Tell that to Duke this year after ACC acknowledged blown ref call led to the loss @ Virginia in OT almost lost their next game at home to a bad ND team 68-64 where the effort wasn't there. Or the dozens or hundreds or thousands of untrackable blown ref calls deciding games leading to losses or less than stellar efforts in their next game for decades in HS, college, or NBA because of the reminder that you lost your last game to something out of your control and some guy in a striped shirt affected that outcome. Players are human not a video game on tv or a simulation.
BACATOLOGY: 3/3 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS UPDATE****RUTGERS PROJECTED 10 SEED****
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
I'd tell them all the same thing. If a team plays poorly because they couldn't turn the page from the prior game, that's 100% on them. Blame the players, blame the coach, but to actually blame the prior game itself is a ridiculous excuse. Teams take tough losses, even from bad calls, and then bounce back with a great effort in their next game plenty of times as well.
Texas A&M knocks off Alabama. Kansas looking golden for first one overall.
We shall see what Providence's embarrassing 24 point home loss does to their metrics and see if Seton Hall can sneak back into the top 75
OOC schedule might finally bite us in the ass…and you know it won’t change until then, if at all.
Root for....
Kansas State over WVU
Duke over UNC
Boise State over Utah State
Tennessee over Auburn
Miami over Pitt
USC over Arizona State
Vanderbilt over Mississippi State
Notre Dame over Clemson
Texas Tech over Oklahoma State
UNLV over Nevada
Stanford over Oregon
Kansas State over WVU
Duke over UNC
Boise State over Utah State
Tennessee over Auburn
Miami over Pitt
USC over Arizona State
Vanderbilt over Mississippi State
Notre Dame over Clemson
Texas Tech over Oklahoma State
UNLV over Nevada
Stanford over Oregon
and people keep arguing against by saying we are making it every year even though it sucks..yeah but one year it might bite us
the reality is we are losing games to mediocrity every year no matter what so we might as well lose to a top 20 team
Southern Miss, 1-seed in Sun Belt, out in quarters
last year we got pushed to first 4 because of Richmond and other surprises in conf tourneys (though should have been Michigan)
last year we got pushed to first 4 because of Richmond and other surprises in conf tourneys (though should have been Michigan)
Sun Belt is a sole bid conference, but yes it’s time to make sure not too many bid stealers
Most of the P6 conferences will schedule about 50% of their OOC schedule Q3/4, because most of their conference games are Q1/Q2/Q3 games.
20 games Q1/2/3, 11 total OOC, 5-6 Q1/2/3, 6-5 Q3/4
18 games Q1 2 3, 13 total OOC, 6-7 Q1/2/3, 7-6 Q3/4
The two flaws in the way Pike does it, he picks average teams in really bad conferences like the NEC, Patriot, AE, because he has relationships with the coaches or bad teams from mid major conferences, like MAAC, Colonial, Ivy, that he probably has a relationships with.
This year is a bad year to schedule that way and probably going forward now.
no Big 12 none below 75
B1G 228 Minnesota, low 250
SEC 235 South Carolina, low 301
Big East 231 G'Town low 258
170 DePaul low 197
Pac 12 223 Oregon St low 242
311 California low 350 high 248
ACC 310 Louisville low 361 high 302
213 FSU low 293 high 187
186 Ga Tech low 231 high 116
179 ND low 201 high 135
156 BC low 256 high 156
It is amazing when teams are falling out of a Quads in P6s that they find wins to stay in their Quads.
20 games Q1/2/3, 11 total OOC, 5-6 Q1/2/3, 6-5 Q3/4
18 games Q1 2 3, 13 total OOC, 6-7 Q1/2/3, 7-6 Q3/4
The two flaws in the way Pike does it, he picks average teams in really bad conferences like the NEC, Patriot, AE, because he has relationships with the coaches or bad teams from mid major conferences, like MAAC, Colonial, Ivy, that he probably has a relationships with.
This year is a bad year to schedule that way and probably going forward now.
no Big 12 none below 75
B1G 228 Minnesota, low 250
SEC 235 South Carolina, low 301
Big East 231 G'Town low 258
170 DePaul low 197
Pac 12 223 Oregon St low 242
311 California low 350 high 248
ACC 310 Louisville low 361 high 302
213 FSU low 293 high 187
186 Ga Tech low 231 high 116
179 ND low 201 high 135
156 BC low 256 high 156
It is amazing when teams are falling out of a Quads in P6s that they find wins to stay in their Quads.
S
Southern Miss is in the Sun Belt, not C-USA. They are 1-0 in Q1 with a NET of 83. I don't see them as a serious at large bid stealing contender.
Seton Hall jumping 15 in Ken Pom, 78 to 63, and 17 in T-Rank, 75 to 58, is a pretty big positive.
The schools from the northeast are some of the worst dregs in the country
WVU could conceivably lose their spot if Texas Tech or Oklahoma State beats them on the way to a deep Big 12 tournament run
Yeah im always uber conservative so if 18-14 they certainly could sonehow still drop down to first four..i tend to think that because sos and overall net so strong they probably are safely above
Smfh at Oklahoma though
If Wisconsin beats Minny by double digits there is a decent chance RU could have 7 Quad 1 wins come Monday morning
No H in fifteen.. good stuff
BTW.. is it known what seed play in what locations? I see you had orlando as 4-13 and 5-12... is that a given or a guess?
WVU is in at 18-13, 6-12, 5-1, 1-0, 6-0, 11-13, 12-13
Q1/2 11-13 is a pretty solid mark for 24 games out of 31, the lack of Q3 wins will drop them in seed.
A 1st rd Big 12 loss (18-14) 6-13, 5-1 or 6-12, 5-2. will still get them in 11-14, 25 out of 32, 12-14, no blemishes, just a slightly lower seed.
Q1/2 11-13 is a pretty solid mark for 24 games out of 31, the lack of Q3 wins will drop them in seed.
A 1st rd Big 12 loss (18-14) 6-13, 5-1 or 6-12, 5-2. will still get them in 11-14, 25 out of 32, 12-14, no blemishes, just a slightly lower seed.
Providence seeding will be interesting
Their resume consists of 3 home wins over Marquette, Creighton, and Connecticut. They have only 6q1/2 wins and a horrible non conference sos. If shu moves to q2 tgen 6-9 vs q1/2 with just 1q3 loss or if they dont its 6-8 with 2 Q2 losses
If the lose their first BE game which might be vs nova or Shu wouldn't be surprised to see them an 11 seed or even all the way down to first four
Their resume consists of 3 home wins over Marquette, Creighton, and Connecticut. They have only 6q1/2 wins and a horrible non conference sos. If shu moves to q2 tgen 6-9 vs q1/2 with just 1q3 loss or if they dont its 6-8 with 2 Q2 losses
If the lose their first BE game which might be vs nova or Shu wouldn't be surprised to see them an 11 seed or even all the way down to first four
SHU is locked in as 7 seed vs 10 seed DePaul
Nova is locked as 6 seed vs 11 seed G'town
Butler and St John 8-9
if Creighton loses at Depaul and UConn wins @ Nova,
3 way tie(13-7) between Creighton(13-6), Prov(13-7), UConn(12-7) for seeds 3-5.
UConn 1-1 vs Prov and Creighton
Prov/Creighton 1-1
Creighton can't get 2nd, but can lock in UConn vs Prov quarters with a win.
Marquette(17-3) has 3 losses, Xavier, Prov, UConn, (Creighton 5th) 0-2
Xavier(14-5) has 5 losses, Dep, Creighton, Butler, Marq, Nova
Game vs Butler, 2-0 vs UConn and Prov.
UConn and Prov might go 6th seed and lower in tiebreaker for 3rd and 4th, or 4th and 5th if Creighton loses and UConn wins.
Nova is locked as 6 seed vs 11 seed G'town
Butler and St John 8-9
if Creighton loses at Depaul and UConn wins @ Nova,
3 way tie(13-7) between Creighton(13-6), Prov(13-7), UConn(12-7) for seeds 3-5.
UConn 1-1 vs Prov and Creighton
Prov/Creighton 1-1
Creighton can't get 2nd, but can lock in UConn vs Prov quarters with a win.
Marquette(17-3) has 3 losses, Xavier, Prov, UConn, (Creighton 5th) 0-2
Xavier(14-5) has 5 losses, Dep, Creighton, Butler, Marq, Nova
Game vs Butler, 2-0 vs UConn and Prov.
UConn and Prov might go 6th seed and lower in tiebreaker for 3rd and 4th, or 4th and 5th if Creighton loses and UConn wins.
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I cannot watch the Duke game because I am incapable of rooting for Duke. I’m afraid I would convulse into seizures.
Nevada down 31-21 to UNLV
This would be a very damaging loss for Nevada especially if Utah State wins tonight
This would be a very damaging loss for Nevada especially if Utah State wins tonight
If Merrimack wins their semifinal game (currently up on Sacred Heart), then FDU will be playing St Francis for the Northeast Conference AQ tonight as Merrimack is inelligble for postseason play.
Unlv up 69-66 fouls with 8 sec..nevada makes first misses 2nd but unlv turns it over 5 seconds
Nevada ball 69-67
Nevada ball 69-67
