If we run similar sets, I can promise we will get good looks.
What was obvious is we played only one decent half… we are devoid of a scorer… a real threat… we struggle at the free throw line… oh and did I mention we can’t hit a 12-15 ft. Shot… other than that when are those
the bubble of what exactly… NIT?
(1) Not having to travel / being in familiar surroundings
I think Hawk's account may have been taken over by ChatGPT.
10-10 gets you on the bubble but not necessarily the right side of it. At least in the conversation though.
flux, is this based solely on our 2-6 start without regard to which teams we’ve played (and which ones we have left to play)?
Totally disagree. The energy at the RAC lifted the team back yesterday.
I suppose, but we could also go 10-10 without picking up another Q1 win. I think 10-10 would require a win at Purdue or H/A vs. Wisconsin
This. Someone on this board says something and then It becomes the reality in the minds of some who know nothing about the game.
It's based on taking the average probability for each of our remaining games from T-Rank and Massey Ratings and then running simulations.
Ok, thanks. So cumulatively speaking, according to those simulations, we have a 28% chance of getting at least 8 conference wins. Even without my homeristic view, that seems low.
You are being homeristic.
You’re right about runs when we’re down big, but you have to consider the strength of the teams we’ve played so far, and where (and when) we’ve played them, versus the games we have left.
Understood.
These are the probabilities that were used:
Meh, I think the final scores are more illustrative than just pointing at the worst point of the game.
No doubt our offense sucks other than in occasional spurts. Looking at flux’s probability post above, we have a 51% chance of winning at least 7 conference games.
If we truly are giving 20 minutes to Gavin in these B1G games ahead AND Gavin doesn't improve defensively be prepared for us to give up a lot of points.
My own probabilities:
It should. My simulator thing is actually on my work computer lol so I’ll give you the full breakdown tomorrow.
if we score 1.01 points per possession and give up .99 points per possession we win.
If you have time, it would be interesting to see how the odds compare to the odds of us getting the autobid.
One of your worst posts. So by analogy, remove LeBron from the teams he's been on and those teams are mediocre. Got it. The team is who the team is and with Edey they've been top 5, while Purdue has been a consistent top 10-15 team since around 2010, i.e., years before Edey arrived and only really had one hiccup in 2019-2020, where they failed to make the NCAAs or be in the top 10-15. Sounds pretty elite to me other than not having always done well in the tourney.
We were inflated at the mid point last season and came back to earth the second half. The whole body of work was an NIT team that made an early exit losing at home to Hofstra. Let’s evaluate at the end of the season for a true comparison.
