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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Half of the posts about SIVB are coming from right wingnuts saying it failed because they had diversity hires.

So if you want to take political shots, I can too.

It’s why I stopped posting in the CE board. It’s a total waste of time. If you guys don’t want to post trade ideas here, and would rather devolve into “inflation is fake”, “get woke, go broke”, “old man in basement is bad”, then I’ll stop posting here too.

Let’s keep the bullshit off this tread, and just talk stocks.

Seriously, you are the worst one on the thread. Just admit woke is broke and all will be forgiven.
 
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That would be good for me. I am halfway through my purchase goal for my granddaughters 529 and will not need the money for 15 years.

I would like to see lower prices for a little while.
you never want lower prices, you want sideways action as lower prices mean more harm than good for your portfolio

always amazed when people who hold assets want prices to go down to accumulate. you don't have to have a portfolio that goes down, per se, in a trying market. what you want is sideways action
 
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Seriously, you are the worst one on the thread. Just admit woke is broke and all will be forgiven.
what is funny is those claiming she wasn't a diversity hire have no explanation for her resume or lack there of plus her activities while in the position.

it's like the freak at the nuke dept that biden put in

crickets
 
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Half of the posts about SIVB are coming from right wingnuts saying it failed because they had diversity hires.

So if you want to take political shots, I can too.

It’s why I stopped posting in the CE board. It’s a total waste of time. If you guys don’t want to post trade ideas here, and would rather devolve into “inflation is fake”, “get woke, go broke”, “old man in basement is bad”, then I’ll stop posting here too.

Let’s keep the bullshit off this tread, and just talk stocks.
Inflation is fake is T2K, nothing to do with politics.
 
no, they roll Tbills like everyone else. The problem here is hubris and lack of basic financial management principles. Oprah having 500mm in cash and not in t bills at cit, chase, etc, is just mindblowing.

Seriously, who is advising these people. Treasury management programs are widely available if you can't do it yourself.

ROKU, Oprah, SVB all had no idea what they were doing.
 
OK one more attempt to reset the thread.

I think we have one or two 25 bip raises before the Fed pauses.

That doesn’t mean we move to QE, but that everyone is willing to see if the terminal rate is enough to coast inflation to around 3%.

Things are slowing. Risk off is a thing. Excesses are being wrung out (VC slowing down, tech is right sizing- for example META just laid off 1O,000).

This next earnings period will be telling. Some companies are going to do ok in a year of a high rate environment, some won’t. Look for babies thrown out with the bath water.

In a month I’m going to run screens to find stocks. Probably positive FCFF with a PE below 14. The pivot is coming. Not this week but soon.
 
what is funny is those claiming she wasn't a diversity hire have no explanation for her resume or lack there of plus her activities while in the position.

it's like the freak at the nuke dept that biden put in

crickets

Nobody knows anything about her. So rather than defending / attacking her, we probably shouldn’t be arguing about her at all.

You spend absolute 0% of your posts on her caveating that she apparently works for the UK subsidiary (an HSBC sub as of yesterday), that you have no idea how her role contributed or didn’t contribute to the bank’s issues, and you have no idea what her qualifications are / were?

That screen snip of her that people keep sharing was not her corporate bio, if she maintained one, it was from a deck the company put together on diversity / inclusion stuff. It is not the extent of her background, it is her background as it related to that context.
 
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Nobody knows anything about her. So rather than defending / attacking her, we probably shouldn’t be arguing about her at all.

You spend absolute 0% of your posts on her caveating that she apparently works for the UK subsidiary (an HSBC sub as of yesterday), that you have no idea how her role contributed or didn’t contribute to the bank’s issues, and you have no idea what her qualifications are / were?

That screen snip of her that people keep sharing was not her corporate bio, if she maintained one, it was from a deck the company put together on diversity / inclusion stuff. It is not the extent of her background, it is her background as it related to that context.
wrong, her resume and work experience is out there.

her work activities have been described through various items including linkedin on a simple search

you guys gotta be less lazy and try harder
 
Seriously, who is advising these people. Treasury management programs are widely available if you can't do it yourself.

ROKU, Oprah, SVB all had no idea what they were doing.
it's because of group think. I can tell you that a lot of senior level positions have social requirements or looks now. it's appalling what I see and hear.

You think that bank would hire a red wall st guy? lol I know I kid...lol
 
wrong, her resume and work experience is out there.

her work activities have been described through various items including linkedin on a simple search

you guys gotta be less lazy and try harder

You shouldn’t have brought this to my attention.

If the info floating around is accurate, what I found was that she was in IT risk assessment…

Not balance sheet risk, not interest rate risk, not the guy in Margin Call who realized that the institution is a bad day away from going under.

IT risk…
 
So, what if a company has $1b in cash? Do they have to spread it across 4,000 banks? LOL. That doesn't make sense.
Hmmmmm... Off the top of my head....
Capital investment in the business
Acquisitions
Buyback shares
Dividends
Short-Term and long-term MARKETABLE Securities (measured carefully)
Others?
 
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You shouldn’t have brought this to my attention.

If the info floating around is accurate, what I found was that she was in IT risk assessment…

Not balance sheet risk, not interest rate risk, not the guy in Margin Call who realized that the institution is a bad day away from going under.

IT risk…
so again, who is going to defend this as anything other than a diversity hire?


and for those of you who don't want politics discussed but fail to see the connection, look no further than CS which I said 6 mos ago would fall on the political sword!
 
Hmmmmm... Off the top of my head....
Capital investment in the business
Acquisitions
Buyback shares
Dividends
Short-Term and long-term MARKETABLE Securities (measured carefully)
Others?
is the only correct answer for these companies. We're not talking mature enterprises that are brick and morter per se, we're talking 90%+ start up, vc , high tech.

the nature of the business drives the application of funds
 
you never want lower prices, you want sideways action as lower prices mean more harm than good for your portfolio

always amazed when people who hold assets want prices to go down to accumulate. you don't have to have a portfolio that goes down, per se, in a trying market. what you want is sideways action
Got it
 
so again, who is going to defend this as anything other than a diversity hire?

We don’t know anything about her! She might not even be in IT risk…I saw it on LinkedIn…that maybe isn’t even her page or she may have changed it.

That’s the thing, we don’t know anything about her. Which is why using her as a symbol for the collapse is so pointless. And why we shouldn’t even be having this conversation.

I read “When Genius Failed” last summer. Extremely qualified financial geniuses managed to bankrupt a hedge fund while carrying massive systemic risk.

Maybe there were qualified people at the helm here, maybe not. We don’t know, and we should stop arguing about one employee in the UK.
 
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We don’t know anything about her! She might not even be in IT risk…I saw it on LinkedIn…that maybe isn’t even her page or she may have changed it.

That’s the thing, we don’t know anything about her. Which is why using her as a symbol for the collapse is so pointless. And why we shouldn’t even be having this conversation.

I read “When Genius Failed” last summer. Extremely qualified financial geniuses managed to bankrupt a hedge fund while carrying massive systemic risk.

Maybe there were qualified people at the helm here, maybe not. We don’t know, and we should stop arguing about one employee in the UK.
His brain is polluted to see everything from a political lens. Don’t engage; it’s a waste of time. If he believed in what he says then he’d go through companies and find gay/black/female/ furry drag c-suite executives who don’t belong and short the stocks. He won’t because it’s bullshit. His commentary is for the CE board.

Focus on finding and discussing trade opportunities.
 
Hmmmmm... Off the top of my head....
Capital investment in the business
Acquisitions
Buyback shares
Dividends
Short-Term and long-term MARKETABLE Securities (measured carefully)
Others?
Love buybacks, but all companies need some liquid cash (and some a lot depending on their current state).
 
The link I posted. I'm happy the market is still pricing in a .25% hike so the Fed can save face. It will make the upcoming pause announcement even more impactful!

0% chance of .50%
75% chance of .25%
25% chance of no increase
both sides get to claim victory with .25

strange times...
 
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We don’t know anything about her! She might not even be in IT risk…I saw it on LinkedIn…that maybe isn’t even her page or she may have changed it.

That’s the thing, we don’t know anything about her. Which is why using her as a symbol for the collapse is so pointless. And why we shouldn’t even be having this conversation.

I read “When Genius Failed” last summer. Extremely qualified financial geniuses managed to bankrupt a hedge fund while carrying massive systemic risk.

Maybe there were qualified people at the helm here, maybe not. We don’t know, and we should stop arguing about one employee in the UK.
you need to look harder, it's all there

interesting that her linkedin was scrubbed
 
Good CPI print today, as expected. Annualized MoM inflation remains well under the 2% target when using real-time shelter data, not the garbage CPI metric. Everyone, including the Fed, has talked about how awful CPI is with shelter.

Solid declining trend allows the Fed to pause now (or do a .25% next week to save face).
you and i have been on opposite sides of this... which is fine by me... it's fun to watch how it plays out..

but, I'd suggest that the Fed can't do less than 25bps

less than 25 is not just "save face".... rather, it would signal that things are really really bad... and they don't want to do that either.........
 
We don’t know anything about her! She might not even be in IT risk…I saw it on LinkedIn…that maybe isn’t even her page or she may have changed it.

That’s the thing, we don’t know anything about her. Which is why using her as a symbol for the collapse is so pointless. And why we shouldn’t even be having this conversation.

I read “When Genius Failed” last summer. Extremely qualified financial geniuses managed to bankrupt a hedge fund while carrying massive systemic risk.

Maybe there were qualified people at the helm here, maybe not. We don’t know, and we should stop arguing about one employee in the UK.
This type of executive hire points to a failure by many parties within SVB to properly manage risk. She seems to have spent an inordinate amount of her work time on non risk management activities. There are plenty of senior mgrs who have been motivated by bonus factors to fill positions with diversity, not what is best for the shareholders. If you have been motivated to exclude the vast majority of potential candidates, you end up with weak hires.
 
So, what if a company has $1b in cash? Do they have to spread it across 4,000 banks? LOL. That doesn't make sense.

There are technology based tools and services that can easily and effectively spread deposits across many banks. Having said that, a question is what is the right capital allocation and deposit level. T-bills, money markets, other short term instruments can be used. Cash flow management and an overall disciplined financial plan with regular review is obviously important here.
 
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I think there is some confusion (not necessarily in this thread but in the public in general) regarding the FDIC coverage limit. Please see attached. Essentially you can have coverage of $250k at a bank per account type. So, for example, a married couple that had individual saving accounts, a joint savings account, each with IRAs, their coverage would be up to $250k per account and type. In the case above, &250k for each separate savings account, $250k each for the joint, $250k each for each of their IRAs. Of course, this could be replicated at another(s) institution.

 
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I think there is some confusion (not necessarily in this thread but in the public in general) regarding the FDIC coverage limit. Please see attached. Essentially you can have coverage of $250k at a bank per account type. So, for example, a married couple that had individual saving accounts, a joint savings account, each with IRAs, their coverage would be up to $250k per account and type. In the case above, &250k for each separate savings account, $250k each for the joint, $250k each for each of their IRAs. Of course, this could be replicated at another(s) institution.

Yea that was actually brought up a few weeks ago for someone splitting up money beyond 250K. I mentioned you didn’t necessarily need to split it up among multiple banks assuming you trust your spouse lol because the limits are by account type.
 
This type of executive hire points to a failure by many parties within SVB to properly manage risk. She seems to have spent an inordinate amount of her work time on non risk management activities. There are plenty of senior mgrs who have been motivated by bonus factors to fill positions with diversity, not what is best for the shareholders. If you have been motivated to exclude the vast majority of potential candidates, you end up with weak hires.
this has been ongoing but according to some, nothing to see here folks. She was a consultant and not even in risk model management space while at Deloitte. I know that team well
 
There should be a training program for tech CFOs on treasury operations and cash management. It's not rocket science.
in all fairness, mature vs not so mature and of course, market scope and breadth matter but who's really paying attention


really dumbfounded at just how ignorant this board is to business, cash management, investing and overall market dynamics. Oh and of course, political issues/consequences
 
Yea that was actually brought up a few weeks ago for someone splitting up money beyond 250K. I mentioned you didn’t necessarily need to split it up among multiple banks assuming you trust your spouse lol because the limits are by account type.
My apology, don’t think I saw that. When a thread gets too political for me, or otherwise turns into a pissing match, I stay away for a bit. Not sure that happened here, could have just been my senility.
 
nope, now we've got pensions that had monies in svb so that will be the new round of comedy.

California teachers association, korea pensions and more. gonna get funny
Honestly, those woke CRT teaching pro-trans teachers in California should not not get a dollar from real Americans. Same for Korea pension- why pay Elaine Coco Chow’s relatives first.

Make America Greater Again
 
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