BACATOLOGY 3/11: NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS
- Thread starter bac2therac
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Same ref crew that had to decide on the Marquette basket at end of game yesterday. Lol.
St Johns gets it close and then UConn just steps into another gear that I'm not sure anyone can compete with
Of the teams I've seen thus far I think only Houston has a chance against them.
here is the problem with St Johns....the wins simply are not there....just Creighton and then wins over shu and providence..its not an overwhelming profile, they beat Utah ooc
they went 3-10 in Q1 and one of those wins is at Butler...if you put Providence in, they were just 3-10 vs the field
what if providence wins tonight, what if new mexico wins, what if pitt wins, what if texasa&m wins.
shu has better wins despite metrics not as good, plus they beat them 2 out of3, it would be sham if st johns got in over them
all really really really bad news for St Johns and potentially seton hall
As you guys learned last year, when you leave it in the hands of the committee there's always a chance.
they lost alot...they are just 6-11 vs Q1/2 coming into tonight..that aint good compared to almost everyone on the bubble plus a road mark of 2-8
remember they are not selecting the best teams for at larges, they select the best ones that fit the criteria and the metrics game they play
that is why shit like Virginia will 85% chance be in the tourney over better schools including Indiana State, Pitt, possibly St Johns
that is why shit like Virginia will 85% chance be in the tourney over better schools including Indiana State, Pitt, possibly St Johns
and for those saying well Seton Hall beat UConn...yeah well last year RU won at Purdue which is one of the best wins if not best win by any school and they had like 5 other wins vs field and the net was decent and look what happened.
20 points and 9 assists playing in front of a sellout crowd at MSG.
top seed Norfolk State has lost to sub 500 Howard in the MEAC semis. North Carolina Central is now the projected AQ and will take on Delaware State for the right to face Howard tomorrow.
We'd be feeling a little better for sure. You also may have gotten in last year had you beaten us.
Both team had scorers at every position.This was a great college basketball game in front of a sellout crowd at MSG.
4-7 in Q1
5-3 Q2
9-10 Q1/2 is very good. The win over Purdue is excellent, other home wins over Illinois, Dayton, Michigan State, Nebraska. The loss to Chicago State sucks but its their only blemish
I do not like that they even though the road mark is 4-7 which is passable, they do not have a road win vs anyone in the field. 14-10 Q1/2/3. Yes that 332 ooc is ugly and they would be the highest ever I believe..now Pitt is 344 right now with a couple road quality wins but not the depth of wins Northwestern has.
However the big thing I come back to here is the SOR is 29 and their other predictive metrics are solid. The overall net isnt good because of that Q4 loss. Could effect them in seeding where they will likely be on the 8/9 line but its possible they are a 10 too. I think they are in like 98% but they are not quite as safe as they probably think they are.
North Texas up on FAU 43-41 👀
everyone has just assumed FAU was a lock but this may need a reassessment if they lose
everyone has just assumed FAU was a lock but this may need a reassessment if they lose
I am rooting against Ohio State because I do not have to want to deal with yet another bubble team winning....though even if they win I think here is another "you cannot make a resume in a few days". I know they had wins over Purdue, Alabama, and Michigan State earlier BUT they were nowhere close to getting coming into Tuesday...they were like 10-12th team out.
see below....definitely closer but there is so much winning go around tonight. They would only be up to 7-11 in Q1/2, still lower then everyone else
I think tonight is it. Tomorrows results will count. If Providence, wins they are in, If Pitt wins they are in, If A&M wins they are in. If New Mexico wins they are in.
this is quite the unprecidented year for bubbles
The one you want back is the 3ot loss to Creighton. You had that won in the 1st and 2nd ot if you hit a couple of free throws.
A&M is up 14 over Kentucky...5 Quad 3 losses by damned...this would be their 6 Q1 win and 13th in Q1/2
Projected MAC AQ Akron down 26-16 to Ohio
has any league diminished more in the past decade than the MAC
has any league diminished more in the past decade than the MAC
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