Hawk you’ve told us countless times how you didn’t think the loss of a healthy Mag had any impact on our season last year.
Curious why you think his minutes are suddenly valuable this year and will impact winning.
What changed?!??
Nothing has changed at all.....you and other fans stay in denial about last year and what happened in February and March...once Mulcahy scored 17 points in the 2nd half at MSG when Mag was injured, we had 3 real options to backfill the minutes.....
A) Play Simpson more minutes and move Mulcahy off the ball
B) Play Palmquist more and keep Simpson minutes under 15 per game.
C) Play Woolfolk and Palmquist more as a tandem and keep Mulcahy's minutes the same and keep Simpson minutes down, as the 4th guard, while continuing to play Mulcahy, Spencer and Caleb 32+ minutes per game.
To recap...Mulcahy in the games since the injury.
At Indiana 31 minutes.....2 points.....loss by 6. Palmquist played well enough hitting some timely 3s....did Mag not playing result in RU not winning this game....NO, because Mags production on offense was offset by the Palmquist production.
At Illinois 34 minutes....12 points....loss by 9....I believe Paul had 10 1st half points....but I do think Mag could have helped us vs Coleman Hawkins, but not a game RU would have been expected to win Mag or no Mag.
Nebraska 35 minutes......2 points....loss by 10....Nebraska shot lights out from 3 and Mag could have helped but Hyatt actually scored 27 points, so while giving up 82 was rare, I give Nebraska credit for lights out shooting.
At Wisconsin 36 minutes 6 points....win by 1......could RU have won by more points if Mag played?? Yes, but Hyatt scored a key basket down the stretch.
Michigan 35 minutes....9 points....loss by 13.....only scoring 45 points and giving up 58, isn't a Mag issue in my opinion. More defense wasn't going to help RU. We needed points from our guards.
At PSU 29 minutes.....0 points....win by 3.....while RU won this game, I believe the damage was done with Mulcahy not being productive and we were in a free fall. 0 points is hard to fathom in 29 minutes but Mag is the issue???
At Minny 35 minutes....6 points...loss by 1.....no need to explain how critical Point guard leadership is and was for this game....6 points on the road from your PG, has ZERO to do with Mawot Mag. Could Mag have overcome Mulcahy's fall off?? That's Simpson who could have helped not Mag.
NWestern 34 minutes...8 points....loss by 12...damage was completely done at this point, another lackluster performance on offense, not a lack of defense where Mag excelled.
Mag was the 5th scoring option after Cliff, Spencer, Caleb or Mulcahy and after Hyatt.
I have FIVE players that RU asked to score points and help RU before I get to Mag....one of those options to actually score, wasn't played enough in Simpson. All of those players (Cliff, Simpson, Spencer, Mulcahy, Caleb and Hyatt are ALL more likely to score more points than Mag. Defense was NOT the problem, the lack of productivity from the guards was.
RU didn't play poor defense when Mag left, they just didn't have elite, top of the food-chain defense. RU needed more offense and leadership from its starting backcourt... that is the point guard, not Mawot Mag.
Soooo......why do I think Mag is important in 2023-24. ?? It comes down to 15 to 17 minutes per game in 23 to 25 most important games....these games are....
Wake Forest, Seton Hall and Mississippi State....then 20 B1G games....and possibly 2 B1G tournament games.
Here's the minute distribution as of today in the 1st 5 games.
Cliff 26 minutes
Hyatt 26 minutes
Simpson 25 minutes
Fernandes 27 minutes
Griffiths 23 minutes
Woolfolk 19 minutes
Davis 22 minutes
Austin Williams 19 minutes
Palmquist 15 minutes
Chol 6 minutes
Do I think this minutes distribution is realistic going forward.....YES, 100%.
Is there a situation where minutes will go up dramatically for some players...maybe Cliff gets from 26 to 30 to 32 minutes. The rest seems in line going forward....maybe a few less for Woolfolk, but not limited to just backing up Cliff for 8 minutes a game in all 23 of these legitimate games on the schedule.
Will Austin Williams stay at 19 minutes?? Probably not, but he's a guard.....those minutes don't fall in the Mag category.
Where do I see Mag fitting in?? Not at 32 minutes a game, not at 28 minutes....maybe 12 minutes to get set....then in January maybe up to 18.....that's about it on average.
If I look at the minute breakdown, for the 23 games, my guess is Mag absorbs and plays in the 15 minutes or so that Oskar is playing. Maybe not all 15, maybe Oskar plays 6 to 8 minutes....maybe Hyatt goes from 26 to 22 minutes....maybe Woolfolk is back to 15 minutes vs 20, but Woolfolk and Mag today, provide the same things. We just need 40 minutes of that production, when Woolfolk isn't on the court.
Do I want Mag playing 12 to 18 minutes in all 23 most important games OR Palmquist in those same minutes.....?? It would be Mag, for rebounding, defense and post up offense. Those things are not where Oskar thrives. Palmquist and Chol would be competing with Hyatt at the perimeter forward spot. If Palmquist and Chol defended or rebounded better, there wouldn't be a need for Mag, his role would be covered.
So it's Mag for Palmquist minutes in 80 to 90% of the scenarios I can see for a rotation. Hope this helps!!