Best guess is sometime in April for healthy people under 65, who aren't in high risk occupations and have no significant underlying conditions (that includes me). So I figure 4 more months of this crap. Obviously, big variables are actual delivered supply and actual demand.
Now add J&J in January and Sanafi in February which equates to anyone who wants a vaccine in March/April can get it.
Half the state will have or had Covid by January with half not even knowing they had it.
That's a huge assumption. And remember stop looking at US population but world population. Not any vaccines will be US only. They will be spread out over the globe.
Like with everything, the US gets the lion share (and have already paid for it). Pfizer, J&J, Moderna, all US companies. The biggest economy in the world matters. Also, many other countries won't be able to distribute Pfizer and Moderna's vaccines, so more for us.
Yes. Likely sooner (perhaps 4th of July weekend).
I actually read both of your recent posts! Good logical analysis. End of March may be our inflection point with the virus.
And remember, J&J and Sanofi will be one shot vaccines. The supply will go twice as far as compared to Pfizer and Moderna.
Well to be confident in all that you have to assume there will be zero issues going forward, right? Let's say they hit 80-90% of the projections you have to figure out how much is for the U.S. Based on the current cut Pfizer allocated 50% of December allotment to USA. So for every projection of production divide by 4. (50% to the US and 2 doses reduce that by another 50%)
Wrong. Pfizer is a shared company project. The fact is that the US got half of current production. Great Britain already approved it. They have theirs in distribution already.
Will those first in line have a choice? Some have expressed reservations about the mRNA vaccines, as up until now, no commercially available vaccines have used mRNA.
It's not an equally shared project. Pfizer >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> BioNTech. They already announced where their supply is going over the next 3-4 months. Guess what, it is disproportionately going to us. Can't really argue about this.
Well, you will have a choice, but you will need to wait a few months for that choice.
Stop being foolish. As per your post, you whined about competing with the rest of the world. The US represents 4% of the world population, but is getting about 50% of Pfizer doses. And FYI, even comparing us to the EU + GB, they have about 175 million more people. Once again, we are getting way over our "fair share".
Clueless. You over rate NJ over other states in football, sports. Hate the surrounding states but You are wrong. You are doing the same here. USA will not get the Lions share but an equal share. We found that out this week. Ignore it if must. But you are just being stupid. This isn't a US problem. It's a world problem. To think that all resources go mostly to the US is just a denial of fact.
Once several are available, presumably the market then takes over and people will have a choice. For Dec/Jan, at least, it's Pfizer or Moderna's mRNA vaccines and that's it.
The USA is already getting the lions share. You are already wrong. Case closed.
Do some math. The EU is already approved the vaccine. People will be getting the first shots tomorrow. Keep being a homer idiot.
+1
So generally when they are available pharmacies will be able to carry all of them?
I bet choice will be more theoretical than practical. I assume most hospitals and administration locations will only get 1 type of vaccine at a time. Sure, you can wait and seek out other options, but those will be further away (and there may be restrictions on who can go where).
So why do the numbers not support it. From a 100 million doses from Pfizer turns into less than 25% . Just 20 million max in the US by the end of this year. Yet they will be vaccinating people tomorrow in Europe. This isn't an Olympic event. It a world wide event with worldwide companies controlling distribution.
If both are available to you at the same time, do you have a preference for mRNA or the J&J vaccine, and if so, why?
Need to see the data on efficacy and safety on all of them to compare and we haven't seen all that yet. But if I could get one today, I'd get either mRNA vaccine in a heartbeat. But I'll have to wait 3-4 months and by then we'll have much more data.
Paid for? So why did we lose half of Pfizer first release. You are to stupid to understand that the US doesn't have a monopoly on private companies. Pfizer will fill there commitment on their terms not yours
The Pfizer vaccine is safe and very effective. The side effect profile that I posted above is very clean. Assuming that the J&J vaccine has similar data, I would ask for that one just since it is only one shot. However, I'm not going to turn down the Pfizer vaccine just to wait for J&J.
