So end of the day, some things went our way and some things didn't. Let's hope Davidson doesn't eff it up tomorrow
BACATOLOGY: NCAA ANALYSIS 3/7......NEW UPDATE 3/12 1PM PAGE 37
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
Drove there for a bmx race for my kid a couple years ago. Real craphole but not the worst drive for sure.
I'm using the eye test. They would not grab a rebound, never got on the floor, showed nothing that would be evident of effort. Two or three persons in a row hosted there's with butt effort in the boards, and beat down the court.
This was bizarre.
There's been a lot of talk about teams preferring to rest rather than play a bunch of consecutive games this weekend. Wouldn't be too surprised if they basically stopped trying when the game got tough.
I figured. Just the alc talking rn not me haha
I would think so but they've got to be pretty unimpressive to the "big wins" people.
Rutgers Q1A wins : 5
Davidson Q1 games played: 4
I think they end up in an 8-9 game…if they get past it, they’re not the type of team a 1 would want to see as they show it down and shoot really well from 3, which can lead to higher variance outcomes. Then again, this week has been high variance for them as Clemson had them on the ropes.
Just my own view, certainly don’t have much credibility but thought I’d give it a shot:
Last Four Byes:
Iowa State
San Francisco
Indiana
Rutgers
Last Four In:
Wyoming
Michigan
Texas A&M
Notre Dame
First Four Out:
SMU
Xavier
Wake Forest
Oklahoma
Last Four Byes:
Iowa State
San Francisco
Indiana
Rutgers
Last Four In:
Wyoming
Michigan
Texas A&M
Notre Dame
First Four Out:
SMU
Xavier
Wake Forest
Oklahoma
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinkin
See ya'll tomorrow at 1. Go Davidson. Go Vols
See ya'll tomorrow at 1. Go Davidson. Go Vols
LAST UPDATE BEFORE FULL SCRUB TOMORROW MORNING AND FINAL BRACKET POSTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
1 SEEDS
Any of the last 6 are vulnerable to not only being in the first four but also vulnerable to dropping out of the field. Things can change after full scrub and comparison and pending completion of Texas A&M/Tennessee SEC title game and Richmond/Davidson A10 title game.
1 SEEDS
- GONZAGA*
- ARIZONA*
- KANSAS*
- BAYLOR
- AUBURN
- KENTUCKY*
- VILLANOVA*
- PURDUE
- DUKE
- TENNESSEE
- TEXAS TECH
- WISCONSIN
- ILLINOIS*
- UCLA
- IOWA
- ARKANSAS
- PROVIDENCE
- HOUSTON*
- CONNECTICUT
- TEXAS
- ALABAMA
- OHIO STATE
- SAINT MARY'S
- LSU
- MICHIGAN STATE
- USC
- BOISE STATE
- TCU
- MURRAY STATE
- SAN DIEGO STATE
- COLORADO STATE
- MARQUETTE
- SETON HALL
- MEMPHIS
- CREIGHTON
- VIRGINIA TECH*
- LOYOLA CHICAGO*
- NORTH CAROLINA
- IOWA STATE
- DAVIDSON*
- MIAMI
- SAN FRANCISCO
- INDIANA
- RUTGERS
- UAB*
- SOUTH DAKOTA STATE*
- TEXAS A&M/XAVIER
- MICHIGAN/WYOMING
- CHATTANOOGA*
- NEW MEXICO STATE*
- VERMONT*
- PRINCETON*
- AKRON*
- MONTANA STATE*
- COLGATE*
- LONG BEACH STATE*
- SAINT PETER'S*
- LONGWOOD*
- DELAWARE*
- WRIGHT STATE*
- JACKSONVILLE STATE*
- GEORGIA STATE*
- BRYANT*/TEXAS SOUTHERN*
- NORFOLK STATE*/TEXAS A&M CORPUS CRISTI*
LAST 4 IN
XAVIER
WYOMING
MICHIGAN
TEXAS A&M
LAST 4 OUT
NOTRE DAME
BYU
SMU
WAKE FOREST
NEXT FOUR OUT
OKLAHOMA
VCU
NORTH TEXAS
RICHMOND
Any of the last 6 are vulnerable to not only being in the first four but also vulnerable to dropping out of the field. Things can change after full scrub and comparison and pending completion of Texas A&M/Tennessee SEC title game and Richmond/Davidson A10 title game.
I’m with Bac. I still think Michigan is the odd B1G team out. We either both make it as 11 and 12 seeds or RU makes it as 12 and they are out.
Wyoming has been sinking in my bracket by the hour for the last few weeks. Watch tomorrow.
Wow maybe your right but there is something seriously wrong if a team 11-7 in quad 1&2 does not make it. Especially if Michigan gets in with an 8-13 mark for the same.
BAC- I really don’t see any shot of us seeded ahead of A&M. The only justification would be a straight up take of the quad results but heavy reliance on the computer results would be bad for RU for other reasons.
Our wins are maybe a little better that theirs - not a lot. You don’t think much of Auburn I know but a neutral win over a 2 seed will be viewed as good as the road win at Wisky in the committees eyes. The neutral win over Arkansas similar to the home win over Purdue. And home vs Arkansas somewhat comparable to home vs Illinois. Their win at Alabama is comparable to our win over Iowa. Our win at Indiana is better than their neutral win over ND but their neutral win over Florida is probably better than our home win vs. Michigan. We have Michigan State and Ohio State wins at home, yes. Maybe our wins are a little better - maybe. But they have less total losses, more total wins, and better losses. It doesn’t seem close to me at all unless you are penalizing them for losing more Q1 games instead of Q3/4. What am I missing?
Our wins are maybe a little better that theirs - not a lot. You don’t think much of Auburn I know but a neutral win over a 2 seed will be viewed as good as the road win at Wisky in the committees eyes. The neutral win over Arkansas similar to the home win over Purdue. And home vs Arkansas somewhat comparable to home vs Illinois. Their win at Alabama is comparable to our win over Iowa. Our win at Indiana is better than their neutral win over ND but their neutral win over Florida is probably better than our home win vs. Michigan. We have Michigan State and Ohio State wins at home, yes. Maybe our wins are a little better - maybe. But they have less total losses, more total wins, and better losses. It doesn’t seem close to me at all unless you are penalizing them for losing more Q1 games instead of Q3/4. What am I missing?
The thing I keep seeing with Notre Dame is 2018 Nebraska (13-5 in big ten and 4 Q1-Q2 wins).
I don’t see how they get in.
What’s the message if they do? Run up a gaudy record on empty calories (Wake similar).
If you’re looking for a team off the board that could make it, I could see Oklahoma
The ACC is complete and utter garbage this year and I agree that ND and Wake got fat playing their down conference this year.
Agreed - their case really depends on how much weight the committe gives to wins away from home. Having 11 of those is a lot even if few are against tourney teams. It’s not like they are playing a SWAC schedule.
But then - all they have in terms of wins against the field - home vs Colorado State and Boise. Weak.
Oklahoma no. Sorry being 7-11 in conference is not good enough.
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Reallt trying to be unbiased…but I see it as bac sees it
The last 8-10 teams out, a lot of them are weak on WHAT they did when they played teams in the field . And how did they do when they played the teams on the top of the field ….
I know Oregon is way out, but even , they have wins against the top of the field
Then there is Rutgers
1-1 against 2 seed Purdue
1-1 against 3 seed Wisconsin
1-1 against 4 seed Illinois
1-1 against 4/5 seed Iowa
1-0 against 7/8 seed Michigan state
1-0 against 7/8 seed Ohio state
0-1 against 8/9 seed seton hall
1-0 against 11/12 seed Indiana
1-1 against 11/12 seed Michigan
8-6 against the field
4-4 against top 5 Seeds more than erases umass and Lafayette…we more than pass the eye ball test
We would be a lock except for they computers…and a question on how much weight they really carry
The fact that we are mostly
Being compared to power 6 teams helps us against the computer , me thinks
The last 8-10 teams out, a lot of them are weak on WHAT they did when they played teams in the field . And how did they do when they played the teams on the top of the field ….
I know Oregon is way out, but even , they have wins against the top of the field
Then there is Rutgers
1-1 against 2 seed Purdue
1-1 against 3 seed Wisconsin
1-1 against 4 seed Illinois
1-1 against 4/5 seed Iowa
1-0 against 7/8 seed Michigan state
1-0 against 7/8 seed Ohio state
0-1 against 8/9 seed seton hall
1-0 against 11/12 seed Indiana
1-1 against 11/12 seed Michigan
8-6 against the field
4-4 against top 5 Seeds more than erases umass and Lafayette…we more than pass the eye ball test
We would be a lock except for they computers…and a question on how much weight they really carry
The fact that we are mostly
Being compared to power 6 teams helps us against the computer , me thinks
Look deeper than an inflated quad number vs no bodies..2 quality wins
And Rutgers got top 3 teams in conference twice. 2 vs Illinois, Purdue and Wisconsin.
I worry people that are saying metrics don’t matter don’t realize metrics matter more than ever and will only continue to matter even more as every year goes by.
Yep . They matter and the committee will try to validate some of these numbers . Remember , most of these clowns didn’t watch us all year . If we get in, I will be shocked if we are not in Dayton
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