ONE SEEDS
- KANSAS*
- ALABAMA*
- HOUSTON*
- PURDUE*
TWO SEEDS
- UCLA*
- TEXAS
- BAYLOR
- ARIZONA
THREE SEEDS
- GONZAGA*
- MARQUETTE*
- KANSAS STATE
- CONNECTICUT
FOUR SEEDS
- TENNESSEE
- XAVIER
- INDIANA
- VIRGINIA*
FIVE SEEDS
- SAN DIEGO STATE*
- IOWA STATE
- DUKE
- TCU
SIX SEEDS
- MIAMI
- TEXAS A & M
- SAINT MARY'S
- MISSOURI
7 SEEDS
- KENTUCKY
- NORTHWESTERN
- CREIGHTON
- MICHIGAN STATE
8 SEEDS
- FLORIDA ATLANTIC*
- IOWA
- ARKANSAS
- MARYLAND
9 SEEDS
- ILLINOIS
- MEMPHIS
- WEST VIRGINIA
- PENN STATE
10 SEEDS
- USC
- AUBURN
- BOISE STATE
- RUTGERS
11 SEEDS
- UTAH STATE
- MISSISSIPPI STATE
- PROVIDENCE
- ARIZONA STATE
- PITTSBURGH
- NORTH CAROLINA STATE
TWELVE SEEDS
- (42) ORAL ROBERTS*
- CHARLESTON*
- VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH*
- DRAKE*
THIRTEEN SEEDS
- IONA*
- TOLEDO*
- YALE*
- LOUISIANA*
FOURTEEN SEEDS
- FURMAN*
- SOUTHERN UTAH*
- CAL-SANTA BARBARA
- KENNESAW STATE*
FIFTEEN SEEDS
- COLGATE*
- MONTANA STATE*
- VERMONT*
- UNC ASHEVILLE*
SIXTEEN SEEDS
- NORTHERN KENTUCKY*
- GRAMBLING STATE*
- TEXAS A & M CORPUS CHRISTI*
- SOUTHESAST MISSOURI STATE*
- HOWARD*
- FDU*
LAST 4 BYES: MISSISSIPPI STATE, UTAH STATE, RUTGERS, BOISE STATE
LAST 4 IN: NORTH CAROLINA STATE, PITTSBURGH, ARIZONA STATE, PROVIDENCE
FIRST 4 OUT: NEVADA, VANDERBILT, OKLAHOMA STATE, CLEMSON
NEXT 6 OUT: WISCONSIN, NEW MEXICO, OREGON, NORTH CAROLINA, MICHIGAN, NORTH TEXAS
This is just how I see things today on 3/11 and 12:30 PM. The entire field and seeds will be scrubbed and alot of numbers crunching overnight and tomorrow morning that could change things
With Rutgers, I believe Rutgers is 90% locked in the field. I think its 60/40 that we avoid Dayton. Rutgers has a shot at 10 here but its tenuous for sure. Do not necessarily expect that. 11 might be more correct. Rutgers fans should sweat less than last year. Right now 101 of 105 brackets on the Matrix have RU in the field, although right now in Dayton. The big thing for me is 7 wins vs schools in the field and the high end over a projected one seed is glorious.
I feel North Carolina State has the weakest profile of any of the teams in the field and could easily be passed up for ANY of my projected first 4 out. I do not think any of the next 6 out can get into the field.
Vanderbilt is coming with a rush. I made a post last night that i need to apologize for. I said that they needed to win the SEC tourney to get in. That was just wrong and reactionary and I should have known better. If Vandy wins today I will put them in the field. If they do not they still have a shot to get in but probably less than 50/50. They are 10-10 in Q1/2. 7 wins vs schools in the field including 2 high level Q1 wins over Tennessee and at Arkansas. The other 5 wins are Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Auburn and last 2 in Pitt. It is interesting their Q4 loss was to Grambling State who is the projected AQ from the SWAC and could actually move into Q3 today. 2 Q3 loss,, the Southern Miss one not all that bad and truly the only bad one was LSU which is their only loss in their last 11 games. SOS is a fine 22. Remember a late run by Texas A&M in this same SEC tourney was rejected in favor of a flimsy resume from Notre Dame. So let us test that.
Utah State is getting in because the metrics are great. 18 in the NET in the 5th rated conference. Yes only two wins in Q1 and in field vs Boise 2-4. But Q2 is 9-1 giving them 11-5 in Q1/2. Q3 they have a whopping 13 wins and the 24-5 mark in Q1/2/3 is why their NET is 18. Now they have 2 Q4 losses and their fans in bracketology seem to be ignoring them. I do not say I like having them in and in general think the Mountain West is overrated. Beating San Diego State probably moves them to the 9 line. Whether a full scrub can put them over RU or into the first four is yet to be determined.
Pittsburgh's saving grace might be a win over Northwestern and knocking off North Carolina State in their only meeting but as said above they also lost to Vanderbilt
