OT: Stock and Investment Talk
- Thread starter RU-05
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Lots of attention has been going to Lilly, Novo, and the weight loss companies, but PFE is still the best run big pharma company in my book. All that COVID cash has been/will be used on M&A to bolster their product pipeline.
Another heads up on Cellectar Biosciences (CLRB). One of my former colleagues just joined CLRB. Great professional, very thoughtful. I haven't spoken to him, but he wouldn't have joined without believing in their upcoming data release. Obviously, this is no guarantee and by the end of the year CLRB may be bankrupt.....or it may be up 200-300%. LOL!
Biotech is fun.
13x was ridiculously cheap, well below it's historical average. It was 30x prior to the Covid dip.
And it's currently 25x.
25x next years numbers would put it at $425. 40% upside.
And if you keep that 25x multiple, it's a $500 stock on 2025 expectations.
I just logged onto the Edge browser and it's giving me all sorts of AI tools, which of course is in exchange for me using their search engine.
How many people use Edge? Probably more then the 10ish% who don't currently use Google search.
Wonder if that(the reasoning laid out in the vid) is why BTC is on a run again?
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I believe this and also the upcoming spot ETF are causing the BTC pump. FS Insights has some crypto content, many believe Blackrock's application will be approved soon (perhaps a few weeks). Otherwise, multiple ETFs will get approved together on ARK's final deadline date (early Jan).
Speaking of the ETF, doesn't think bode poorly for exchanges like COIN? I assume all crypto stocks will pop on the approval, but maybe COIN is a put opportunity afterwards?
I’m sure MSFT is hoping that most folks who already have gmail/YouTube accounts (basically everyone, right?) will begin also using Edge instead of just Chrome. I mean I basically ended up with a gmail account because I already had a YouTube account and after the buyout of YouTube it was easier to just stay logged into gmail/YouTube permanently (which I am). I now have some questions for our IT folks at work.
Earninsg season has been great so far. Sooner rather than later, good news will be good news. And there is a lot of that going around now.
I'm strictly looking at this from the price and volume perspective. Watching where the big boys play. 260 and 194 are massive areas of volume. The bulls tried to hold on to 260 but failed miserably. There is a reason why we came down to this 195.xx area today and paused. The bulls are trying to do their best to hold on to 194. We may find some support here and take a breather to 215-220. However, if we find ourselves on the other side of 194 (and holding below) is not going to be pretty.
TSLA
Time to calm down. It was around $110 to start the year and almost 3x'ed due to good news and results. If you know anything about TSLA, it's volatile and has its good cycles and bad cycles. Just like the EV market.I'm strictly looking at this from the price and volume perspective. Watching where the big boys play. 260 and 194 are massive areas of volume. The bulls tried to hold on to 260 but failed miserably. There is a reason why we came down to this 195.xx area today and paused. The bulls are trying to do their best to hold on to 194. We may find some support here and take a breather to 215-220. However, if we find ourselves on the other side of 194 (and holding below) is not going to be pretty.
TSLA
And of course, Elon goes Elon from time to time. LOL! But that's the price to pay for genius.
Or just lower margins and slower sales.I'm strictly looking at this from the price and volume perspective. Watching where the big boys play. 260 and 194 are massive areas of volume. The bulls tried to hold on to 260 but failed miserably. There is a reason why we came down to this 195.xx area today and paused. The bulls are trying to do their best to hold on to 194. We may find some support here and take a breather to 215-220. However, if we find ourselves on the other side of 194 (and holding below) is not going to be pretty.
TSLA
Care to share? I'm looking to add some growth stocks to my portfolio and willing take some risk.
Long holds. I'm a tech nerd and I want to buy and the next Google. But finance or biotech are options too.
SOFI
INDI, a chip maker with a focus on auto's, a relatively new company, sub $1b market cap, that first reported rev's in 2021 of 50 mil. 2022 was at 111 mil. This year expected to be $226 mil, and recently said they will come in at the high end of those estimates. 2024 rev's expected to $360 mil.
Expected to be profitable next year. We shall see on that. The stock has been disaster of late, and recently broke through a support level, so I def don't recommend buying tomorrow. But only a 5x price to rev's, and the growth, as noted has been great.
SMCI is another chip company but they have a focus on AI and cloud. Currently profitable, 21x p/e. Sub 2x price to rev's. Stock was on a monster run for a couple years, and has given a little back of late, but rev and eps growth expected to be 40ish % into next year. Earnings on Wed. I think if it reaffirms the growth we've seen it could get going again.
MP is a rare earth mining company, the only one in the US. Currently profitable, with a 17x pe, but earnings, as well as rev's have come in yoy due to commodity prices coming in. But long term growth beyond this year is excellent. The chart sucks here too.
So while I'm in them, I'd recommend keeping an eye on them rather then jumping in. Use that time to do your research.
Folks that buy airline stocks get what they deserve! LOL.
But I missed out on sub-$30 WOLF yesterday due to stupid work. Big pop on earnings. Still eyeing it and INDI.
The big 3 have such an anchor around their necks with union labor costs. I doubt they will ever be successful enough to turnaround their stock in a sustainable way. Ford essentially slashed their EV investment to pay for the new UAW contract. Not good.
WOLF up 22% today on earnings "surprise." (Loss not as great as expected.)
Really nice bounce. As per my earlier post, I missed buying in yesterday due to work. By the time I was checking everything out, it already was up big after hours. I'll be patience and jump in soon.
More a trade then a long term investment.
But I think the cuts/delays in EV investment is due to the market being flooded with supply.
Halloween is insane this year, about 250 kids and still going (but finally slowing down).
F is under $10, so I can see a bounce. Morningstar's FMV is $20. However, I assume earnings will be impacted by the strike, so get out by next report?
Another stock I own which has been a total disaster of late is LTHM. A lithium miner. Double miss yesterday (plus downward revisions on forecasts) after the bell and the stock is down another 5%.
Still, it's profitable, current p/e of 8x, with earnings expected to grow up to 40% in the coming years. In the call they did talk about expanding their production starting next year.
Current stock price of $13.80. Price targets range from $18 to $38.
Still, it's profitable, current p/e of 8x, with earnings expected to grow up to 40% in the coming years. In the call they did talk about expanding their production starting next year.
Current stock price of $13.80. Price targets range from $18 to $38.
I am very naive on owning individual bonds. Does the value go up and down and trade like a stock?
The entire materials sector has been crushed. I have ALB and MP in my EV basket and both have similar performance (i.e., not good).
I'm not well versed either, but I like to learn on the fly.
I do think if yields come down, the value of bonds with higher yeilds will go up because it's yield will be higher then new bonds coming to market.
And that's what killed SVB, they had a ton of long duration bonds at 1-2%, so when they had to sell those bonds to get money to meet withdrawals, they sold those at a big loss.
So I could just hold till maturity and earn 6.75% for the duration, or if rates come down, maybe I sell them for a nice profit.
Ya, saw SLB on the ticker down close to $110ish. Last time I looked it was around $200.
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