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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Respect the honesty. It seemed like no one loses money here.
I’m not interested in whether anyone loses or makes money. If people lie it’s of no concern to me. It doesn’t add or subtract a penny from me. I’d be more interested in real time or ahead of time entry points and potential exit points like I mention at times.

Are people seeing what I’m seeing or it can bring my attention to a stock that I might not be looking at that is at a possible area where I should take a look.
 
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I’m not interested in whether anyone loses or makes money. If people lie it’s of no concern to me. It doesn’t add or subtract a penny from me. I’d be more interested in real time or ahead of time entry points and potential exit points like I mention at times.

Are people seeing what I’m seeing or it can bring my attention to a stock that’s I might not be looking at that is at a possible area where I should take a look.
I told everyone to buy GEV at $160 a few months ago. That was a good one. :)
 
Great buy the dip opportunity. Already heading upwards again (since the short report was total crap).
I read the report - it wasn’t total crap. And Zeta seemed to acknowledge some of the unfavorable facts were true but claimed it was an insignificant percentage of their business. With that said, I’m not suggesting the whole report is legit. Now the short seller report on OKLO which did nothing but cause a dip for 2 hours before it started ripping 20% higher in the next couple of days was total crap.
 
I read the report - it wasn’t total crap. And Zeta seemed to acknowledge some of the unfavorable facts were true but claimed it was an insignificant percentage of their business. With that said, I’m not suggesting the whole report is legit. Now the short seller report on OKLO which did nothing but cause a dip for 2 hours before it started ripping 20% higher in the next couple of days was total crap.
It was littered with massive mistakes, which were probably deliberate to the temporarily crash the stock for their own gain. Just a reverse pump and dump scheme that should be investigated by the SEC and DOJ.
 
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It was littered with massive mistakes, which were probably deliberate to the temporarily crash the stock for their own gain. Just a reverse pump and dump scheme that should be investigated by the SEC and DOJ.
I agree those short seller criminals should be investigated. And they issued the report right after earnings because they realized it was do or die based on strong quarter and the stock was just gonna go higher. Thats why I bought a bunch of shares. But, Zeta seemed to acknowledge some contractual gymnastics albeit on a minor scale relative to their entire business. That’s what spooked me although it was my stop loss that got me out.
 
Morgan Stanley moves Robinhood to Overweight:

Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) stock rose 4.2% in Monday premarket trading after Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equal-weight as the stock is poised to benefit from the U.S. elections on potential deregulation.

"Revenue growth looks stronger post-election on durable retail trading and more crypto support, M&A opening up, and animal spirits reviving," analyst Michael J. Cyprys wrote in a note to clients. "Execution on plans to broaden platform supports 15% topline CAGR to $4B in 2027."

Morgan Stanley sees a strong trading environment into 2025 as investors bet on deregulation, recovery in M&A, and an eventual IPO rebound.

Valuation is attractive at 10x enterprise value/revenue, below Interactive Brokers' (IBKR) at 14.5x and Coinbase (COIN) at 13.6x.

Robinhood's (NASDAQ:HOOD) Dec. 4 investor day could provide another catalyst as management maps out its long-term vision.

The analyst more than doubles HOOD's price target to $55 from $24.
 
Is WOLF becoming a meme stock? Dipped my toe in last week at 8.08, dropped to the low 6's, now has bounced back today as high as 9.80. The only news is that insiders are buying the stock. That is usually a positive sign but the jump seems over the top. I'm gonna take a nice profit today and maybe jump back in if it dips. If it keeps rising, well then I'll just be happy that I made some money. Anyone have any other info?

Edit: Just sold at 10.02
 
Is WOLF becoming a meme stock? Dipped my toe in last week at 8.08, dropped to the low 6's, now has bounced back today as high as 9.80. The only news is that insiders are buying the stock. That is usually a positive sign but the jump seems over the top. I'm gonna take a nice profit today and maybe jump back in if it dips. If it keeps rising, well then I'll just be happy that I made some money. Anyone have any other info?

Edit: Just sold at 10.02
Seems to be going up on no legit company news (which normally means meme activity). The meme'ers haven't been able to match the glory days of GME or AMC, so meme pumps have recently been quick up and quick down.
 
When I first set up my 401K and got into investing, people would tell me I had to diversify and include international exposure. So I did. And after a few years those international funds consistently underperformed. So I dumped all my international funds in favor of US. Looking back recently it was a brilliant move. Why would anyone put money in international? If the US market does poorly typically so does international. If the U.S. does great it always seems to do way better than international.
 
When I first set up my 401K and got into investing, people would tell me I had to diversify and include international exposure. So I did. And after a few years those international funds consistently underperformed. So I dumped all my international funds in favor of US. Looking back recently it was a brilliant move. Why would anyone put money in international? If the US market does poorly typically so does international. If the U.S. does great it always seems to do way better than international.
The markets have changed and everything is more correlated. It’s still wise to diversify but the allocation should be more direct and smaller allocation.
 
When I first set up my 401K and got into investing, people would tell me I had to diversify and include international exposure. So I did. And after a few years those international funds consistently underperformed. So I dumped all my international funds in favor of US. Looking back recently it was a brilliant move. Why would anyone put money in international? If the US market does poorly typically so does international. If the U.S. does great it always seems to do way better than international.
2008 everything went down but my international investments lost a lot more and didn’t recover as quickly.
 
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2008 everything went down but my international investments lost a lot more and didn’t recover as quickly.
Exactly - I just don’t see the need to ever go back to international funds unless the U.S. market declines - which at this point means the international markets would be an even bigger mess.
 
Exactly - I just don’t see the need to ever go back to international funds unless the U.S. market declines - which at this point means the international markets would be an even bigger mess.
I agree with this... Vanguard in particular, who I use, way overweights International in their target date funds and their recommendations. I try to stick to about 10% of international equity total...
 
When I first set up my 401K and got into investing, people would tell me I had to diversify and include international exposure. So I did. And after a few years those international funds consistently underperformed. So I dumped all my international funds in favor of US. Looking back recently it was a brilliant move. Why would anyone put money in international? If the US market does poorly typically so does international. If the U.S. does great it always seems to do way better than international.
F international! As the saying goes:

Europe is a museum
Japan is an old-age home
China is a prison

None of these markets are set-up for sustained innovative growth. The best international market is probably India, but that has challenges as well. Overall, I have very, very limited ex-US exposure and that's not going to change.
 
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F international! As the saying goes:

Europe is a museum
Japan is an old-age house
China is a prison

None of these markets are set-up for sustained innovative growth. The best international market is probably India, but that has challenges as well. Overall, I have very, very limited ex-US exposure and that's not going to change.
I’ll bet on the U.S. every time - there will be 2008s and COVID declines, but people will seek safe haven assets which do not include international markets IMO. And then you blink and everyone rushes right back into the U.S. market.
 
For those of us who are older, you can usually find some better dividend yields in large cap international vs LC US. Also, without having international exposure you still may have plenty as a lot of US firms derive at least some of their income overseas. This was not always the case.
 
For those of us who are older, you can usually find some better dividend yields in large cap international vs LC US. Also, without having international exposure you still may have plenty as a lot of US firms derive at least some of their income overseas. This was not always the case.
Good point on the international exposure via US companies doing tons of business overseas. I think I only have 3-4% exposure to ex-US companies and that's through actively managed funds. I don't own any international funds or ETFs except for a small amount of EPI (Wisdom Tree's India ETF).
 
Good point on the international exposure via US companies doing tons of business overseas. I think I only have 3-4% exposure to ex-US companies and that's through actively managed funds. I don't own any international funds or ETFs except for a small amount of EPI (Wisdom Tree's India ETF).
Another accounting scandal.....
 
I meant scary in terms of the magnitude. The deeper one gets into the bowels of a Fortune 500 company you find out how executives game their own system.
Regarding accounting.

There is a lot of greyness when it comes to accounting rules, especially around when spending accrues or revenue is recognized. One of my gene therapy products takes 5-7 months to treat the patient. When do you recognize the revenue? When the process begins, at infusion, at payment, at first sign of the patient responding, etc? That's literally a 9-12 month time period. Our auditor and other accounting legal experts say any of these options are okay, so do whatever the hell you want. Great, thanks for the clarify! LOL.

Sometimes it's best to hate the game, not the playa.
 
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Regarding accounting.

There is a lot of greyness when it comes to accounting rules, especially around when spending accrues or revenue is recognized. One of my gene therapy products takes 5-7 months to treat the patient. When do you recognize the revenue? When the process begins, at infusion, at payment, at first sign of the patient responding, etc? That's literally a 9-12 month time period. Our auditor and other accounting legal experts say any of these options are okay, so do whatever the hell you want. Great, thanks for the clarify! LOL.

Sometimes it's best to hate the game, not the playa.
I hear you. Supply chain with BS contracts also huge source of fraud.
 
Regarding accounting.

There is a lot of greyness when it comes to accounting rules, especially around when spending accrues or revenue is recognized.
This^.

What concerns me is there has been a lot of earnings on one end, and not the expense on the other end. The accuracy of latter remains to be seen.

For example, most of NVDA’s chip sales are obviously earnings, but the chip purchases are CapEx and get expensed over time. Will all this spending result in revenue that covers all this expense, including expected strong margins? My answer is yes and no. There will be big winners and big losers. Given that the returns are well down the road, we don’t yet know who they will be, but in the mean time, most are being treated as future winners. That’s never been the case, so stay tuned and diversify.
 
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Record closes for the S&P 500 and Dow (which hit $45K for the first time ever). Nasdaq near ATH. Life is good! :)

Updated a bunch of stop losses on my stock holdings, including PLTR and GEV.
 
Exactly - I just don’t see the need to ever go back to international funds unless the U.S. market declines - which at this point means the international markets would be an even bigger mess.
WHEN the US market declines.
 
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