ADVERTISEMENT

BACATOLOGY 2/17: 1st 2025 NCAA Tournament Analysis

So if Nebraska were to collapse they could miss the tourney, a Michigan win would maybe make them a lock. They have some games left that are on the easier side by Big 10 standards, Iowa and Minnesota at home, OSU road, they really should be able to win some with that schedule and should not miss the tournament. It would take an epic collapse.
for starter they have some solid stuff....6-8 Q1...9-9 vs Q1/2....11-10 vs Q1/2/3....note the one bad loss to Rutgers which could slide back to just a Q2 loss

wins over 5 schools in the field...at Oregon, at Creighton, Illinois,UCLA, Ohio State. I would like to see one more for good measure to round things out.

They finish with 3 of 4 at home...Michigan, Minnesota, at Ohio State, Iowa. 2-2 and they are in no doubt. But if they go 1-3, what if the loss is to Minny thats a 2nd Q3 loss...18-13 and now 12-13 in Q1/2/3

In that case I dont like their chances and last nights performance was butt ugly vs a school that has lost 11 of its last 12 with the only win being Rutgers..it was akin to RU a few years back being blowing out by 30 at a bad Nebraska.
  • Like
Reactions: RAC93

Pike Failed the Fans, Minimal Effort Towards NIL Raising Would’ve Made For a Special Season

Eric O’Neill was already talked about as someone who possibly could have gone to the NFL draft this year. Not to mention our QB this past year was from the portal. I’m done. I could talk about Flip Dixon, and others who have come here in the portal and played at a B1G level, but I’m not going to because it’s so painfully obvious how bad basketball has done in the portal the last two seasons
Eric O’Neill is at Rutgers to improve his draft prospects, because he likely would have been a low round pick or free agent if he came out this year. His impact on the Big 10 level is unknown, but rooting for his success. Flip Dixon previously played at Minnesota so he was a known Big 10 commodity.

OT: Stock and Investment Talk

BABA is popping

WOLF looking good too. Like a phoenix.
Not in it, but mentioned mid-ish single digits wasn't a bad place to take shot at WOLF. Pretty defined loss at that level (bankruptcy if that was even on the table) but a shot at high singles low doubles if you think it's got some fundamentals going for it. PLTR, SOFI were other ones that had some nice to big bounces from that area as well. When you're that low, to me that's the time to take the flyer if you believe in the stock.

IMO what's the point of being hesitant in the low-mid singles, the time to be hesitant is when it's got a massive PE and/or shooting to the moon like we've seen with PLTR recently.
  • Like
Reactions: RU-05

Freshman on the road......

It's still an obvious thing that freshman are going to be wildly inconsistent, even super skilled/talented ones like Harper and Bailey and even Zoom Diallo for Washington.

But there were a lot of people on threads earlier this week, who arent qualified to talk about toughness or talent in terms of basketball, trying to downplay the talent of the 4 RU freshman.

65 total points
(22 of 28 from FT line)
5 of 13 from 3 point range (38.4%)
13 rebounds
4 assists
2 blocks
5 steals
7 turnovers

And with these types of numbers, the roster just needed something from its other contributors, which it did tonight from

JWill timely baskets and plays (2 3s) .

Acuff (1 3 pointer) and decent minutes.

JMike playing within the gameplan.

Martini adding an assist in 16 minutes.

Even a Derkack with a steal and a 3 before the untimely 2 turnovers or rushed passes in the 1st half and total of 5 minutes.

It's very tough to ask for 50 to 60+ points, 15 to 20 rebounds, 5 to.7 assists and 5+ blocks/steals from the freshman in order to win.....especially a B1G road game.....but that's where this roster is right now. Debating how we got here is already obvious, there's little point to argue about nonsense when this was always my reality and where RU sports is, in this NIL environment.

I don't know if there are too many wins the rest of the way unless there's this equation of productivity. But it takes some patience that knowledgeable hoops fans understand is part of the process.

Inconsistent play is most of the equation with freshman, so it's anyone's guess on what to expect the rest of the way. But I'm on board willing to see it play out with freshman logging minutes.
I have really (for the most part) respected your posts over the many years but I have go to say you really need to knock all this condescending crap off. You've been historically better than that. The moment I read it I shut you off and that's a shame since I least give your comments a thought and consideration. Take it for what it is worth (which I'm pretty sure is zilch).

"there were a lot of people on threads earlier this week, who arent qualified to talk about toughness or talent in terms of basketball"
  • Like
Reactions: tm_nj

Freshman on the road......

Yeah the frosh thing is a horrible take.

The bottom line is even your first statement isn’t true as a stand alone. The game ends in a loss if our pair of statistically poor long range shooters (J Will and Jordan were at 25% entering the game) don’t go a perfect 3-3 from three in regulation.
You cannot make that statement claiming Jeremiah hit 2 and Jordan hit 1 so that is why the game was won. That is such shallow analysis of someone who never watched the game. If they did watch , tons of things happened but I can think of 2 things off the bat that won the game ; Dylan getting 34 points and Jeremiah ‘s steal.

Everyone is complaining about the offense, but ….

Sommerville is not a 4. Unfortunately, it's questionable if he is a 5 also.

So many of our fans think we need to prioritize keeping him. The problem is, if we don’t prioritize bringing in a rim protector we will be far worse next season. With or without Lathan. And Lathan apparently didn’t even want to come this year if we brought in another BIG so….

BACATOLOGY 2/17: 1st 2025 NCAA Tournament Analysis

I would flip flop them with Gonzaga today and move them to a 10. I think they are still above that SEC drek frey around the bubble but they better win at least 2 more. An 18-13 Nebraska could be in trouble. The PSU loss only counts as Q1 now despite it having a feel of a horrific loss.
So if Nebraska were to collapse they could miss the tourney, a Michigan win would maybe make them a lock. They have some games left that are on the easier side by Big 10 standards, Iowa and Minnesota at home, OSU road, they really should be able to win some with that schedule and should not miss the tournament. It would take an epic collapse.

Pike Failed the Fans, Minimal Effort Towards NIL Raising Would’ve Made For a Special Season

[ISPOILER][/ISPOILER]

These rankings would say that Schiano is doing far better then pike in the transfer portal
Not in the same universe
Sorry but this is a load of BS, because no one knows the impact that these transfers will actually have. It’s a projection. When we face Iowa, that’s how we’ll know how good our transfers really are.

If we had real funds, we’d be taking P5 transfers, not James Madison or Ohio transfers.

Freshman on the road......

It's only ignored on the surface because Nova and UConn have won national championships. And in MOST cases across CBB and CFB, the easier a path is for a program during the regular season, the more the flaws get hidden and the lighter the workload.

While PSU stinks, they're much better than Depaul.....Nebraska is not deemed a Top team and won at Creighton earlier this year.

St Johns played a tough game against Creighton on Sunday and their reward is a road trip to Chicago for their next game.

Nebraska played a road game vs Northwestern on Sunday and travels to PSU Wednesday and lose by 20+....the margins for error are much smaller in the B1G and SEC and Big 12. It's just the reality of what it is over 4 months.
That dynamic doesn't seem to have impeded Kansas or Baylor in the near past. Nor has it ever helped the perennial contender in Gonzaga, which always had the easiest path playing in a league that was beneath it, and never won the thing. I think by the time we get to the Final Four, flaws have all been exposed for what they are, and you see the best teams win it. Fluky may even carry a team to the final (and that is so rare), but that team never wins it all.

Nebraska and Creighton is a huge rivalry, so that's always going to have those kind of results. It's also only one game.

I remember a few years ago when DePaul won three Big East games but was 4-0 against the Big Ten. I did not extrapolate from that that DePaul would be undefeated in the Big Ten. But it did show me that at least that year, the bottom of the Big East was better than the bottom of the Big Ten. This year, the opposite is true.
  • Like
Reactions: goru7

Freshman on the road......

They play 70% of the minutes because Pike overestimated the talent of the transfers. In an ideal situation, the freshmen play in spots to help their development. The failure of the transfers speaks more to them than the freshmen. If there was quality upperclassmen surrounding Ace and Dylan, that should be enough to be a good team battling for a March bid. The upperclassmen sidekicks are so bad, no matter what Ace or Dylan do is never enough. Henceforth, the other freshmen provided a better chance to win. The problem starts with Pike and how he assembled the team.
If the game was offensive ONLY I could agree with this.
Defense is 50% of the game and they are liabilities there.

Supporting cast did fine last night. Ace and Dylan played great offensively and we still needed OT to beat a bad Washington team.

People are overestimating what type of college basketball players Ace and Dylan are.
ADVERTISEMENT

Filter

ADVERTISEMENT