BACATOLOGY: 3/6 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS***RUTGERS PROJECTED 11 SEED***

[RU23]

Games today (in rough order of importance), experts please check me:

We want Oregon State Over ASU
BC over UNC
OK over OK State
OSU over Wiscy
GT over Pitt
Va Tech over NC State
SHU over Depaul
Wake over Cuse
Minny over Nebby (questionable)
TT over WVU (questionable)

 

[fatsam98]

It won't happen, but would like Nova to lose to Georgetown.

Why do you want Nebraska to lose? To avoid a bid steal?

 

[MoreCowbellRU]

Very thorough analysis. Appreciate the work Bac

 

[kcg88]

It won't happen, but would like Nova to lose to Georgetown.

Why do you want Nebraska to lose? To avoid a bid steal?

Is Minnesota close to the Q4 line? I'd think beating us and keeping it close against Wisconsin should mean some breathing room.

Guess I'll look it up myself. They're 231st. Cutoff line is 240-241. So they at least need to not get demolished.

 

[fluoxetine]

Bubble Games
Oklahoma (45%) over Oklahoma St.

Georgia Tech (26%) over Pittsburgh
Ohio St. (51%) over Wisconsin
Oregon St. (15%) over Arizona St.

Boston College (20%) over North Carolina
Virginia Tech (44%) over North Carolina St.

Texas Tech (35%) over West Virginia

 

[fluoxetine]

Other things I guess:

Seton Hall (79%) over DePaul [this one is questionable I guess?]
Minnesota (23%) over Nebraska
Rider (73%) over Saint Peter's

 

[bac2therac]

The biggest of day

OHIO STATE OVER WISCONSIN

 

[bac2therac]

3/8 BRACKET UPDATE

SOUTH REGION – Louisville		MIDWEST REGION – Kansas City
Birmingham		Des Moines
1) Alabama		1) Kansas
16) Alcorn State-Howard		16) SE Missouri State-FDU
8) Illinois		8) Florida Atlantic
9) Memphis		9) Boise State
Orlando		Orlando
5) St Mary's		5) Miami
12) Charleston		12) Oral Roberts
4) Virginia		4) Indiana
13) Sam Houston State		13) Toledo
Greensboro		Greensboro
6) Duke		6) Creighton
11) Rutgers		11) North Carolina State-Wisconsin
3) Tennessee		3) Kansas State
14) Furman		14) Kennesaw State
Des Moines		Denver
7) Illinois		7) Iowa
10) USC		10) West Virginia
2) Baylor		2) Arizona
15) Colgate		15) Vermont
WEST REGION – Las Vegas		EAST REGION – New York
Birmingham		Columbus
1) Houston		1) Purdue
16) Northern Kentucky		16) Texas A&M Corpus Christi
8) Arkansas		8) Missouri
9) Maryland		9) Memphis
Albany		Albany
5) Iowa State		5) San Diego State
12) VCU		12) Drake
4) Xavier		4) Connecticut
13) Yale		13) Iona
Sacramento		Columbus
6) Northwestern		6) TCU
11) Mississippi State		11) Penn State-Utah State
3) Gonzaga		3) Marquette
14) UC Irvine		14) Louisiana
Denver		Sacramento
7) Kentucky		7) Texas A&M
10) Providence		10) Pittsburgh
2) Texas		2) UCLA
15) UNC Asheville		15) Montana State

LAST 4 BYES: RUTGERS, MISSISSIPPI STATE, PITTSBURGH, PROVIDENCE
LAST 4 IN: UTAH STATE, PENN STATE, WISCONSIN, NORTH CAROLINA STATE

FIRST 4 OUT: NEVADA, ARIZONA STATE, MICHIGAN, NORTH CAROLINA
NEXT 6 OUT: OREGON, VANDERBILT, OKLAHOMA STATE, CLEMSON, NEW MEXICO, VIRGINIA TECH

 

[bac2therac]

Well this is interesting. Bracketville Dave has us as a 12 seed in Dayton (vs Wiscy) this morning.

Win and we'd be in Albany vs #5 TCU.

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yeah its possible they can be an 11, not sure their NET and overall conference rank of 26 justifies it though. Do have a win over Va Tech though and while Oral Roberts scheduled well and is in a conference ranked higher at 22 they are lacking that bigger win to push them to an 11 too.

The committee is certainly allowed to split the play in games on the 11 and 12 lines.

 

[bac2therac]

Seton Hall drops a spot to 75...better beat up on De Paul tonight

 

[koko2315]

ORU running strong

 

[RutgersNo1]

Too bad we didn’t get Bobi Klintman.

 

[fatsam98]

Syracuse loses to Wake at the buzzer.

That's a shame.

 

[RutgersNo1]

Suck it Boeheim

 

[koko2315]

Knives out for Jimmy B on ESPN now...Greenberg calls it time for him to move on and let someone rebuild the program

 

[goru7]

One bid stealer no one has mentioned is Washington State . They have won 6 in a row. They have a real good big named Gueye who can hang with Ballo on Arizona and Bona on UCLA and played both of them tough. Will probably beat Cal by 30 today and get Bubble Oregon tomorrow before UCLA. Really outside shot but PAC 12 has been hard to figure out this year.

 

[fatsam98]

Knives out for Jimmy B on ESPN now...Greenberg calls it time for him to move on and let someone rebuild the program

Noooooo!!!! He's doing a tremendous job there imho

 

[fatsam98]

Here are the last two buckets for the tie and the win 😍

 

[kcg88]

If Boeheim retires I assume Pikiell will put in a call to Chris Bell (who we recruited pretty hard, he went by Chris Bunch in high school).

 

[kcg88]

One bid stealer no one has mentioned is Washington State . They have won 6 in a row. They have a real good big named Gueye who can hang with Ballo on Arizona and Bona on UCLA and played both of them tough. Will probably beat Cal by 30 today and get Bubble Oregon tomorrow before UCLA. Really outside shot but PAC 12 has been hard to figure out this year.

One of Oregon/Washington State will be two wins away from crashing the party. Need Arizona to hold the line on the bottom half of the bracket so Oregon/WSU have to go through both UCLA and Arizona.

 

[fatsam98]

If Boeheim retires I assume Pikiell will put in a call to Chris Bell (who we recruited pretty hard, he went by Chris Bunch in high school).

From the post game presser, he certainly made it sound like he's done.

 

[kcg88]

Pitt up 10 on Georgia Tech. They're locked in as long as they avoid the bad loss here. A loss to Duke in the next round doesn't hurt them.

 

[dconifer]

Too bad we didn’t get Bobi Klintman.

I forgot about that kid. He was committed to Maryland until Mark Turgeon left. Klintman turned out to be pretty good...

 

[G- RUnit]

Jaylen Clark of UCLA out for the season.
Seeding repercussions?

 

[DennisHajekRC84]

Pitt up 10 on Georgia Tech. They're locked in as long as they avoid the bad loss here. A loss to Duke in the next round doesn't hurt them.

Announcer talking about them like a bubble team. I guess that's consistent with needing to win.. an open lock?

 

[DennisHajekRC84]

Here are the last two buckets for the tie and the win 😍

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Wake- Miami
One team we crushed and the other..no.1 seed we almost beat on the road without two starters. Oh what was..

 

[RU23]

Jaylen Clark of UCLA out for the season.
Seeding repercussions?

Makes it much easier for a PAC 12 bid stealer now.

He was their second best overall player and best defensive player by far.

Only 6 players on UCLA played significant minutes and he was one of them, so they’ll likely rest the main 5 now a bit and try to get some others ready to contribute for NCAA’s.

 

[fatsam98]

Pitt up 10 on Georgia Tech. They're locked in as long as they avoid the bad loss here. A loss to Duke in the next round doesn't hurt them.

GaTech on a 10-2 run to start the 2nd. Lead down to 5

 

[RU23]

Announcer talking about them like a bubble team. I guess that's consistent with needing to win.. an open lock?

Not an expert but seems like Pitt would be bubble (likely in) with a loss and a stone-cold lock with a win.

 

[kcg88]

Not an expert but seems like Pitt would be bubble (likely in) with a loss and a stone-cold lock with a win.

Yup. The problem is Georgia Tech is a Q3 game and not a good Q3.

 

[bac2therac]

Pitt can't afford to lose this because they could get sucked out of the field

 

[fluoxetine]

Tied now, let's go GT.

 

[bac2therac]

Game over

 

[bac2therac]

Pitt will probably be a 10 seed

 

[bigmatt718]

Cal at 3-28 might be the worst P5 team in recent memory. Our Eddie Jordan teams would stomp them into the mud. I knew they sucked but not to that magnitude. I saw they're playing WSU today.

 

[Erial_Lion]

Cal at 3-28 might be the worst P5 team in recent memory. Our Eddie Jordan teams would stomp them into the mud. I knew they sucked but not to that magnitude. I saw they're playing WSU today.

Louisville says "hold my beer"...

 

[bac2therac]

Come thru Seton Hall

 

[fatsam98]

DePaul 7/11 from 3, hopefully they cool off a bit in the 2nd half

 

[RutgersNo1]

damn seton hall sucks

 

[shields]

Cal vs Louisville .