This class needs to be good, but last years with sanders and co IMO exceeded expectations. This class does not need to be as strong to show continues improved on the court, though it would be nice...
See, I don't buy that. First off, Johnson is only here for the next two years - so he's not a building block as much as a stop gap.
Next year:
Back court: Sanders (So), Williams (Jr), Johnson (Jr), Tripp (Fr), Goode (So)
Front court: Freeman (Sr), Foreman (Jr), Laurent (So), Diallo (So), Doorson (So)
3 recruits from 2016 (replacing Lewis, Daniels, Grier)
Let's assume this team stays healthy (and intact) all next year... we'd be looking at a much better season than this year, and a better overall team than we've had in recent years. Maybe we threaten to get to .500, but I don't think we're talking about the postseason. At this point, those three recruits probably don't really need to see much time - so, if it's a weak class overall, it's not going to have an immediate impact (unless we see injuries again, and need to dig deep into the bench). Even if we have a big season, though, we only have one scholarship to offer - so, no real help coming the following year.
Then 2017-18
Back court: Sanders (Jr), Williams (Sr), Johnson (Sr), Tripp (So), Goode (Jr)
Front court: Foreman (Sr), Laurent (Jr), Diallo (Jr), Doorson (Jr)
3 recruits from 2016 (replacing Lewis, Daniels, Grier)
1 recruit from 2017 (replacing Freeman)
We'd be losing our best front court player from the prior season, though everyone else would be a year more experienced. Now we see how well the other bigs have developed - and what kind of big we managed to sign in 2016 (if any). Maybe a shot at the NIT, but I don't see this as an NCAA squad. This *has* to be a big season, though, with a big recruiting class - 3 players departing, and they need to be a step up from Johnson/Williams/Foreman if we're going to improve, rather than just stay at status quo.
Then 2018-19:
Back court: Sanders (Sr), Tripp (Jr), Goode (Sr)
Front court: Laurent (Sr), Diallo (Sr), Doorson (Sr)
3 recruits from 2016 (Lewis, Daniels, Grier)
1 recruit from 2017 (Freeman)
3 recruit from 2018 (Johnson, Williams, Foreman)
Here's where I see a weak 2016 class becoming a problem. We'd be lacking depth in the back court (loss of Johnson/Williams) and the front court (Freeman/Foreman). Even if Tripp turns out to be a stud, a weak remaining 3 spots would mean leaning heavily on underclassmen (largely freshmen) in 2018-19.