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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

I canā€™t understand how people possibly make money with short-term trading. Way too many sharks and irrationality for me.

The rate cut should be especially helpful for Russel 2000 stocks - many of these smaller companies have been hampered by high interest rates. at least I hope so. But itā€™s not going to all happen overnight.
 
I canā€™t understand how people possibly make money with short-term trading. Way too many sharks and irrationality for me.

The rate cut should be especially helpful for Russel 2000 stocks - many of these smaller companies have been hampered by high interest rates. at least I hope so. But itā€™s not going to all happen overnight.
Short-term trading is dominated by algorithms. Gotta wait a day or two to see how the market will actually react.
 
Weakish dollar? āœ…
Fed lowering rates cycle?āœ…
MSFT an AI leader?āœ…
MSFT a stonky, stonky, stonk?āœ…āœ…āœ…
Closed at $438/sh
It still has close to $30 to get back to ATH, I sold some but will buy back when it retreats.

META broke it ATH today, up $21 to $559, sold over half

CRM up $13.5 today to $266 still $39 from high

GOOG got a long way to go, AMZN close to ATH, and ROKU WAY TO GO, IBM only tech stock to go down today

I read that after the first rate cut, normally after 12 months double digit increase.
 
It still has close to $30 to get back to ATH, I sold some but will buy back when it retreats.

META broke it ATH today, up $21 to $559, sold over half

CRM up $13.5 today to $266 still $39 from high

GOOG got a long way to go, AMZN close to ATH, and ROKU WAY TO GO, IBM only tech stock to go down today

I read that after the first rate cut, normally after 12 months double digit increase.
MSFT selling at a higher p/e multiple than Goog and META certainly does limit its ceiling for now but I keep waiting/hoping for MSFT to grab a huge chunk of Googleā€™s dominant market share in Search. For now itā€™s mostly a cloud growth story with the AI kickerā€¦
 
MSFT selling at a higher p/e multiple than Goog and META certainly does limit its ceiling for now but I keep waiting/hoping for MSFT to grab a huge chunk of Googleā€™s dominant market share in Search. For now itā€™s mostly a cloud growth story with the AI kickerā€¦

Iā€™ve own MSFT for a long time. They pay a pretty good dividend. The dividends add up when you buy and hold.
 
I'm not a trader, but maybe it is time to take profit on GEV and wait for a pullback. Up 52% in 2 month and the recent pump looks like an AI stock. LOL.
 
My RIVN gamble is bumming me out... had a nice pop up to $16 or so... my cost basis is around 10. Now it's back down to 11.50.

I'm probably just going to hang on and see what happens... but lots of gains were erased recently, including a brutal day today.
 
Listened to a recent podcast about SpaceX and Starlink. Amazing tech on the latter which will certainly change the game. As for SpaceX itself, estimates that the private company is already worth about $250B.

One of my big growth funds has a small position with SpaceX. Not big, but something. FBGRX.
 
I'm up big with AMEX over the past year or so. V is on my watchlist, but it hasn't given me a chance to buy in yet. Love to finally get one.

Now up 60% with GEV. Yikes! :)
T2K, question for you and the board. I have some Tbills that mature tomorrow and am debating whether to put back the money in Tbills at 4.5% or put that money in some stock that is low risk but may provide a nice 5-10% increase in the next few months.

Any suggestions?
 
T2K, question for you and the board. I have some Tbills that mature tomorrow and am debating whether to put back the money in Tbills at 4.5% or put that money in some stock that is low risk but may provide a nice 5-10% increase in the next few months.

Any suggestions?
I think the better question to ask is what if it goes down 5-10% in the next few months? How does that impact you.
 
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T2K, question for you and the board. I have some Tbills that mature tomorrow and am debating whether to put back the money in Tbills at 4.5% or put that money in some stock that is low risk but may provide a nice 5-10% increase in the next few months.

Any suggestions?
Definitely depends on your age, goals with the money, time horizon, etc. The S&P 500 is at an all-time high, so if you want to go equities, it's probably best to dollar cost average into the market over the next several months. Not sure if you are interested in stock picking, but tech, AI, energy infrastructure.....this economy evolution isn't going to stop.

Let me also add, with the Fed starting a rate cutting cycle to return to a neutral position without recession fears, this is almost always bullish for stocks.
 
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T2K, question for you and the board. I have some Tbills that mature tomorrow and am debating whether to put back the money in Tbills at 4.5% or put that money in some stock that is low risk but may provide a nice 5-10% increase in the next few months.

Any suggestions?
You won't get 4.5% now. Look at SGOV (0-3 month Treasuries ETF) currently around 4%. SCHD is a conservative "high dividend" ETF with a 3.87% div yield and low P/E, holding quality blue chip equities, so potential capital appreciation, too.
 
You won't get 4.5% now. Look at SGOV (0-3 month Treasuries ETF) currently around 4%. SCHD is a conservative "high dividend" ETF with a 3.87% div yield and low P/E, holding quality blue chip equities, so potential capital appreciation, too.
And importantly, a growing dividend. Nice Q3 payout coming!
 
You won't get 4.5% now. Look at SGOV (0-3 month Treasuries ETF) currently around 4%. SCHD is a conservative "high dividend" ETF with a 3.87% div yield and low P/E, holding quality blue chip equities, so potential capital appreciation, too.
2 month T-bill is over 4.5%. 3 month is very close
 
2 month T-bill is over 4.5%. 3 month is very close
Sure. Short-duration only. SGOV is a means to capture those short duration Treasuries yields without having to manage the re-investment process. SGOV pays an interest payout/dividend monthly, typically on the 5th of each month.

SGOV SEC yield is 5.20% per Morningstar. My prior post indicated "around 4%"--which was incorrect.
 
Sure. Short-duration only. SGOV is a means to capture those short duration Treasuries yields without having to manage the re-investment process. SGOV pays an interest payout/dividend monthly, typically on the 5th of each month.

SGOV SEC yield is 5.20% per Morningstar. My prior post indicated "around 4%"--which was incorrect.
I donā€™t like the ETF plays on Tbills. Rather just buy them directly.
 
I donā€™t like the ETF plays on Tbills. Rather just buy them directly.
Same here. I'm not interested (pun intendedšŸ˜) in paying the expense included in the ETF. Easy to buy directly as every Monday there are auctions for the 3 & 6 months and every Thursday the 1 & 2 months.
 
Same here. I'm not interested (pun intendedšŸ˜) in paying the expense included in the ETF. Easy to buy directly as every Monday there are auctions for the 3 & 6 months and every Thursday the 1 & 2 months.
SGOV = 0.090% expense ratio. Longer duration Treasuries, I'm all for buying via auctions, and I do. But those are 2-year-plus durations. Short-term durations, though, SGOV is terrific.
 
SGOV = 0.090% expense ratio. Longer duration Treasuries, I'm all for buying via auctions, and I do. But those are 2-year-plus durations. Short-term durations, though, SGOV is terrific.
Are the dividends on SGOV exempt from state tax?
 
I bought a ton of RIVN calls for 10/4. I have an inkling that the delivery numbers will look good next week. Not confident enough though to buy shares outright.
 
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I bought a ton of RIVN calls for 10/4. I have an inkling that the delivery numbers will look good next week. Not confident enough though to buy shares outright.
+1
Good thought, especially since it has dipped over the past month. Nice set-up for a positive surprise.
 
I bought a ton of RIVN calls for 10/4. I have an inkling that the delivery numbers will look good next week. Not confident enough though to buy shares outright.
Thatā€™s an interesting that you view option as a safer bet. Iā€™m assuming itā€™s because smaller VAR?
 
Thatā€™s an interesting that you view option as a safer bet. Iā€™m assuming itā€™s because smaller VAR?
That's exactly it. I definitely want to mitigate risk. I also don't want to invest too much money into RIVN at this time. I have other investments that I am eyeing.
 
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