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Was talking to someone in Rutgers tickets sales

“Barchi and the BOG saved about $2.8 million in 2012 (difference between Greg's and Flood's salaries), another $2.6 million in 2013, and about another $5 million over the next two seasons. All told, RU saved about $10 million in salary for the head coach of football.
You get what you pay for.”

Flood is starting to look like a bargain if you look at the number of wins he got compared to his salary.

Little did we know that he was busy jackhammering the foundation that Greg built as soon as he became HC.
 
minus the bottom line 'dollars' lost,Hobbs needed to understand the impact on recruiting.With another year of losing,how that effects the recruit cycle.

What is the recruiting impact though? If nothing else with this staff, Ash's recruiting seems to be relatively stable. It is a bit below average on the whole, I'd say. It did not drop off much this past year. He's got a qb lined up for the next class. I don't see it as a situation where great recruiting classes in 2016 and 2017 were followed by a downward trend.

I don't think the talent situation for New Coach X is going to be appreciably different if he starts on December 10, 2019 as opposed to December 10, 2018.
 
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Some excellent conversations here and I enjoy reading your posts and those of others as well.

YourUVA post above was quite interesting btw. I had in my mind written off their football staff after Year 1 as it did not seem like Bronco was a good fit for them culturally or geographically, coming from BYU. But, he has made it work at least somewhat as you've pointed out. It's a good reminder that turnarounds (getting from horrible to average) need not take half a decade.
Btw I take that also as an example of geography not being the end all be all that some like to think. It’s a nice bonus if you can have it but it shouldn’t be limiting. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn’t just the same as if the person is familiar with an area. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn’t.
 
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“Barchi and the BOG saved about $2.8 million in 2012 (difference between Greg's and Flood's salaries), another $2.6 million in 2013, and about another $5 million over the next two seasons. All told, RU saved about $10 million in salary for the head coach of football.
You get what you pay for.”

Flood is starting to look like a bargain if you look at the number of wins he got compared to his salary.

Little did we know that he was busy jackhammering the foundation that Greg built as soon as he became HC.

I think most of us saw the problems with flood early on and everyone saw it by 2013. The big mistake was keeping him after that, although he had some moments in 2014. We were very prepared in the Washington state, navy and North Carolina games . I have yet to think the same of any game ash coached here.
 
“Barchi and the BOG saved about $2.8 million in 2012 (difference between Greg's and Flood's salaries), another $2.6 million in 2013, and about another $5 million over the next two seasons. All told, RU saved about $10 million in salary for the head coach of football.
You get what you pay for.”

Flood is starting to look like a bargain if you look at the number of wins he got compared to his salary.

Little did we know that he was busy jackhammering the foundation that Greg built as soon as he became HC.
Cost per win for Jim Harbaugh: $789,000
Cost per win for Ash: $857,000

Seems Ash is being paid to B1G scale.
 
I understand your sentiment, but I do think it is fair to put some of it in perspective.

1. Rutgers could have most non-P5 coaches in any given year. This includes the AAC. They can also choose from almost any coordinator any year. $2 million is far more than the coaches in the Mountain West make for example, and that doesn't even get to the MAC or CUSA. They're not all home runs, but some are. Implying that no one is interested in the job is not fair in my view.

2. The problem with Hobbs wasn't that he chose Ash, it is that he chose Ash and gave him a contract that he can't buy himself out of. None of the choices for Rutgers were sure things.

3. Hobbs is trying to buy time. I do think it was a tough decision for him last November that gets much easier this year. Even if the buyout is large this fall, he can really sell the "we gave this guy plenty of time." He is buying time because conference revenues jump from $28.6 million in FY 2020 (which starts in 3 months) to $43.7 million in FY 2021.

4. I think most reasonable people would see that Hobbs was indeed in a predicament last fall. Setting aside that a good portion of that was of Hobbs' own creation, it was reasonable to keep Ash and it would have been reasonable to let him go. It's a close call. Hobbs is betting that he can get fans to come back either when (i) Ash starts succeeding; or (ii) a new coach is hired. I personally think he likely underestimated the difficulty of achieving that and also was not completely unbiased in his decision making as he had incentive to justify his earlier decisions regarding Ash. With that said, it was not unreasonable.

5. I think Ash is learning, but he isn't getting the benefit of the doubt because he isn't very fan friendly and seems to make a lot of unforced errors both on and off the field. He seems to create controversy where there need not be any. This is one area where Schiano likely bought himself an extra year of good will. Ash just didn/t doesn't have the same skill. He is improving but man did he set the bar low for himself.

Pin this. Nothing else needs to be said.
 
Our bar is just high enough to trip over
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Which means the budget needs to be higher. This isn't rocket surgery, lol

Median salary in the B1G is about $4M - that's the pool of coaches you need be swimming in if you want to be "middle of the pack". 11 of 14 coaches made at least $3.5M last year - offering anything short of that is penny wise and pound foolish... and throwing the white flag on your football program.

While we need to pay a more competitive salary to increase our chances of finding the right coach, we are not going make a slam dunk hire. They are few and far between and cost much more than the median B1G salary. May not be rocket science but it is not easy to find right person. Paying more increases your chances of success but in no way guarantees it.

The guy I think we missed out on when hiring Ash was Matt Campbell who wound up at Iowa State. Not sure he would have been successful here or wanted the job but has done a nice job at a school which struggles at sustaining success similar to RU.
 
Your posts are always 100% solid. #5 cannot be emphasized enough. Ash has shot himself in the foot so many times with RU fans, it is a minor miracle he can walk.

...also by year 3 Schiano had us at 5-7 with wins over Bowl team Navy and a convincing win over cuse to close the season; Ash had us at 1-11 with an offense that couldn’t score points in pinball with $20 worth of quarters (along with 2 different offenses and 3 OC’s in 3 years).


Joe P.
 
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...also by year 3 Schiano had us at 5-7 with wins over Bowl team Navy and a convincing win over cuse to close the season; Ash had us at 1-11 with an offense that couldn’t score points in pinball with $20 worth of quarters.


Joe P.
Couple that with Ash's inability to endear himself to RU fans, and the vitriol towards him is understandable.
 
While we need to pay a more competitive salary to increase our chances of finding the right coach, we are not going make a slam dunk hire. They are few and far between and cost much more than the median B1G salary. May not be rocket science but it is not easy to find right person. Paying more increases your chances of success but in no way guarantees it.

The guy I think we missed out on when hiring Ash was Matt Campbell who wound up at Iowa State. Not sure he would have been successful here or wanted the job but has done a nice job at a school which struggles at sustaining success similar to RU.

It's a matter of what coaching pool you're looking to draw from. If you're only offering $2M, you are not going to attract the same level of candidates as if you were offering $3.5M. We're trying to buy a $200K home in a $350K neighborhood... and expecting the same level of quality.
 
So now that you guys have done such a good job of depicting what an historical train wreck Rutgers football has been, don't you find it difficult to square that with the assertion that highly qualified candidates were lined up for the head coaching job?
What is "highly qualified"? Any coach who came to Rutgers would be a gamble, like Chris Ash was. But certainly Ash wasn't the only gamble available.

I don't have a problem with Hobbs hiring Ash. Hobbs had to take a gamble, and Ash appeared to be a reasonable gamble. The fact that Ash appears to have flamed out doesn't mean that Hobbs screwed up the selection. Any selection would have had a significant potential to flame out. That's what makes them gambles.

However, I don't buy the argument that Hobbs had no negotiating room in the length or buy-out terms of Ash's contract. If Hobbs found Ash's demands to be unreasonable, I don't believe there weren't other potential candidates, who would have also been gambles.
 
It's a matter of what coaching pool you're looking to draw from. If you're only offering $2M, you are not going to attract the same level of candidates as if you were offering $3.5M. We're trying to buy a $200K home in a $350K neighborhood... and expecting the same level of quality.

Salary restraints has nothing to do with the current situation.

We hired a career defensive coach, who talked a big game but ran away scared at the first sign of “offense takes time” and went back to losing meathead offense.


Our salary constraints will come into play when we try to keep a successful coach from leaving.

It isn’t stopping us from hiring an innovative offensive coach who could be competitive and win at Rutgers - literally look at Syracuse a team “in our rear view mirror” 2 years ago.
 
When Greg bolted, RU paid Flood $700K/year. In Flood's final year, he made $1.25 million. And Barchi and the BOG gave Flood peanuts for assistant salaries.
Barchi and the BOG saved about $2.8 million in 2012 (difference between Greg's and Flood's salaries), another $2.6 million in 2013, and about another $5 million over the next two seasons. All told, RU saved about $10 million in salary for the head coach of football.
You get what you pay for.

FWIW, McCormick, not Barchi, was President when Pernetti made the decision to hire Flood.
 
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What is "highly qualified"? Any coach who came to Rutgers would be a gamble, like Chris Ash was. But certainly Ash wasn't the only gamble available.

I don't have a problem with Hobbs hiring Ash. Hobbs had to take a gamble, and Ash appeared to be a reasonable gamble. The fact that Ash appears to have flamed out doesn't mean that Hobbs screwed up the selection. Any selection would have had a significant potential to flame out. That's what makes them gambles.

However, I don't buy the argument that Hobbs had no negotiating room in the length or buy-out terms of Ash's contract. If Hobbs found Ash's demands to be unreasonable, I don't believe there weren't other potential candidates, who would have also been gambles.
its always a greater 'gamble' when you take an Asst coach and make them a first time power five Head Coach.
A more qualified HC would have been someone who was a HC in group of five or power five level prior.
 
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its always a greater 'gamble' when you take an Asst coach and make them a first time power five Head Coach.
A more qualified HC would have been someone who was a HC in group of five or power five level prior.
You might think that on its face but I don't think so. I don't see any negligible difference in results. I've given examples of coordinators and assistants in the past that have done just fine and not at name brand programs either....btw name brand programs also hire coordinators too...it's not as if they don't.

The only difference is the availability of the hottest of hot names in any given year....that's where our lack of resources may come into play but beyond that we can still find quality worthy of an opportunity candidates just like other "downtrodden" programs.
 
its always a greater 'gamble' when you take an Asst coach and make them a first time power five Head Coach.
A more qualified HC would have been someone who was a HC in group of five or power five level prior.
Fake news. An analysis was done here that showed that was not the case.

A few examples of HCs with experience who failed.
See Al Golden
See Justin Fuente (trending way down at VT)
See Darell Hazell

A few examples of coordinators who killed it as HCs
Chip Kelly at Oregon
Mike Leach at Texas Tech
Luke Fickell at Cincinnati

EeyR, you are again just blowing hot air with nothing to back it up.
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Fake news. An analysis was done here that showed that was not the case.

A few examples of HCs with experience who failed.
See Al Golden
See Justin Fuente (trending way down at VT)
See Darell Hazell

A few examples of coordinators who killed it as HCs
Chip Kelly at Oregon
Mike Leach at Texas Tech
Luke Fickell at Cincinnati

EeyR, you are again just blowing hot air with nothing to back it up.
giphy.gif
Patterson, Whittingham, Fitzgerald are other names I've brought up in the past too in addition to some of the ones you mention....not name brand schools either. I always say it's an inexact science .....you can have your preferences but in the end you never really know...unless you're hiring Saban and maybe a couple others.

Look at Bielema and Tuberville names that some might say were "proven" (a term I don't like btw) and how they did at later stops in their career.
 
I guess the 3rd alternative would be for the moderators to actually do their jobs, but... There's no evidence to suggest that will actually happen.

Somebody is having a sad because the new moderators don't act like the old shitty moderators. I guess it must suck for you that this message board is now in a place where everyone gets to voice their opinion.
 
I love Dutch Bunnies, they're so cute. We have 1 left, Corey's little guy Conner died a couple of months ago.

ZKumPka.jpg

...also by year 3 Schiano had us at 5-7 with wins over Bowl team Navy and a convincing win over cuse to close the season; Ash had us at 1-11 with an offense that couldn’t score points in pinball with $20 worth of quarters (along with 2 different offenses and 3 OC’s in 3 years).
And we were at 4-2 in 2004 when that horrific crash occurred, which lost us 3 DB's and cast a pall over the team.
 
Its the bar Hobbs and Barchi have allowed to be set.
The fan base should not be settling for it and should continue to dump season tickets,not donate $$, until there is change and real commitment .

This. Until the Rutgers Administration gets serious about P5 football and not treat it like some Patriot League level Program our fanbase should stop buying season tickets and stop donating their hard earned money.
Arsewipes like KinightSh#ts and RU4ReallyThatStupid don’t get it and never will.
 
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Looking at the last 35 active B1G full time coaches (dating back 10 years, ignoring interim coaches), 21 were head coaches at a prior stop, 7 were promoted from within the program, 5 were coordinators at other schools, and 2 were coordinators/assistants in the NFL.

Looking at the performance of the five HC who were coordinators hired from other schools:
Nebraska - Pelini (67-27, fired after 7 full seasons, all of which had at least 9 wins)
Maryland - Durkin (10-15, fired in 2nd season)
Indiana - Allen (10-15, heading into 3rd season)
Indiana - Wilson (26-47, fired after 6 seasons and no winning records)
Rutgers - Ash (7-29, heading into 4th season)

Not a great track record of coordinators coming in from other schools and succeeding in the conference.
 
Looking at the last 35 active B1G full time coaches (dati
Looking at the performance of the five HC who were coordinators hired from other schools:
Nebraska - Pelini (67-27, fired after 7 full seasons, all of which had at least 9 wins)
Maryland - Durkin (10-15, fired in 2nd season)
Indiana - Allen (10-15, heading into 3rd season)
Indiana - Wilson (26-47, fired after 6 seasons and no winning records)
Rutgers - Ash (7-29, heading into 4th season) Given an unconscionable 2 years extension
Not a great track record of coordinators coming in from other schools and succeeding in the conference.
 
My point was that the cumulative losses are actually much higher. Some calculations below, intended to calculate the total loss since Hobbs / Ash were hired. I'll assume $400 per season ticket, which is more conservative in this analysis. Using that figure, the revenues have dropped almost $13.5 million over four years. Note that if you stuck with $500 per ticket, that number would be $16.81 million.

The problem is that the customers lost in 2016 never came back, so they hit as losses every year.

From your figures:

In 2015, Rutgers sold 31,168 season tickets.
In 2016, Rutgers sold 28,478 season ticket. -8.6%
In 2017, Rutgers sold 23,812 season tickets. -16.4%
In 2018, Rutgers sold 22,337 season tickets. -6.2% (-28.3% from 2015)
2019 Projection- sell 16,752 season tickets. -25% (-46.3% from 2015)

Calculation:
2015: 31,168 * $400 = $12,467,200
2016: 28,478 * $400 = $11,391,200 (loss of $1.08 million)
2017: 23,812 * $400 = $9,524,800 (loss of $2.94 million from baseline 2015 number; cumulative loss of $4.02 million)
2018: 22,337 * $400 = $8,934,800 (loss of $3.66 million from baseline 2015; cumulative loss of $7.68 million)
2019: projected 16,752 * $400 = $6,700,800 (loss of $5.77 million from baseline 2015; cumulative loss of $13.45 million)

Another way of looking at it is that since Hobbs kept Ash at end of 2018 season, approx $2.2 million in additional revenue has been lost, and $5.7 million will be lost this year alone as compared to before Ash was hired.

We have some actual financial data now on this. Turns out our estimates of total revenue were probably very close and the losses appear to be almost dead on.

Actual figures, which include all ticket sales (not just football) are:

Ticket sales
FY2018 [2017 football season]: $10,764,623

FY2017 [2016 football season]: $12,824,201

FY2016 [2015 football season]: $13,757,852

https://expo.nj.com/sports/g66l-201...1718-a-look-at-the-100m-athletics-budget.html
 
We have some actual financial data now on this. Turns out our estimates of total revenue were probably very close and the losses appear to be almost dead on.

Actual figures, which include all ticket sales (not just football) are:

Ticket sales
FY2018 [2017 football season]: $10,764,623

FY2017 [2016 football season]: $12,824,201

FY2016 [2015 football season]: $13,757,852

https://expo.nj.com/sports/g66l-201...1718-a-look-at-the-100m-athletics-budget.html
Are the ticket sales figures limited to football tickets or all of athletics tickets? Because if it is all of athletics, then the ticket sales for football may be worse. Basketball and wrestling have been trending up.
 
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We have some actual financial data now on this. Turns out our estimates of total revenue were probably very close and the losses appear to be almost dead on.

Actual figures, which include all ticket sales (not just football) are:

Ticket sales
FY2018 [2017 football season]: $10,764,623

FY2017 [2016 football season]: $12,824,201

FY2016 [2015 football season]: $13,757,852

https://expo.nj.com/sports/g66l-201...1718-a-look-at-the-100m-athletics-budget.html
Expenses for support staff and administrative salaries have ballooned:
Support Staff-Administrative salaries and bonuses
FY2018: $19,340,875
FY2017: $17,411,145
FY2016: $8,648,036
 
Are the ticket sales figures limited to football tickets or all of athletics tickets? Because if it is all of athletics, then the ticket sales for football may be worse. Basketball and wrestling have been trending up.

The figures provided seem to be for everything. They are higher than the football only numbers we estimated. I would venture to guess that football sales are 80-90% of total sales, but that's just a guess.
 
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Expenses for support staff and administrative salaries have ballooned:
Support Staff-Administrative salaries and bonuses
FY2018: $19,340,875
FY2017: $17,411,145
FY2016: $8,648,036

Sure have. Hobbs was hired in mid-FY 2016, so this investment has now been going on for almost three full years at a total cost increase of ~$25 million. I'm wondering out loud if there is less of a tie to results for this expense than what the perception is.
 
The figures provided seem to be for everything. They are higher than the football only numbers we estimated. I would venture to guess that football sales are 80-90% of total sales, but that's just a guess.
I must say that I did a damn fine job in my estimates. I am going to submit this thread as an exhibit to my CV for my next application to be AD. I have been told that I am an excellent interview too, so I should be a shoe-in for the job! I am modest too.
 
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Sure have. Hobbs was hired in mid-FY 2016, so this investment has now been going on for almost three full years at a total cost increase of ~$25 million. I'm wondering out loud if there is less of a tie to results for this expense than what the perception is.
Those figures deserve an explanation. Can't believe that Sarge just put those in the story without any more detail.
 
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I must say that I did a damn fine job in my estimates. I am going to submit this thread as an exhibit to my CV for my next application to be AD. I have been told that I am an excellent interview too, so I should be a shoe-in for the job! I am modest too.

It will be interesting to see how close the projected numbers are to actual. We'll have to save this thread and revisit in two years to see.
 
It will be interesting to see how close the projected numbers are to actual. We'll have to save this thread and revisit in two years to see.
Only if we were right, so we can throw it in others' faces to show how right we were! Otherwise, if we were wrong, this thread must be buried. :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:
 
67-27 will have us renaming the stadium after the coach who gets that record.
Everyone always says what a tough job Rutgers is. My ass. You get to .500 and a bowl bid, your job is pretty secure. Hell even the media will talk about what a great job you've done at such a hard place to win. Getting to .500 isn't hard if you're competent.
 
Those figures deserve an explanation. Can't believe that Sarge just put those in the story without any more detail.
Yeah, there's one hell of a football staff to be hired for that amount of money, and it's hard to say that any admin support staff is going to have an impact on the overall health of the AD that is anywhere near what a top football program would have.
 
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Those figures deserve an explanation. Can't believe that Sarge just put those in the story without any more detail.
If I were to guess, it would be that a good chunk of that is for the assistant coaches and support staff that is required to be a Power 5 Football Team.
 
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