Here is why I’m not buying what Hobbs tried to sell on the knight report podcast that he extends guys preemptively when he thinks other schools will start calling.
1) There’s only about 10 schools that can pay the “make me move” price which I believe is roughly $1,000,000 more per year than his current salary. Those schools are Arizona, Oregon, Texas A&M, Arkansas, UCLA, WVU, Illinois, Virginia, Auburn, Tennessee, Michigan State, Kansas, Kentucky.
Those schools arent looking for coaches and if those jobs opened up pike wouldnt be on shortlists
2) AD’s are focusing on offense with their hires these days. The best hire over the past number of years was nate oates. Offense, offense, offense. AD’s recognize that offense is what gets fans most excited and sells tix + it ultimately is what raises your ceiling.
Imagine being an AD for a school with a top 10 salary pool and hiring pike and saying, “guys we got this great coach, past 7 years in the b1g and won 1 total tourney game”. Theyd bring out the pitchforks. Can he take a shit program to average by virtue of simply out toughing teams? Hell yeah. Thing is those top 10 salary schools arent looking to go from historically bad to average, theyre looking to go from good to great.
3) $15,000,000 buy out. A school isnt paying that unless its a sure fire slam dunk proven coach. Pike is not that.
4) Pike is a northeast guy. Where the hell is he going
Ultimately, Hobbs needs to chill out with these annual extensions any time he has a couple good weeks. He already is signed super long term, with a ton of guaranteed money and a huge buyout. You don't need to extend him every year. You don’t extend guys and pay them more money when they do not have a single alternative that can offer them more than we can.