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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

So, made some changes to our E-Trade account. Moved ETH to a new portfolio and will track any crypto assets separately (since this is just some speculative fun). Now willing to allocate up to 8% of our main portfolio to future/innovation focused ETFs. As I mentioned before, we bought some IDRV and yesterday before the close, bought a few grand of ARKK to test it out. Got a while to go to hit 8%, but if this is successful, we will get there.
:)

My personal portfolio is up 30% in the 2 weeks of 2021. That is insane. TSLA, TLRY, DKNG, GM are running too hot. My guess is that a correction maybe around the corner. Be careful putting in new money in the market, especially high growth stocks. The thing about corrections is that if everyone expects it and talks about it, then it won't happen. But when everyone stops talking about it and the VIX drops in the teens then chance of correction increases.
 
My personal portfolio is up 30% in the 2 weeks of 2021. That is insane. TSLA, TLRY, DKNG, GM are running too hot. My guess is that a correction maybe around the corner. Be careful putting in new money in the market, especially high growth stocks. The thing about corrections is that if everyone expects it and talks about it, then it won't happen. But when everyone stops talking about it and the VIX drops in the teens then chance of correction increases.
The first 2 weeks of the year have been nice. My E-Trade account (which is what I mainly talk about) is only 15% of our retirement assets. So for IDRV and ARKK, we are talking 8% of only that. Across the board I have been decreasing allocation of large cap growth funds (especially indexes that don't have any direct management). After a fun 2 years, they are lagging now.

As for the market in general, even if there is a correction soon, I believe it will be short lived and the bull market will continue throughout 2021 (due to zero % rates and fed actions).
 
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That is pretty crazy.

Ya, WSB has been both comical and helpful. Once you learn to decipher their lingo, and sift through the nonsese, theres some good info in there. Ive done very with some minor investments based on "advice" from there
 
Ya, WSB has been both comical and helpful. Once you learn to decipher their lingo, and sift through the nonsese, theres some good info in there. Ive done very with some minor investments based on "advice" from there
I take ideas from everywhere but do my own dd. Never know when a brilliant idea comes from an idiot lol
 
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Saw this quote today from Bloomberg:

"Also, Bloomberg News, citing a report from the publicly traded hedge fund Man Group, reported Wednesday that bitcoin differs from other investment bubbles like tulips, railroads and dot-com stocks, in that it has “survived three peak-to-trough drawdowns of over 80%” in fewer than 10 years."
 
Saw this quote today from Bloomberg:

"Also, Bloomberg News, citing a report from the publicly traded hedge fund Man Group, reported Wednesday that bitcoin differs from other investment bubbles like tulips, railroads and dot-com stocks, in that it has “survived three peak-to-trough drawdowns of over 80%” in fewer than 10 years."
Because there is a natural utility, illegal activities. The real threat is regulation.
 
+1
Nations stepping in to regulate or restrict is the biggest worry for me with cryptos.
I'm not sure they can as its' not a security per se. The Usurpers choice for oversight of the markets is bitcoin friendly former head of the cme. Now even if there is regulation, that will have a positive impact as more people will see it as legitamized
 
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I'm not sure they can as its' not a security per se. The Usurpers choice for oversight of the markets is bitcoin friendly former head of the cme. Now even if there is regulation, that will have a positive impact as more people will see it as legitamized
Patiently waiting for ETH 2.0 to launch. :)
 
What led to the jump today?

I took a quick look at it the other day, and didn't see anything that stood out.

Confluence of events:
1) Liquid capital infusion via patent sales to Huawei
2) Partnership announcement via CEO's twitter with Sony
3) Alot of smoke on the QNX front (they are the dominant provider of vehicle security software)
4) Continued optimism about the AWS collaboration on IVY (the unified API for all vehicle sensors and IoT components)
5) Investors finally getting a clue about the new business model (it's not smartphones!)
 
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Main utility for BTC.

I think its obvious that foreign states are helping to foment discord in this country. We've been doing that to our adversaries for years. Whether its BTC or other forms of help, these last 4 years, along with all sorts of social media outlets have encouraged our enemies to involve themselves with our internal affairs. I don't believe this should be a constraint or cause to regulate crypto but rather that our country should be more vigilant to threats against our democracy.
 
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UBS with a negative crypto article on Bloomberg. Raises concerns and says investors should only hold what they can afford to lose.
 
Confluence of events:
1) Liquid capital infusion via patent sales to Huawei
2) Partnership announcement via CEO's twitter with Sony
3) Alot of smoke on the QNX front (they are the dominant provider of vehicle security software)
4) Continued optimism about the AWS collaboration on IVY (the unified API for all vehicle sensors and IoT components)
5) Investors finally getting a clue about the new business model (it's not smartphones!)
I think the major event that is moving the stock in the last 3 days was the presentation at The JPM conference. There was information shared that is making institutions flow in.
 
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Because there is a natural utility, illegal activities. The real threat is regulation.
There's also a significant possibility of deflation loss. In 2013, 2 bitcoins bought an 8th of an ounce of weed. Today, 2 bitcoins would pay for roughly 15 pounds of weed. Until that deflation risk is eliminated, there will be hoarding.
 
There's also a significant possibility of deflation loss. In 2013, 2 bitcoins bought an 8th of an ounce of weed. Today, 2 bitcoins would pay for roughly 15 pounds of weed. Until that deflation risk is eliminated, there will be hoarding.

Yeah, but you could cash in 2 bitcoins and stop caring.
 
Confluence of events:
1) Liquid capital infusion via patent sales to Huawei
2) Partnership announcement via CEO's twitter with Sony
3) Alot of smoke on the QNX front (they are the dominant provider of vehicle security software)
4) Continued optimism about the AWS collaboration on IVY (the unified API for all vehicle sensors and IoT components)
5) Investors finally getting a clue about the new business model (it's not smartphones!)
Were 1-4 recent, or was this jump really about #5?
 
Sold all my miners and PLUG(really thought about selling at $70) Don't like selling on such a down day, but my run has been so good that I can still take money and run. See what happens but I could jump back in.

I did buy a little more ETHE. As well as WFC, and NJR. I also started a position in AGCB.

Have a little cash left to work with in the days to come. I like GD as a value, but with some of the movers that are out there I don't want too much money tied up in a very slow grinder even if it has likely upside.
 
Sold all my miners and PLUG(really thought about selling at $70) Don't like selling on such a down day, but my run has been so good that I can still take money and run. See what happens but I could jump back in.

I did buy a little more ETHE. As well as WFC, and NJR. I also started a position in AGCB.

Have a little cash left to work with in the days to come. I like GD as a value, but with some of the movers that are out there I don't want too much money tied up in a very slow grinder even if it has likely upside.
After this morning, the market has trended in the positive direction, let's see if that holds until 4pm. Bought more IDRV and ARKK this morning. Slowly creeping to my planned allocation, which will still take a month or two to achieve. I haven't bought more ETHE yet, but I have been watching it day to day. Since it is prone to brief price dips, it seems like a good idea to use standing orders with buy limits a point or so below the real-time value. For example, around 11:15am it dropped all the way to 13.2, but was back to 14+ within 15-20 mins. Gotta take advantage of those mini-crashes!
 
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UBS with a negative crypto article on Bloomberg. Raises concerns and says investors should only hold what they can afford to lose.
of course they say that as Ripple is about to kick the US legal team a$$. Do you think UBS or any other bank has accepted that competition?

I think UBS and the SEC should worry more about the 2.2 trillion in Chinese companies on our exchanges with no audits or finanicials that would hold to scrutiny
 
To clarify, the article I posted is both positive and negative for BTC. The positive is that there is utility so it’s not going away. The negative is that it’s one event away from crashing. Just imagine if 9/11 was funded by BTC.
 
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I think the major event that is moving the stock in the last 3 days was the presentation at The JPM conference. There was information shared that is making institutions flow in.

Thats true. Yes. The JPM call was really good. If you read between the lines it was pretty apparent that all the auto manus are keen to work with IVY
 
After this morning, the market has trended in the positive direction, let's see if that holds until 4pm. Bought more IDRV and ARKK this morning. Slowly creeping to my planned allocation, which will still take a month or two to achieve. I haven't bought more ETHE yet, but I have been watching it day to day. Since it is prone to brief price dips, it seems like a good idea to use standing orders with buy limits a point or so below the real-time value. For example, around 11:15am it dropped all the way to 13.2, but was back to 14+ within 15-20 mins. Gotta take advantage of those mini-crashes!
I might get into ARKK.

I like the stock picking game, but they've been just so dang good at it.
 
I might get into ARKK.

I like the stock picking game, but they've been just so dang good at it.
I assume well respected pros can do a better job than me! The great thing about Morningstar Premium is its review of fund managers and analyst teams.

By the way, I like ARKK better then the others, since it is a composite of all areas of innovation vs the other ARK funds that focus on specific industries. Better diversity and more likely to perform!
 
The fast money guys were really hating on the bank trade. More so from a technical standpoint as many of the etf's are bumping against the resistance of previous highs. For the XLF this is the 3rd time it has contended with, and dropped back off the $31 level.

Cramer said give them a couple days and then buy in.

Maybe once they get through those levels they can get running again.
 
I assume well respected pros can do a better job than me! The great thing about Morningstar Premium is its review of fund managers and analyst teams.

Since I enjoy it, and thus far have done pretty well at it, I'll keep with it.

But I might add ARKK into the mix.
 
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