How is he wrong about the Cybertruck?
I agree with many things you post here, but you are coming off defensive and as a Tesla cheerleader here. Nobody knows what the sales will be at the increased price point whenever it is released.
And there indeed was an excitement when Tesla announced the "first" pickup truck, but it is certainly reasonable to conclude that the excitement has waned and that all of the reservations will not convert to orders. They never do with any vehicle, do they? People's circumstances change, other options become available, the excitement of being "first" is gone, the economy has changed, and prices are much higher. There is no need to be defensive about the reality of the situation.
One key factor that will impact Tesla's Cybertruck sales will be the supply and demand of electric pickup trucks generally from Ford, Rivian, GM/Chevrolet and Dodge/Ram. There will be enough market for each player, but will the other players be able to meet the demand? We shall see.
I have related here that I was on board with the CT when it was announced. But the multiple delays, a hard no way from everyone else in my household being seen in a weird looking vehicle, and the earlier release of the Lightning caused me to pivot to the Lightning. I am ecstatic with my choice.
Part of the problem with this thread is we have people who hate Elon Musk and Tesla and just want to throw stones at them both. There is another bunch who just had EVs and are contrarians, or they have expectation/hopes of a 600 mile range EV. A more distinct problem are the handful of Tesla cheerleaders who can be overly defensive on factual posts about Tesla, but on the same hand, some of the sources/articles are weak sauce attacks on Tesla.
EV drivers mostly want the same thing. And for the sake of the market, it is not healthy to have a monopoly in any product market. Tesla fans should want other automakers to make EVs and a sizeable market share and to succeed. Ultimately, competition will drive further innovation and consumer choice.
Maybe you will trust KBB, or are they anti-Tesla? From a recent article (1/27/2023):
"
Coming in 2021; No, 2022; No, 2023; No…
This latest production target is at least the fourth date Musk has promised.
When Musk
announced the Cybertruck back in 2019,
he promised it would be in production within two years.
He later delayed that to 2022.
Then delayed it again into 2023.
This latest announcement means the first trucks could leave factory doors this summer."
"
When Tesla first announced the Cybertruck, no other automaker had publicly discussed building an electric pickup. But you may have noticed that, above, we mentioned a Ford electric truck already in customers’ parking spots.
Ford’s F-150 Lightning is hardly alone. GMC already sells its
Hummer EV. Startup Rivian has delivered hundreds of
R1T pickups to customers. Startup
Lordstown Motors has begun customer deliveries of its Endurance truck.
General Motors has announced both a
Chevrolet Silverado EV and a
GMC Sierra EV, which could reach production before the Cybertruck, pushing Tesla’s debut to seventh at best.
Ram’s 1500 Revolution – which seats six and can follow its owner like a puppy – is likely further behind."
From an earlier article (8/19/2021 after the first delay:
"
It’s not clear whether most of the 1 million who have reserved a Cybertruck could be tempted away to more conventional-looking models that deliver earlier."
From an article (1/14/2022) after the second delay:
"It’s always difficult for journalists to get reliable information out of Tesla." "
The futuristic, almost brutalist-styled Cybertruck was among the first electric pickups announced. But it now trails several competitors in getting to market."
cleantechnica.com
www.businessinsider.com
