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Year 5 - Unacceptable results

8 by whom? The Talking heads? Long time fans should know better.
8 by most rational fans

Easiest schedule in years
Ton of talent returning
Year 5 of GS 2.0
Better coordinators
Experienced O line
Stud running backs
Better QB

Year 5 of GS 2.0 with this squad and corresponding schedule, 8 wins should have been the floor
 
You didn’t think 8 was possible this season ? Even when we were 4-0 ?
I'm trying to find the season prediction thread using the search function with no luck. Tango has so many zero reply theeads, can't find the thread.

There were some discussions when we were predicted to have 5-6 wins. IIRC, I said 6 was our floor and 10 was our ceiling. Yeah, that's a hedge, but as we have seen any team in B1G can beat any other team except for perhaps Oregon and Indiana, which is a total shocker. I will never be the fire everyone, burn it down kind of fan because RU did not make some lofty expectations.
 
Do you make a habit of giving money to fund managers or companies that have shown zero savvy at managing money well? Do you like investing money in middling companies because gosh darnit, if everyone just gave them all their net worth they could afford to hire smarter executives and rent nicer office space like the market leaders do.

We have a few NIL collectives that don't seem to have much positive direction except hiring a boatload of former athletes who aren't touching base with fans. Seriously. I went on the web page for our most prominent collective and shook my head at their amateurish site (complete with a spelling error on the main page). What are their goals? Call them to discuss. What are their accomplishments? Call them to discuss future plans. Where does the money go? Call to discuss where you want the money to go. Sounds like they have no effing idea. The little money the collectives raise they piss away on quarterbacks who can't throw the ball.

The football coach has been through more offensive coordinators than he has socks, but still we can't put together a modern offense. College teams light up the scoreboard week in and week out. We score 20 and are pleasantly surprised. Very few athletes on the field who are noticeably better than their counterpart they line up against. And that's 5 years in.

Why would you give these people your money?
Can’t argue with any of these points.
 
I'm trying to find the season prediction thread using the search function with no luck. Tango has so many zero reply theeads, can't find the thread.

There were some discussions when we were predicted to have 5-6 wins. IIRC, I said 6 was our floor and 10 was our ceiling. Yeah, that's a hedge, but as we have seen any team in B1G can beat any other team except for perhaps Oregon and Indiana, which is a total shocker. I will never be the fire everyone, burn it down kind of fan because RU did not make some lofty expectations.
Google Search blackbelt, at your service. Take your pick.


 
You didn’t think 8 was possible this season ? Even when we were 4-0 ?
Washington was beatable
Nebraska was beatable.
UCLA was beatable.
Minnesota is beatable.
Maryland is beatable.
Michigan state is beatable.

9 wins was probably the ceiling, 3 was the floor (assuming 1 conference win, loss to Va Tech.) We're just above the floor if we lose out. We have the win against Washington because they imploded. Will another team implode on our remaining schedule or will we pull it all together?
 
and none of those had anything to do with NIL
I disagree. I have no way of proving or disproving this, but I would bet every penny I own that Rutgers football has spent less money on NIL over the last four years than every other team in the conference. They have better players and more depth and, except for like three or four other teams (Maryland, Northwestern, Purdue, UCLA), it's not even close.
 
Why would you give these people your money?
First, I wouldn't. But I wouldn't give Nick Saban my money either. I'm not interested in subsidizing professional sports.

Second, Greg can buy players just as well as anyone else in the conference. The more money he has to spend, the more he can buy. He has less money than everyone else. So it doesn't surprise me that he has less talent than everyone else.
 
Google Search blackbelt, at your service. Take your pick.


More measured predictions. 8 seemed to be a high water mark for quite a few.

With OL and defense experience there's no reason to think the season can be on the chubby side of successful.
Finally GS cant say "we're young" in every interview.
Of course injuries are always a key.
I also think "the real world" has tremendous potential for "disruptions" and I'll be surprised if season goes normally.

7-5 is very reasonable. Vegas agrees; as the over under is 6.5 wins.

For a non-RU fan, 7-5 is a reasonable prediction.
Was having this discussion with a tailgating friend today, and 7-5 is what I consider the floor for a successful season.
Think that 8-4 is a reasonable target, and anything better than that means RU overperformed to non-RU fan expectations.
9-3 or 10-2 is a dream season, and RU fans love to dream, including me. IMO, 9-3 is a 60/40% chance, and 10-2 is 30/70% chance. Just wild guesses mainly because we really will not know what we have in a QB and a passing game until after the Va Tech game.

Mostly in line with what I said above (542 votes):
5-6: 6.%
7-8: 58.7%
9-10: 29.5%
11-12: 5.4%


Actually under 8 might seem to be disappointing, but 6-6/7-5 will show the program is not regressing but holding a steady course and with the type of talent coming in now, 8 or more wins can be expected on a regular bases,.
Schiano isn't a quick fix type, slow and steady improvement is his game.
So RU fans might express a want it now attitude, but that's tempered with the reality a fast rise to the top isn't going to happen, but steadily improving the talent on roster ,the nest year or two, will bring results that make us happy.
 
Do you make a habit of giving money to fund managers or companies that have shown zero savvy at managing money well? Do you like investing money in middling companies because gosh darnit, if everyone just gave them all their net worth they could afford to hire smarter executives and rent nicer office space like the market leaders do.

We have a few NIL collectives that don't seem to have much positive direction except hiring a boatload of former athletes who aren't touching base with fans. Seriously. I went on the web page for our most prominent collective and shook my head at their amateurish site (complete with a spelling error on the main page). What are their goals? Call them to discuss. What are their accomplishments? Call them to discuss future plans. Where does the money go? Call to discuss where you want the money to go. Sounds like they have no effing idea. The little money the collectives raise they piss away on quarterbacks who can't throw the ball.

The football coach has been through more offensive coordinators than he has socks, but still we can't put together a modern offense. College teams light up the scoreboard week in and week out. We score 20 and are pleasantly surprised. Very few athletes on the field who are noticeably better than their counterpart they line up against. And that's 5 years in.

Why would you give these people your money?

Can’t argue with any of these points.
Agree.
 
Do you make a habit of giving money to fund managers or companies that have shown zero savvy at managing money well? Do you like investing money in middling companies because gosh darnit, if everyone just gave them all their net worth they could afford to hire smarter executives and rent nicer office space like the market leaders do.

We have a few NIL collectives that don't seem to have much positive direction except hiring a boatload of former athletes who aren't touching base with fans. Seriously. I went on the web page for our most prominent collective and shook my head at their amateurish site (complete with a spelling error on the main page). What are their goals? Call them to discuss. What are their accomplishments? Call them to discuss future plans. Where does the money go? Call to discuss where you want the money to go. Sounds like they have no effing idea. The little money the collectives raise they piss away on quarterbacks who can't throw the ball.

The football coach has been through more offensive coordinators than he has socks, but still we can't put together a modern offense. College teams light up the scoreboard week in and week out. We score 20 and are pleasantly surprised. Very few athletes on the field who are noticeably better than their counterpart they line up against. And that's 5 years in.

Why would you give these people your money?
Agree with you. Plus it's all opaque and can be anything from real, to misleading to plain lies.

Everyone assumes some dollar figure they come across is real which who knows if it is or not, regardless of the source right down to admins and coaches saying it. Secondly, even if it's "somewhat real" don't assume it's cold hard cash. Say it's one of those "in kind" deals, how is that even valued when people talk about NIL.

Say I had a 5M mansion which I let get used 4 months of the year for players. Now when someone refers to that NIL is it 5M or is it the rental value of 4 months of a place like that? I don't know. Then you can do it all over again and tally up another 5M NIL the following year. Numbers can be inflated and misleading. Same for any other type of asset like a fancy car or whatever that isn't actually handed over. Same for say services. Offer marketing service or IT service for a player and tack on some inflated figure to NIL value. Point is don't take all these figures at face value.

When the schools actually pay players that will actually be real hard cash and I'd like to think transparent like coaching contracts. Then you have better idea of what everyone is doing. Plus if you're in the P2, it'll probably be somewhat easier to pay players from your budget than other conferences. I've seen articles about schools making cuts in Olympic sports and what not in anticipation of it.







Also posted this in another thread about the opaqueness and untrustworthiness of NIL numbers.

This Bloomberg article demonstrates my point about you can't trust every number out there because so much is opaque and hidden. It could be real, ambiguous or just lies. I've mentioned this before with regards to a MSU NIL but think about this even a NIL partially funded by one of their billionaires who funded Tucker's contract and donates millions to the school wasn't all on the up and up. If you can't even believe something like that is trustworthy then WTH. There is big money out there for some but you can't take it all at face value when so much is purposely hidden. I've seen similar accounts from other reporters too.

Someone mentioned a Lamborghini in one of these threads. It could've been bought by NIL money, given over or just allowed to be used for 4 months of the season and taken back, who knows.

Excerpts from a Bloomberg article in Sept

Yes, the stars are making millions. Everyone else is vulnerable to boosters making promises they can’t or won’t keep.

During the short flight from East Lansing, Michigan, around three dozen of the team’s players had received a stunning email from a booster group that had committed to paying them. The group was called Spartan Dawgs 4 Life. Backed by some of the university’s deepest-pocketed alumni, including the mortgage loan billionaire Mat Ishbia and technology entrepreneur Steve St. Andre, the Spartan Dawgs had raised $6 million, according to a spokesperson for the group. At least one football player had been getting $10,000 a month. Now the group told some Spartans it was ending those payments—dawgs for life no more.

But in this opaque new world, quarterbacks like Sanders are something akin to the celebrity CEO, and most of his teammates the underpaid and insecure cogs in a system in which they hold little power. Bloomberg Businessweek submitted requests for records to every public school in the major athletic conferences and talked with more than 70 players, coaches, agents, parents, lawyers, donors, academics and administrators for this story. What these people describe—and the available documents show—is that changes meant to enrich young athletes are instead turning into another way for the adults in their lives to exploit many of them. In the worst cases, some of the US’ top public institutions, which have long portrayed themselves as among the most progressive in the country on matters of equity, have led vulnerable teenagers to believe they’ll enjoy benefits that aren’t delivered.

Coaches make promises to entice players to enroll and then, according to accounts by multiple people, often change the terms after the fact. After committing to schools in the expectation of big NIL money, some wind up getting nothing. “It happens a ton,” says one former assistant coach at a Big Ten school, who asked for anonymity to preserve his employment prospects. “I had to do that to a few kids, and it was like, ‘Hey, I can’t really do anything about it.’” Business plans fall through, or donor priorities change, and the coaches making the promises don’t actually control the purse strings. In some cases, neither does the collective: It’s counting on raising revenue by hosting tailgates or autograph signings or just persuading donors to chip in $2,000 here or $5,000 there.

Player contracts are closely guarded, but Businessweek obtained three of them and talked to 20 people who’ve seen others. Many included broad termination rights that, lawyers say, would be unusual in a negotiated contract in any other industry. Lacking employment rights or a collective-bargaining agreement, and desperate to earn playing time from coaches, the athletes have little leverage to hold the programs accountable. The same is true for the NCAA, after a federal judge in February halted its attempt to crack down on a collective’s recruitment of a quarterback, saying the governing body’s actions likely violated antitrust law.

The injustice at the heart of college sports has long been the economic exploitation of the players who generate much of the revenue. They’re now better off, wildly so in some cases. But somehow, in just about every town where big-time college football is played, the players are still at the mercy of the richest car dealer or real estate developer.

One director of player personnel at an ACC school described a “payroll” of $3.8 million—which the collective associated with the school didn’t have. As a result, the school employee said, the team often missed payments to players. “We’ve been taking from Peter to pay Paul,” he told the academics. “It’s exactly like a Ponzi scheme.”

While the stars have leverage, the portal is frequently a disappointment for others.

The amount at stake in Rashada’s case is unusual, but the experience alleged in the complaint, of a teenager and his family stumbling through life-altering choices in a system with unclear and little-enforced rules, is all too common. In the NFL, the collective bargaining agreement requires that all contracts are disclosed to the union representing players—transparency that benefits the athletes. In the contracts seen by Businessweek, it’s common for them to stipulate that players can’t reveal what they’re making. One example is a contract from Bulldog Initiative, a collective affiliated with Mississippi State University: Its terms aren’t to be disclosed to anyone except financial advisors. An underlined passage adds that the “Student-Athlete specifically agrees” to keep the amount of compensation confidential from other athletes. The contract for the Spartan Dawgs 4 Life also tells players to keep it confidential—even after it’s terminated.

The group signed contracts with as many as 40 football players, according to WLNS, the CBS News affiliate in Lansing. (SD4L declined to confirm the number.) One of them went to a freshman who’d been rated by recruiting websites as one of Tucker’s top out-of-state recruits a year earlier—Andrew DePaepe, a 6-foot-5, 245-pound defensive lineman from Bettendorf, Iowa. SD4L presented him with an offer of $10,000 a month. Still, the deal worried his father, because the offer included a clause that said “the company shall have the right in its sole discretion” to terminate the deal for any reason and at any time. (A spokesperson for SD4L says some of the contracts allowed for immediate termination and others provided for a 30-day notice.)

“This contract isn’t worth the paper it’s printed on,” Steve DePaepe, Andrew’s father, recalls telling his son, who replied: “Dad, they won’t pay me anything if I don’t sign it.”

 
What made people think Greg ever wanted to hand off the program any time soon? His mentor is Joe Paterno, a man who stuck around and coached into his 80s wearing a depends diaper. Greg Schiano has no plans on retiring, he will remain the Rutgers coach for the next 25 years if the administration so chooses. Unless something drastically changes with the athletic mission and its role with academics within the University, Greg Schiano will be our HC for a very, very long time, get used to it.
I don’t believe that.

When he gets Joe Pa results on the field then we can revisit this.

Hopefully the new president treats this the way Donna Shalala did after she got to Wisky: while watching another putrid performance by the Badgers from the President’s Suite in Camp Randall she uttered, “This ends now.” And the rest is history.
 
We wouldn't have gotten smoked against Wisconsin or USC if we had better athletes than the ones we have now, which NIL could have changed.
I think what @RUTGERS95 means is those guys should have been here already, before the whole NIL evolved into what it has become.
 
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I don’t believe that.

When he gets Joe Pa results on the field then we can revisit this.

Hopefully the new president treats this the way Donna Shalala did after she got to Wisky: while watching another putrid performance by the Badgers from the President’s Suite in Camp Randall she uttered, “This ends now.” And the rest is history.
That's rich coming from Donna Shalala (who oversaw the complete collapse of University of Miami football).
 
More measured predictions. 8 seemed to be a high water mark for quite a few.
Do you know why Vegas had the O/U wins at 7.5?

Do you think it was some surpergenius of a computer figuring out how many game we would actually win with a margin or error?

Or was it what it really was.. Vegas figuring out with bettors would bet on, balancing bets between those predicting over with those predicting under.

And how do bettors make their guesses to place their bets? they listen to the experts.. many of which talked about all these starters coming back (just like VTech had a lot of starters returning).. and then the easier schedule. The media experts talked us up.. set bettors expectations HIGH.. then Vegas set a high O/U for us because that is what the bettors were thinking.

I think, looking back, it was artificially high. But then add in all the injuries... yeah.. it was high.
 
I have a Madone road bike, a Trek FX2 for off road including the Forbidden Trail and a Verve 5 which I used to use but I'm a crazy decent guy so I don't use it anymore as I can't tolerate a bad fall in the rocks at my age.

We avoid bad falls and wear armor. No DH.

Megatower Enduro rig, AXS, carbon hoops

Stumpy 2021, AXS, carbon hoops

Stumpy ST, AXS, carbon hoops

Tallboy 2, XX1, Lightbicycle hoops

Fatboy for snow and sand, carbon hoops

No ebike yet.

CAAD 10 Black, Di2, Lightbicycle hoops is the only road bike I have left after two of my friends got wheelchairs in 2011 and 2012. All trails these days.

Enjoy the ride.
 
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