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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Hard to believe how far META has fallen. ALGN crushed. WOLF crushed. GOOG…MSFT…So many stocks are getting obliterated. It’s only taken me 20 years of investing to finally realize that most of these analysts, advisors, hedge fund managers, etc. don’t know much more than most of us yet they make boatloads of money. In the past two weeks fund managers on CNBC talking up ALGN and WOLF. GMAFB. These guys are clueless. Unfortunately, it’s the crooked guys with inside info that prevail in the end, together with scum of the Earth like the SPAC King Chamath, who’s really nothing more than a pick-pocket billionaire. Chamath should be in jail as he led so many investors to the slaughterhouse.

And the NASDAQ index is holding up pretty well despite this. That might be a sign of the bottom for the NASDAQ.
 
I'd say building and acquiring are synonymous in this case. He acquired Instagram for $1billion and people thought he was crazy. Its now worth 100x that. The same could end up being true for the Oculus acquisition and all of the subsequent smaller VR related purchases.
I don't know where FB Marketplace came from, of if we just include that in the FB build, but I've found that very useful. Got a great deal on a car off of it. Bought a stove and a washing machine as well (buying new is for suckers).

It's my only use of FB, but it gets a big thumbs up from me.
 
And the NASDAQ index is holding up pretty well despite this. That might be a sign of the bottom for the NASDAQ.
All the indexes have held up despite MSFT, GOOGLE and META getting smashed.

NOW on the other hand is up 16%, CEO says(you might be watching this as well) they raised 4th Qtr guidance.
 
All the indexes have held up despite MSFT, GOOGLE and META getting smashed.

NOW on the other hand is up 16%, CEO says(you might be watching this as well) they raised 4th Qtr guidance.

I was watching. That guy is funny to listen to and he is killing it. I've seen him before and he seems to be way ahead of the curve.
 
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But that's my point. He has been trying to build it internally and that's why its failing. The Capex is insane. I also don't think the metaverse is the future, it's a small market. He is betting the farm on a niche.

Just watched Cramer melt down and apologize to the viewers for his META call. LOL.
They've acquired 10-12 Oculus/VR related companies in the last 3 years. You can say its failing, or say it's still building.
 
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NOW is going to train 1,000,000 people by 2024, says they won't necessarily work for the company, but could be working with partners.

That's a big claim.

Granted he's a guy who wears sunglasses indoors.
 
Best month for the Dow since 1987?

That's pretty crazy.

And note the Nasdaq is not having a great month. Heck of a rotation away from tech.
 
That eliminates any thought that interest rates are not going up
Everyone expects another .75 at the next meeting. Another .50 on top of that by the end of the year.

But the economy can grow while inflation comes down.
 
GDP stronger than expected. 2.6%.

Markets jump premarket.

The details of this are interesting. All the gains seem to be exports (primarily energy and weapons) to Europe.

The rest of the details are all over the place. Look forward to someone breaking this down in an article.
 
The details of this are interesting. All the gains seem to be exports (primarily energy and weapons) to Europe.

The rest of the details are all over the place. Look forward to someone breaking this down in an article.
My portfolio reflects this.

Defense and oil stocks have helped offset the tech and growth getting destroyed.

NOC is up 56% for me. HII and LMT up 30%. HII had been a dog for awhile, but I stuck with it.

On the oil side I have SLB up 40% OXY up 25% and KMI up 15%. The latter of that group was down on a disappointing qtr. I should add.
 
What are the predictions for AAPL reporting today. My guess is the market will head lower tomorrow and planning to buy a modest amount of puts on TQQQ and SOXL before closing today.
 
My portfolio reflects this.

Defense and oil stocks have helped offset the tech and growth getting destroyed.

NOC is up 56% for me. HII and LMT up 30%. HII had been a dog for awhile, but I stuck with it.

On the oil side I have SLB up 40% OXY up 25% and KMI up 15%. The latter of that group was down on a disappointing qtr. I should add.
Diversification ! In my opinion in pays off in the long run to be diversified bases on your personal investment plan. Heavy concentration in a given sector or stock can look good in the short term but usually doesn’t work in the long term, at.east that’s my experience.
 
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What are the predictions for AAPL reporting today. My guess is the market will head lower tomorrow and planning to buy a modest amount of puts on TQQQ and SOXL before closing today.
What has killed Googl and Meta(snap too) is ad revs. Meta has the added weight of the metaverse investment.

I think MSFT's issue was cloud growth?

So I definitely think the AAPL story is much different than those companies. Now maybe they have similar downside issues with their products? But it's definitely different.
 
What has killed Googl and Meta(snap too) is ad revs. Meta has the added weight of the metaverse investment.

I think MSFT's issue was cloud growth?

So I definitely think the AAPL story is much different than those companies. Now maybe they have similar downside issues with their products? But it's definitely different.
And it was Apple's privacy policy changes that directly caused the problems at Google/Meta with ad revenue. They've benefited while the others have been hit.
 
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Money moving from high PE mega stocks seeking value supports overall market. Money does not flow from META to cash. So, S&P stable. Once earning season is over expect drip down to lower levels.
S&P 3k?
I'm noticing QQQ is up in extended despite META taking a big hit.

Anyone know the driver?
 
Money moving from high PE mega stocks seeking value supports overall market. Money does not flow from META to cash. So, S&P stable. Once earning season is over expect drip down to lower levels.
S&P 3k?
I was talking QQQ, last night in extended.

DJI up (and S&P holding), with QQQ down over the past month is what you are talking.
 
AMZN now getting smashed down 20ish%

I sold it at $135(think I was somewhat even or maybe down a bit).

Almost bought it back via options at $120 and $125.

See how it shakes out here, but I might look to get back, but rev guidance is really bad apparently. And that's not good for a high p/e stock.
 
AMZN now getting smashed down 20ish%

I sold it at $135(think I was somewhat even or maybe down a bit).

Almost bought it back via options at $120 and $125.

See how it shakes out here, but I might look to get back, but rev guidance is really bad apparently. And that's not good for a high p/e stock.
AWS broke the $20b revenue threshold with 33% growth. Wow. The future looks good for AMZN. Retail was impacted by the economy, but that happens from time to time. Probably a good time to jump back in on this artificial dip.
 
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AMZN now getting smashed down 20ish%

I sold it at $135(think I was somewhat even or maybe down a bit).

Almost bought it back via options at $120 and $125.

See how it shakes out here, but I might look to get back, but rev guidance is really bad apparently. And that's not good for a high p/e stock.
I knew earnings weren’t going to be good for Fang and retained less than 100 shares of each. I even cut back more seeing MSFT drop.
 
There’s been this rampant speculation that CS’ balance sheet with respect to credit default swaps resembles Lehman’s back in 2007/2008.
Horrible day for CS, 400mm operating loss pulling forward a ton of restructuring costs into a 4.0 billion loss. Restructuring plan not received well given huge dilution and 3 year build out, just to stabilize the bank.

I am still amused by statements earlier this month. What does “speculation that cs balance sheet with respect to credit default swaps” actually mean. What were you trying to say?
 
AWS broke the $20b revenue threshold with 33% growth. Wow. This future looks good for AMZN. Retail was impacted by the economy, but that happens from time to time. Probably a good time to jump back in on this artificial dip.
Ya AWS continues to grow, and there seems to be a lot of room for belt tightening in retail.

If they slim down in the intermediate time frame, and then the economy bounces back in the back half of 2023, the EPS should grow considerably.
 
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Oof with Amazon. I got some a few weeks ago around $120. I may buy some more now along with Apple.


Lol
 
Wow, the market is drinking from a firehose of information today.

ECB raise rates, META, AMZN, GDP numbers but really didn't move that much. I guess everyone is waiting for the FED and/or the mid terms.

Although Nasdaq futures are currently down 3%.
 
Wow, the market is drinking from a firehose of information today.

ECB raise rates, META, AMZN, GDP numbers but really didn't move that much. I guess everyone is waiting for the FED and/or the mid terms.

Although Nasdaq futures are currently down 3%.
Daq futures are down 0.6%.
 
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