Let's be real here
The Top 2 are going BCS....that is 10-11 wins
To get to the tier one bowl bowls...(Capital One, Outback, Holiday)...you need to think 9-3...and its possible that a 9-3 team gets left out depend on the break down at the end of the year
To get to the tier two bowls bowls....(Gator, San Fran, Yankee)....you need to think 4-4 in conference to be a lock to get one of these games....whch means we need to go 8-4. 3-5/7-5 is an outside shot....but less likely
So...we want to do better than Armed Forces (we're not going to Detrot this year)....you need to think 8-4 or better....