I don’t agree on Grant. Jury is still out.
First of all - you cannot cherry pick his 3 point data the way you did to make it look better. That’s arbitrary. You decided it made sense to cut out a random collection of early games because they were his first ones and assume those are outliers. The flaw in that though is that he was also 3 of 24 over the last 12 games (12.5%). He had a stretch of 6 back to back games where he shot well from the perimeter and only made 3 threes combined in the other 15 games.
Second - your saying Grant’s numbers are broadly likely to translate based on remaining in the BIG, but the problem with that assumption is, like Martini at Princeton, Grant’s field goals outside of the 10 threes broken down above, was mostly created by taking advantage of mismatches that arose when teams overplayed Dylan and Ace. He only had 39 total 2 point FGs - most of them were uncontested back door cuts. Can he score in other ways - maybe? But we didn’t see much of that yet. I think it’s probably safe to say the types of opportunities he had to score uncontested at the rim in halfcourt sets won’t be available as often next year without Ace and Dylan.
Finally - on Buchanan. Yes - he draws more fouls than Grant. Jordan drew fouls too. The difference to be excited about with Buchanan is that he’s a kid who made 54.6% of his FG attempts across a whole season. I don’t care that it was 2 years ago - it still happened. Tyson and Dercack may have scored a lot at the low major level, but they never came close to producing that type of efficiency.
It is more likely that Grant is more productive without Ace, Dylan Harper and Lathan Sommerville vs requiring them to be on the court in order to be successful.
We don't know what Grant is like with more touches, more opportunities and flexibility within the offense.
And, as of today, he probably projects to be more productive, than other "developmental players", at RU like Eugene Omoyuri and Mawot Mag.......I won't ever say "Grant is going to be better than Eugene or Mag", but there is literally no difference between where Grant started on his stat line, vs the other 2 players.
Eugene and Mag were VERY hard workers and Eugene worked at a level that many RU fans "assumed" is the standard across all players......he got more out of his ability than any one player that took advantage of minutes available, during a rebuild, than any player I can remember. He does NOT make that development, without playing through a ton of mistakes in a ton of minutes, during a losing season.
While next year doesn't appear to be a 19 to 20 year season, Grant CAN take advantage of the minutes available and develop into a player that was not highlights because of the other 3 freshman.
