS Seniors have had only 1 yr to absorb RU to B1g.. so only moderate influence on recruiting This class were True Frosh & redshirted in 2014 Season, and Redshirts Fr & sophs in 2015 season – So only marginal influence on the field in either 2014 or 2015 should be expected from B1G recruiting in this class
Feb 2015. B1G influence on recruits should start to take hold, but not Fully .. kids from this class are only True Frosh and redshirts during 2015 season so influence from this First B1G class would largely not be seen until 2016 and more in 17&18
Bottom line with recruiting. Flood players currently on the field in position to make impact (Sr, Jr’s etc) were largely recruited in period of conference uncertainty. Kids in these classes envisioned RU as Uconn is now, in the AAC. So first influence of B1G recruiting should really only start showing in 2016 then more strongly in 17, so first full impact Not until 2017 Team.
And even comparing 14 to 15… results are not that different going from Sr dominated team to young team with 1st yr QB. Of all 10 games played. 7 Had similar results to 2014, 2 have been worse, and one outcome better. So on the whole, there has only been a one game regression from last year with a much younger team. The administration will surely look at this in this way.
Norfolk St 15/ Howard 14 - Both Easy Wins - SIMILAR RESULT
Wash St 14/ 15 Both games down to the Wire SIMILAR RESULT
Penn St Close in 14, Big Loss 15 WORSE RESULT
Kansas 15 / Tulane 14 - Both Easy Wins SIMILAR RESULT
Michigan State Close in 15 – Blow out 14 BETTER RESULT
Indiana Win in 15 & 14 SIMILAR RESULT
Ohio St Blow out both yrs SIMILAR RESULT
Wisconsin Blow out both yrs SIMILAR RESULT
Michigan Close win 14 Blown out 15 WORSE RESULT
Nebraska Loss in Both Yrs – (Closer in 15) SIMILAR RESULT
I think he will be back.