Mag is a more versatile defender at a position where shooting / scoring is less important. Still Mag's effective FG % is over 7 points higher coming off a major injury in a down offensive year from last season. If Simpson can increase his effective FG % by 7% next year that would be awesome
Mag is a career 51% from 2 vs Simpson’s 38%
These are statistically significant differences not a percent or two
Simpson is of course the 3rd guard at best next year behind Dylan and JWill. He's much better suited as a role player unless he figures out how to shoot efficiently. I'm ok with Simpson as a bench option. There is a lot to like still about his game if he can play to strengths.
A concern is roster fit. We need a guard to play major minutes who can knock down 3's. Ace Dylan and JWill can score and penetrate and dish. Teams will collapse on them if we don't have shooters. Another reason a late season breakout from Gavin would be so nice to see to give a more realistic hope that he can turn the corner next year
Those are numbers, in shooting percentages that isolate 2 point shots, which Mag or a forward who doesn't take as many shots, should have a better shooting percentage. It's like comparing Cliffs shooting percentage at a center who gets dunks.....the % in terms of an actual "shot" is skewed.
Why would one player who plays a wing or forward position, not have to shoot as well from the perimeter as a guard?? Shouldn't the wing have a higher shooting percentage from 3?? The wing is in a place where he is not handling the ball or shoots an easier 3 pointer than a guard that typically has a defender guarding them closely, while they're asked to shoot.
Are teams guarding the player off the ball with the same amount of intensity as the player being guarded with the ball?? Common sense will tell you, the player WITH the ball, is likely to shoot a lower percentage, than someone else off the ball.....in theory shooting percentages should be highest from Center to PF, to Wing forward to shooting guard to PG. A bigger player that typically plays closer to the basket should shoot a higher %.
Outside of shooting percentage, there literally are no categories where Mag is currently better than Simpson and Simpson is a sophomore who I believe will improve again into next year. I have no statistics or evidence that Mag is improving in a bunch of categories from sophs to senior and now 5th year senior next year.
Plus/ Minus.....Simpson on the court has better numbers by a lot.
3 point percentage this season, slightly better with Simpson, which is a big problem and why BOTH Simpson and Mag could he argued should play less, not the same starter minutes (they're averaging the same amount of MPG).
Simpson is a better handler of the ball, better passer, better defender on the ball and similar rebounder, despite playing guard.
My question is why should Mag start, but Simpson shouldn't, in your scenario, if Mag doesn't do many things better than Simpson??
