Tonight's 0Z models continue to show a stormy and probably snowy pattern ahead, but the long range is difficult to forecast, as illustrated by the global models being all over the place for the possible 2/8 storm with outcomes ranging from a significant snowstorm (GFS/CMC) to nada (UK) to a cutter that brings a bit of initial snow and then mostly rain (Euro). And after that, more storms are appearing in the long range guidance. While it's always dicey for snow for our area (given the risk of warmer temps/rain), areas well NW of 95 and especially New England look to possibly get a lot of snow in this pattern.
However, we do have a legitimate wintry threat for 2/5-6 coming into view. Still high uncertainty, but the GFS has an inch or so of snow/mix and some rain falling late Weds into Thursday for the area, the CMC has a general 1-2" of snow/mix falling through Thurs early morning followed by some rain, the UK has a general 3-5" falling for the area, ending as a bit of rain, and the Euro has a bit of sleet/freezing rain to start followed by mostly rain. If we get a bit more consensus by tomorrow night (3 days out), will likely start a thread on this.
Also, almost all of the models have an inch or maybe 2" falling late Sunday night, mostly along/N of 78, but there could be coatings to 1/2" for most of CNJ south of 78, including the 95 corridor, but probably no snow towards and south of 276/195. This would melt quickly after sunrise on Monday with highs near 50F for most. Nice graphic below showing the very active jet stream/storm track aimed in our general direction particularly during the 2nd week of February - likely storms and some could be snowy (but no guarantees yet).
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