Last year, 5-7, lost bowl. (5-8), 256-333, -77
Wins 3-9 Temple(+47), 5-7 Syracuse(+10), Delaware(+32), 5-7 Illinois(+6), 2-10 Indiana(+35)
Loss 12-2 UM(-7), 11-2 OSU(-39), 11-2 MSU(-18), 7-6 PSU(-28), 7-6 Md(-24), 9-4 UW(-49), *3-9 NW(-14), 11-3 WF(-28)
2014 last winning/bowl, 8-5, 347-392, -45
Wins 3-9 Wash St(+3), Howard(+13), 8-5 Navy(+7), 3-9 Tulane(+25), 5-7 UM(+7), 4-8 Indiana(+22), 7-6 Md(+3), 6-7 UNC(+19)
Losses 7-6 PSU(-3), 14-1 OSU(-39), 9-4 Nebraska(-18), 11-3 UW(-37), 11-2 MSU(-42)
Record is all relative to how you do against better(9-12+ wins), equal(5-8 wins) and worse(0-4 wins) teams you face in a year, and how many games you can squeak out vs teams with equal talent and record.
2021, 4 equal(2-2), 4 worse(3-1, NW), 4 better(0-4, WF L), (5-8)
2014, 4 equal(3-1, UNC W), 4 worse(4-0, none), 4 better(0-4), (8-5)
2022 @BC(6-6, 2021), Wagner, @Temple(2-10), Iowa(10-4), @OSU(11-2), Nebraska(3-9), Indiana (2-10), @Minesota(9-4), UM(12-2), @MSU(11-2), PSU(7-6), @Md(7-6)
3 teams equal(2021), 4 worse(2021), 5 better(2021)
It will probably be a 4/4/4 balance at the end.
0% chance of losing to Wagner or Temple, BC our toughest non-conf.
Of the 3 West teams, Iowa and Minnesota don't score many points, play defense and potentially could be the right opponents for us in the same year to win one. Nebraska(3-9) lost 9 close games by 56 points, none more than 9pts in 2021. Nebraska is kind of of scary game after @Ohio St, they could flip many losses to wins in 2022.
Ohio St and Michigan will be the top 2. We will be competing with Md, Indiana, Penn St and Mich St to stay out of the bottom. Pretty much sums it up.