Assuming we beat Coppin State, we will be 9-4 (8-3 OOC, 1-1 B1G) heading into the final 18 Big Ten games.
You’re probably right that 11-9 overall (10-8 over the final 18 games) gets us in fairly comfortably, as most of those 18 games will be Quad 1 and 2 games. Of course, we will need to show that we can win some games on the road, and we CANNOT, MUST NOT stub our toe against Quad 3 or 4 Minnesota.
But, like Shack has been saying, we need to try and avoid the 8-9 seeds, and preferably avoid the 7 and 10 seeds too, if we want a better chance of advancing to the Sweet 16.
To get a 6 seed or better, we will need to go at least 12-8 or 13-7 in league for an overall record of 20-11 or 21-10 heading into the Big Ten tournament, and then win at least one game there to finish up 21-12 or 22-11.
I know, getting way ahead of myself here. Beat Coppin State!!