OT: Stock and Investment Talk
- Thread starter RU-05
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Chicken littles and bears! Great buying opportunity for the common sense investors.
I wouldn't be so quick to label sellers. If inflation is more than transitory, there'll be some growth stock pain for a awhile.
With a long time horizon, it's buy, buy, buy, especially since so many companies continue to crush earnings which normally rule the day.
I am looking to buy some stock. but I am not sure where to go nowadays. I already have a fairly well diversified portfolio of around 400 k. I don’t want to buy stocks above $500 a share. Any recommendations for lower priced stocks say $10-$50 a share? I am more comfortable there.
Not to get too complicated, but most online brokerages now allow for the purchase of fractional shares.
Is a dividend important?
Risk tolerance?
How do you feel about ETFs, either sector or market?
Not a good way to select stocks. A price of a stock has nothing to do with value and vice versa.
agree 100%. it’s part of the equation in conjunction with the number of shares outstanding, earnings and earnings growth potential. I have heard many times from people that say they don’t buy a stock because the price is too high. The best example for Southern would be that: is a company’s stock cheaper when they do a 5 for 1 stock split when they have a $1 million shares outstanding at a $100 a share for a market cap of $100 million? The answer is no. In this scenario, after a 5 for 1 split, the stock price is lower (now $20 a share), but with 5 million shares now outstanding, the company has same market cap of $100 million. I don’t even focus on the actual share price, I look at price to earrings ratio (among other metrics). I generally have a fixed dollar amount that I like to use for each time I buy a new stock or add to a current stock, and just divide that amount by the current price to determine the number of shares to buy. I don’t care if it’s $500 a share where I get 10 shares or $50 a share where I get 100 shares.
Disney earnings miss and slowing growth at Disney+....blip or trend? Pandemic streaming surge wearing off? Down about 5% premarket. In that area it's about 20% off the highs from last spring.
www.cnbc.com
Disney makes the trend clear: Growth is slowing for streaming services
Disney, WarnerMedia and ViacomCBS all added subscribers in the third quarter, but streaming growth slowed from the prior quarter.
PYPL was in the red but held up decently and V, MA finished green yesterday. Think I'm gonna wait on PYPL and let it play out a bit more.
Lots of competition in the streaming space. Disney has also been doing some weird things with their theme parks and impacting guest experiences.Disney earnings miss and slowing growth at Disney+....blip or trend? Pandemic streaming surge wearing off? Down about 5% premarket. In that area it's about 20% off the highs from last spring.
Disney makes the trend clear: Growth is slowing for streaming services
Disney, WarnerMedia and ViacomCBS all added subscribers in the third quarter, but streaming growth slowed from the prior quarter.
Yea I think international travel opening up might help the theme parks and such but streaming subscriber growth is a key metric for them. All the streaming services are showing slower growth except Netflix which had a bounce back after last qtrs lower numbers. There is competition but if it's across the board essentially it's likely pandemic surge wearing off.
I don't think they put out enough content on Disney+, Netflix puts out a ton. Some isn't good and some is but I think they just throw stuff at the wall and see what sticks....like Squid Game most recently. I think back half of 2022 is when they're suppose to be pumping out more content and supposedly some of it interactive as well so that could be new ground. Have to see..
It's been channeling for a bit and just around the 200 DMA but I don't get the feel it's going to breakout above it and more likely to break down but who knows. I think 145-150ish area give or take isn't a bad area. That would be about a 30% drop off the highs and about another 20% drop from yesterday's close. Of course it also depends on the overall market too like anything else.
Disney was the poster-child for the retail investor debacle during COVID. The stock had a monster run even when the parks were closed, cruise ships docked, no sports for ESPN, and it was losing money on D+. But every retailer knows the name so it was buy, buy, buy.
Practically all stocks have had a monster run. I mentioned back then, 80s area might be a place to nibble and it bottomed just around that area IIRC..high 70s. Their Disney+ subscriber growth numbers are what boosted the stock and at least some of that will be sticky. At one time it was ESPN subscriber losses that hit the stock, now it's Disney+ subscriber growth that buoys the stock....at least until now. Their theme parks and the like should do better now with international travel open and increased vaccinations among children.
The pandemic surge on streaming is wearing off. I think competition isn't really a big deal in that space for them, Netflix is their biggest competitor but after that no one comes close and probably won't considering all the franchises they have control of. What they need to do is put out a lot more content and some will hit and some will miss just like Netflix. That's suppose to come end of next year. I have no idea how it will materialize but interactive media could be something that offers a sort of unique potential for them too.
Also they need to broaden their content as well. It's family friendly which is fine but you're not gonna get a Squid Game under the Disney umbrella so you need to have an avenue to distribute that kind of content and get those subscribers. IMO it can't be all Star Wars/Marvel etc...There's a saturation point to that kind of stuff IMO. It works and has appeal to a degree but it's not enough on its own. Hotstar is a service they have in Asia but not sure how much money they make on that even if they get growth their. It's US subs that are the most important at least for now.
Bob Iger is a hard act to follow. An excellent CEO and one of the best out there in general. Not sure about this new guy Chapek. I'm that retail guy who likes a name like Disney and I'm willing to be a knife catcher for names like these but depends on the price as always.
Star Wars and Marvel are probably the best 2 franchises in the cinematic world right now, but it's still not enough content to fill the need. Disney needs to fill the gaps with some fun Netflix's level stuff. Hell, do a family scavenger hut race around Disney World and some reality crap like that. Nice cheap budget and it provides content.
Disney needs to just buy and own Hulu already to compete at Netflix's level to put our riskier programming. You cannot operate on a family friendly platform such as Disney+ alone for content for the masses
Musk is a genius when it comes to dealing media. Love how he dictated the message on the stock sale. Of course it would’ve been great if the poll said to not sell. That would’ve been funny.
Personally, I think he's throwing a bone to the far left. He has a massive tax bill coming regardless of what the Twitter poll decided, and I have to think he knew what the results of the poll were going to be. Of course, I could be completely wrong.
At worst you're only partially right. Standard operating procedure when one exercises a block of non-qualified stock options is to sell enough immediately to cover exercise cost and withholding. No capital gains that way. If that wasn't done he would be on the hook to pay Tesla over a billion dollars in cash. Now getting it up to 10% probably had some game playing to it.
From my perspective, I rarely look at stock prices. Far more concerned with market capitalization. Maybe look to microcaps with strong earnings growth potential instead of stock prices. Price to sales (or book) could be a better way to evaluate stocks.
The Definitive Guide: How to Value a Stock | The Motley Fool
Investors need to have several tools in their toolbox when it comes to properly valuing stocks. The go-to metric for most investors when it comes to valuing a stock.
www.fool.com
Wow, did not see this coming!
www.cnbc.com
J&J plans to split into two companies, separating consumer products and pharmaceutical businesses
Shares rose by about 3% in premarket trading after the announcement.
Speaking about breakups, good article on GE:
www.morningstar.com
5 Charts on General Electric's Fall From Grace
Companies at the top don't stay that way forever.
The options game is out of my wheelhouse, but, Rob Mauer, who does the Tesla Daily podcast said according to the SEC filing, he sold "core shares" on Tues and Wed. (~3.6 million shares) and he would have to pay capital gains tax on these shares. Mauer was puzzled as to why he opted to sell these core shares.
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Speaking about breakups, good article on GE:
5 Charts on General Electric's Fall From Grace
Companies at the top don't stay that way forever.
And another giant to split up:
Toshiba plans to split into three after wave of scandals
Toshiba Corp outlined plans on Friday to split into three companies in an attempt to appease activist shareholders calling for a radical overhaul of the Japanese conglomerate after years of scandals.
It was possibly a combination of the two. He wouldn't get to 10% just selling shares from the latest exercise to cover exercise price and withholdings. The core shares sales would be to get to 10% and hedge against a hike in the capital gains rates next year.
My company is 3 days in the office and 2 remote per week. They just announced this will be extended until the end of 2022. They are also expecting us to travel to see clients face to face.
additionally, they would like to try and get 50% capacity on any given day for time in the office.
additionally, they would like to try and get 50% capacity on any given day for time in the office.
We are at 2 days a week in the office, but still flexible depending on your unique needs (pharma/biotech). Obviously, if you work in a lab, you need to be in full-time because you can't bring your lab home.
Lucid on quite a roll today. LCID needs to have its ridiculous valuation match Rivian's even more absurd evaluation.
Rivian options are not available yet. I'd love to price out of the money puts.
Another semi rocking it:
www.cnbc.com
Qualcomm hits record high after it tells investors it will grow without Apple
Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon said it the addressable market for the company's chips is $700 billion.
I'm close to pulling out of the mkts for a bit, another few weeks and then I see pain
Not going anywhere, will buy the dip.....whenever it happens:
“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” - PL
Lucid is valued more than Ford and 2 analysts said there may be no sky to the upcoming valuations. They made 235k on one battery deal this year. That should scare everyone
It scares me enough not to buy Lucid or Rivian, but overall, most top companies are crushing earnings quarter after quarter.
I bought Lucid last week in the high 30's, now Stocktwits and Reddits are all over this stock, over 58 in after hours, huge volume traded today. Should be an interesting day tomorrow.
