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OT: Winter Storm Thursday 2/20: Very Likely Somewhere Between A Non-Event and a Minor Event (oof)
- By RU848789
- Rutgers Football
- 437 Replies
Why are you posting snowfall maps from yesterday? For those interested, here's the latest snowfall map, showing <1" of snow or the area tomorrow (and really, <0.3" for most if you dive into their details). However, most of the models (especially the short range mesoscale models that should do better with this mesoscale event, are now showing snow showers and/or periods of light snow for most from about 4 pm through midnight tomorrow, especially N of 276/195, with 1/4-3/4" of light powdery snow for most, but with some spots getting 1"+ where the heavier bands hit from the upper level low approaching from the NW.
For these kinds of mesoscale events, it's nearly impossible to know who might get 1/4" and who might get 1"+ (much like it's usually impossible to know where summertime showers and t-storms will hit). None of this will have much impact, although anywhere that gets more than maybe 1/2" of snow will likely have slippery spots on untreated side roads, sidewalks and driveways, as temps will be in the upper 20s. Of course, it's also still possible that most will get 1/4" or even nada, as these systems are difficult to forecast.
Personally, I think the NWS is a bit underdone on this with <0.3" snow for most, given the model outputs I just mentioned and Lee Goldberg clearly agrees, as per the 2nd map below showing widespread 0.5-1" amounts N of 276/195. He also mentioned how predicting who gets more and who gets less in this setup is nearly impossible.
