Best post in this thread.
1) With only 13 players, you are handing out 3-4 scholarships per year. If one of those players fails to meet potential, you've lost 25-33% of your recruiting class. Plus with so many fewer players, it is rare to find someone who has sailed under the radar or is a diamond in the rough.
2) True, Jordan left the basketball program in much better shape than Flood left the football program. Pikiell had more to work with than Ash, though Pikiell still has the decades of futility to contend with.
Also, the nature of basketball is that upsets are more common. Two years ago Rutgers beat #4 Wisconsin and Wisconsin went on to play in the National Championship game. We went 2-16 in conference that year. In 2003, Rutgers beat Carmelo Anthony's Syracuse team that went on to win the National Championship. We went 4-12 in conference that year. Despite those upset wins, our program certainly wasn't turned around.
Even this year, I'd hardly say the program is turned around. We went 3-15 in conference during the regular season. Certainly Pikiell has the team playing better and with more effort. But there seems to be a long way to go before the program is turned around.
3) Yep. Apples and Oranges. Basketball and football have different challenges to turn them around. You can't use a football lens to look at what it takes to turn a basketball program around, any more than you can use a basketball lens to look at football.