It's always...(I cannot stress enough) always to take stats with a understanding of who the player is playing.
If you blindly looked at Casimir's stats, 49.2% from 3 looks very impressive....it's actually very much deceiving.
I would look at who they played and the sequence of when a player gets his shots and who he gets his shots against.
Illinois State in game 1...6 of 7 from 3...
Vs a school named Southeastern, who doesn't even have a profile page on ESPN.com, Casimir drained another 2 of 5.
When a player registers a game like 6 out of 7 from 3, it registers alarms with teams on your schedule the rest of the way.
Next up for Casimir, Michigan State at East Lansing....he went 1 of 7 from the floor and 1 of 2 from 3 for 5 total points in 31 minutes....FGCU lost 106 -82.
Next is South Dakota State, who is 10-1 currently on the season....actually only got 1 3 point shot attempt off the entire game....why do we think Casimir only got 1 3 point attempt in 25 minutes?? Probably because defenses and better teams and programs will take away the strength of what someone does well.
Then it's 10-1 Toledo and he went 0-2 from 3....and 1 of 7 from the floor overall....in 22 minutes of play.
4 of 11 from the floor and 3-10 vs 5-6 Colorado State
5 of 8 from the floor vs UT San antonio...1 of 2 from 3
6 of 11 from floor vs Florida Atlantic...3 of 7 from 3
3 of 11 from floor vs Florida International...3 of 8 from 3....
3 of 7 from floor vs Colgate....1 of 5 from 3.
8 of 12 from floor vs Oral Roberts...Oral Roberts is 4 -9 on the season.....he knocked down 7 of 8 from 3....
4 of 8 from floor vs UMBC....3 of 5 from 3.
There was a thread about grad transfers and shooting percentages coming out of smaller conferences and how that would translate to 1 of the Top 2 or 3 leagues in the country.
Casimir vs actual competition like Michigan State, Toledo and South Dakota State is 1 of 5 from 3....that means if a team has actual players, you cannot take his shooting percentages as reality.
He has 8 of 12 in his 1st 2 games from 3, ran into teams paying attention and numbers are not quite 50%....
I had mentioned that Geo Baker was a 31% shooter from 3 last year if you removed his 6 out of 8 performance vs Bryant college AND factoring in, shooting against the shot clock, against legitimate competition and how impressive I thought his shooting was, given the circumstances as a true freshman.
Others argued that I had to count his best shooting game and worse shooting game. My argument is that it's best to remove someone's best shooting game from 3 or consider the competition.
I feel fairly confident that if Baker or someone at a B1G level, played Casimir's schedule, his numbers would look very similar if not better in overall PPG and very close to his 3 point percentage.
Casimir is a nice, quick guard who is considered a volume shooter and streaky. I don't have any doubt he could have added something at RU, but I think his 3 point percentages vs our schedule of St Johns, Seton Hall, Miami, Wisconsin, Michigan State etc, would be nowhere near 50% from 3....it would be likely under 30% or closer to 25%.
Who you play against and when matters..... who your opposing coaches are that scout tendencies matters..., where you play matters......the size,.speed,.quickness of the opponents, night in and night out matters.
Casimir's 3 point percentages are miles better than Seton Halls Myles Powell...
..Powell is shooting 39% from 3....in 2017-18, Powell shot 37.8% from 3, with 4 established starters on the floor with him last year. I can assure everyone that Powell is significantly better in every facet of the game than Casimir, but faces elite focus from opposing coaches....if you look at just stats, without details or context, it means very little.
If you look at Powell's games, there are games he was shut down from 3 by Louisville, Nebraska and St. Louis, because he is under duress as the 1 option each and every possession and has a green light to shoot, whenever he has even a split second of space....and other games where he got loose (like Saturday) and literally carries a team on his back.
Casimir (to me) would not help RU this year....Ironically I feel significantly better with Jacob Young's stats transferring better here from Texas, because he's played against elite Big 12 defenses and coaches, so his stat line will translate to real contributions here as a junior or senior. Young is miles better than Casimir.....
Many may disagree but the details matter....