Haven't we done this already? 2007 quotes about iPhone:
""There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance. It’s a $500 subsidized item. They may make a lot of money. But if you actually take a look at the 1.3 billion phones that get sold, I’d prefer to have our software in 60% or 70% or 80% of them, than I would to have 2% or 3%, which is what Apple might get."
-Steve Ballmer
"That virtual keyboard will be about as useful for tapping out emails and text messages as a rotary phone. Don’t be surprised if a sizable contingent of iPhone buyers express some remorse at ditching their BlackBerry when they spend an extra hour each day pumping out emails on the road."
- TechCrunch
"I have three specific reasons why the iPhone’s design will cause it to crash in flames the way Apple’s late and unlamented Newton did, only much more loudly and publicly because of all the hype it’s gotten. First, the iPhone ignores the main reasons that the iPod succeeded: simplicity and ease of use. Second, the iPhone crams too many functions into a single box. Putting everything in the same package so you only have to carry one box sounds like a good idea, until you want to listen to music while surfing the web or reading your email or playing a game. Third, users will detest the touch screen interface due to its lack of tactile feedback. Using a thumb keyboard, as on the very popular Treo phone, allows the user to feel the keys and know subconsciously that he’s about to press this one and not the one next to it. A touch screen doesn’t allow that, so the user will have to be looking at the keyboard at all times while using it."
-Tech author David Platt
"The Apple phone will be exclusive to one of the major networks in each territory and some customers will switch networks just to get it, but not as many as had been hoped. As customers start to realise that the competition offers better functionality at a lower price, by negotiating a better subsidy, sales will stagnate. After a year a new version will be launched, but it will lack the innovation of the first and quickly vanish.mThe only question remaining is if, when the iPod phone fails, it will take the iPod with it."
-Tech journalist Bill Ray
"Apparently none of you guys realize how bad of an idea a touch-screen is on a phone. I foresee some pretty obvious and pretty major problems here. I'll be keeping my Samsung A707, thanks. It's smaller, it's got a protected screen, and it's got proper buttons. And it's got all the same features otherwise."
"Apparently none of you guys realize how bad of an idea a touch-screen is on a phone. I foresee some pretty obvious and pretty major problems here. I'll be keeping my Samsung A707, thanks. It's smaller, it's got a protected screen, and it's got proper buttons. And it's got all the same features otherwise."
"Touch screen buttons? BAD idea. This thing will never work."
-Tech User forum
Paradigm shifts are only noticeable years later. Apple's market cap was $100B in 2007. There were a TON of people who would have told you Apple was overvalued in 2007. Apple's market cap is $2.4T today. Maybe Tesla isn't to auto industry what Apple was to tech industry. Maybe it is. I didn't bet against Steve Jobs and I am not betting against Elon Musk. Time will tell.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/bensin...hought-the-iphone-would-fail/?sh=63aeef18544e