Favoring 2-5” areawide with a jackpot if 6” somewhere in Morris, Warren, or Sussex. Quick moving slider, not a particularly dynamic system at H5, frontogenesis is there for some moderate banding but nothing impressive enough to get to totals models suggested a couple of days ago. I do believe the majority of precip should be all snow for the northern half of the state including coastal areas.
I don’t get caught up in the run to run craziness with the models, more interested in trends, ensembles, and discarding outliers.
