Read the thread. Not a hint of whining, so yeah, your memory sucks. Also, not sure why you seem so wound up about a self-congratulatory post - hundreds per week on this board, but for some reason mine annoyed you. Whatever. And nothing premature about calling it a bad business choice - the ratings speak for themselves, which was completely predictable - NY Eve is simply a very bad choice for these semis. Case closed.
https://rutgers.forums.rivals.com/threads/cfb-playoffs-being-on-new-years-eve.60803/#post-1266870
So did you link directly to that post, instead of the greater thread, because you didn't want me to read the part where a different poster called you out for whining? Well, I did read that part, both then and now, and misremembered nothing. And you even continued whining into the post about the ratings drop.
You answered your own bolded question quite well. Could have been any one of those "hundreds per week" that I targeted, happened to be yours. Will do the same in the future when another inevitable self-congrats post annoys me. Seriously, no one in the entire world cares that you were right on the Internet, not even your mother. Just make the argument; enough with the "I told you so" and "I'm super, extra special because I was right" posts. They're excruciating.
If you really, really need a single reason, though, the "No way, said I" phrasing just pushed the overall smug, self aggrandizing tone a little too far.
As to the meat of the argument, definitely premature. That 36 percent drop was compared to last year - the very first playoffs and top rated cable programming in history, which included an intriguing upset. The teams were also better last year, from a ratings perspective. This year was primed to drop even without the NYE date, but NYE certainly didn't help. NYD was pre-established as game day, whereas this was the first time playing these level of games on NYE. I'll bet that a lot of casual fans didn't find out until too late. I'd say I'm a little above a casual fan and didn't realize until the holiday week, when they were playing the ads non-stop. Don't necessarily expect them to reach NYD numbers in the future, do expect there's plenty of room to improve. Aren't you a scientist - shouldn't you be waiting for more than two sets of loaded data before drawing definitive conclusions? Whatever we think, it seems like the CFP is committed to this idea for now