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***RU Men's LAX vs Maryland Preview/Game Thread***

Man, sad to see that handshake lineup. Mullins and AC in street clothes. Gotta go with who you got, but man, having our guns out there was surely missed. AC in that lineup all season especially. Hope he gets back full strength next year. He deserves it.

Hope we get good fortune and get in. If not, love this senior class. They left the program better than they found it. Next class needs to do the same.
 
So what do the experts think:

Does Rutgers have a chance to make it to the tournament ?

Or did the loss to Ohio State and Maryland end their chances.

What are the probablities ? 10% 20% ??
 
Now all we can do is hope things fall our way:

Must have (any of the following don’t happen, we’re out):
  • Denver wins BE
  • Albany wins AE
  • Hopkins beats OSU
Critical (doesn’t automatically eliminate us but need other thing to fall in out favor)
  • GT beats Nova
  • Yale wins Ivy
Nice to have (unlikely outcomes but if a bunch of these things happen may open a spot):
  • Brown beats Cornell
  • Army beats ND
  • Colgate beats Cuse
  • R Mo wins NEC
 
We need some things to fall exactly into place. OSU losing is one of them.

Denver moving on in the Big East is good.
 
Rutgers is now 1-29 all-time against Maryland.

Cali (or Brecht) can talk about AC all he wants, but AC doesn’t take faceoffs and that’s the gaping wound. The O did enough to make the tournament when it got the ball. Getting the damn ball was the problem.

That’s a wrap. You are what you’re record says you are and RU is 9-6.
 
Plenty of teams have played in the NCAA tourney at 9-6. Or worse. Many, many acc teams though the years. Ivy too. The self loathing (and often uneducated) Rutgers fan gets tiring.

Never said anything about anything other than I miss not seeing those kids out there. 78 needs to calm down. He seems hysterical when the team loses.
 
Then there is the conference thing. Should Hopkins win this game, which is looking doubtful, the argument is 2 B1G teams get in? From the best conference in the land?
 
So what do the experts think:

Does Rutgers have a chance to make it to the tournament ?

Or did the loss to Ohio State and Maryland end their chances.

What are the probablities ? 10% 20% ??
0% based on history ...
 
Man, would have been great to play this Hopkins team. They look putrid.
 
Yea, cause they are playing for an autobid. If they lose that, no. No chance.
 
The committee used this same Power Rating formula last year....so yeah Georgetown has a good chance.
2018
No Team Total RPI SOS QW RPI SOS QW WRPI LRPI SW SL W L WLP

1 Maryland 2.6322 0.6655 0.6596 1.0000 1 3 1 .558 .601 0 2 12 2 0.8571
2 Albany 2.4780 0.6362 0.6515 0.8800 3 5 4 .512 .556 1 2 13 2 0.8667
3 Duke 2.4663 0.6334 0.6226 0.9100 4 14 2 .539 .600 1 2 12 3 0.8000
4 Yale 2.4369 0.6309 0.6360 0.8600 6 11 5 .521 .578 1 2 12 2 0.8571
5 Denver 2.4369 0.6134 0.6135 0.8900 8 20 3 .511 .635 0 0 12 2 0.8571
6 Loyola 2.3976 0.6311 0.6398 0.8400 5 8 6 .518 .598 0 2 12 3 0.8000
7 Johns Hopkins 2.3646 0.6228 0.6415 0.8300 7 6 7 .543 .598 0 2 10 4 0.7143
8 Virginia 2.3363 0.5865 0.6368 0.8300 9 10 8 .496 .622 1 1 12 5 0.7059
9 Notre Dame 2.3293 0.6364 0.6638 0.8000 2 2 9 .565 .594 0 4 8 5 0.6154
10 Georgetown 2.2110 0.5650 0.6212 0.7400 18 16 13 .485 .571 2 2 11 4 0.7333
11 Cornell 2.2106 0.5712 0.5968 0.7600 15 24 10 .499 .573 2 2 10 4 0.7143
12 Syracuse 2.2054 0.5816 0.6568 0.7200 12 4 16 .534 .593 3 3 7 6 0.5385
13 Villanova 2.2011 0.5825 0.6145 0.7400 11 18 14 .515 .584 2 3 10 5 0.6667
14 Bucknell 2.1790 0.5741 0.5891 0.7400 14 28 12 .500 .546 2 3 11 4 0.7333
15 Vermont 2.1525 0.5536 0.5531 0.7600 19 42 11 .455 .575 0 1 12 3 0.8000
16 Navy 2.1396 0.5678 0.5951 0.7100 16 25 17 .501 .583 2 2 9 5 0.6429
17 Michigan 2.1175 0.5434 0.6042 0.6900 25 22 20 .481 .607 3 0 8 6 0.5714
18 Rutgers 2.1170 0.5755 0.6321 0.6700 13 12 23 .517 .591 1 3 9 6 0.6000
19 Penn State 2.0849 0.5505 0.6144 0.6600 20 19 24 .502 .581 3 2 8 6 0.5714
20 Penn 2.0763 0.5833 0.6760 0.6200 10 1 28 .544 .577 1 5 7 7 0.5000
 
Laugh all you want. But, these power ratings were the reason 8-8 UNC got a bid over Army and RU last year.
 
The committee used this same Power Rating formula last year....so yeah Georgetown has a good chance.
2018
No Team Total RPI SOS QW RPI SOS QW WRPI LRPI SW SL W L WLP

1 Maryland 2.6322 0.6655 0.6596 1.0000 1 3 1 .558 .601 0 2 12 2 0.8571
2 Albany 2.4780 0.6362 0.6515 0.8800 3 5 4 .512 .556 1 2 13 2 0.8667
3 Duke 2.4663 0.6334 0.6226 0.9100 4 14 2 .539 .600 1 2 12 3 0.8000
4 Yale 2.4369 0.6309 0.6360 0.8600 6 11 5 .521 .578 1 2 12 2 0.8571
5 Denver 2.4369 0.6134 0.6135 0.8900 8 20 3 .511 .635 0 0 12 2 0.8571
6 Loyola 2.3976 0.6311 0.6398 0.8400 5 8 6 .518 .598 0 2 12 3 0.8000
7 Johns Hopkins 2.3646 0.6228 0.6415 0.8300 7 6 7 .543 .598 0 2 10 4 0.7143
8 Virginia 2.3363 0.5865 0.6368 0.8300 9 10 8 .496 .622 1 1 12 5 0.7059
9 Notre Dame 2.3293 0.6364 0.6638 0.8000 2 2 9 .565 .594 0 4 8 5 0.6154
10 Georgetown 2.2110 0.5650 0.6212 0.7400 18 16 13 .485 .571 2 2 11 4 0.7333
11 Cornell 2.2106 0.5712 0.5968 0.7600 15 24 10 .499 .573 2 2 10 4 0.7143
12 Syracuse 2.2054 0.5816 0.6568 0.7200 12 4 16 .534 .593 3 3 7 6 0.5385
13 Villanova 2.2011 0.5825 0.6145 0.7400 11 18 14 .515 .584 2 3 10 5 0.6667
14 Bucknell 2.1790 0.5741 0.5891 0.7400 14 28 12 .500 .546 2 3 11 4 0.7333
15 Vermont 2.1525 0.5536 0.5531 0.7600 19 42 11 .455 .575 0 1 12 3 0.8000
16 Navy 2.1396 0.5678 0.5951 0.7100 16 25 17 .501 .583 2 2 9 5 0.6429
17 Michigan 2.1175 0.5434 0.6042 0.6900 25 22 20 .481 .607 3 0 8 6 0.5714
18 Rutgers 2.1170 0.5755 0.6321 0.6700 13 12 23 .517 .591 1 3 9 6 0.6000
19 Penn State 2.0849 0.5505 0.6144 0.6600 20 19 24 .502 .581 3 2 8 6 0.5714
20 Penn 2.0763 0.5833 0.6760 0.6200 10 1 28 .544 .577 1 5 7 7 0.5000
How is UM higher than RU?
 
Power rankings may have predicted the field but it is not a criteria that is used by the committee. They look at a combination factors including SOS, RPI, head to head results and input from an advisory board which includes coaches from each conference. In the end they are not obligated to follow and specific ranking or formula. The only criteria that matters is that the committee must be unanimous in their final decisions.
 
The reason is UMich’s win over Top 5 RPI Notre Dame. The RPI is silly to begin with, but the Power Ratings are even worse.
That being said, RU has almost no shot at a bid....no top 10 RPI wins....4th in BIG. They didn’t accomplish what is looked at by the committee. The home loss to Hopkins was the real dagger....that and losing to both Princeton and Army.
 
That being said, RU has almost no shot at a bid....no top 10 RPI wins....4th in BIG. They didn’t accomplish what is looked at by the committee. The home loss to Hopkins was the real dagger....that and losing to both Princeton and Army.
-Syracuse is now a top 10 win.
-conference standings are not a consideration
-Princeton is no longer considered a bad loss.. I think they’re 26th in the RPI.

Things that have been discussed still need to happen but RU is very much in the conversation.
 
The reason is UMich’s win over Top 5 RPI Notre Dame. The RPI is silly to begin with, but the Power Ratings are even worse.
UMich is 8-6 with “worst” losses at Penn and at Rutgers and “best” wins at ND and at PSU.

Rutgers is 9-6 with “worst” losses at Army and at Princeton and “best” wins at home against Syracuse and PSU.

Look, RU pummelled UMich, but RU failed to beat anyone on the road.
 
UMich is 8-6 with “worst” losses at Penn and at Rutgers and “best” wins at ND and at PSU.

Rutgers is 9-6 with “worst” losses at Army and at Princeton and “best” wins at home against Syracuse and PSU.

Look, RU pummelled UMich, but RU failed to beat anyone on the road.
Lehigh in the middle of the week is a good road win. The Brown win is good. It was a minor miracle that the team even got to Brown. That’s why stuff like RPI and whatever these rankings are, are so bad. They don’t tell the full story. If a mid week road win verse Lehigh in 20 degree weather is not a good win, then I don’t know what is. Facts!! I don’t see any ACC school scheduling mid week road games in the New England area
 
Lehigh in the middle of the week is a good road win. The Brown win is good. It was a minor miracle that the team even got to Brown. That’s why stuff like RPI and whatever these rankings are, are so bad. They don’t tell the full story. If a mid week road win verse Lehigh in 20 degree weather is not a good win, then I don’t know what is. Facts!! I don’t see any ACC school scheduling mid week road games in the New England area
You mean Lehigh as in #27 RPI and 10-7? And Brown as in #33 RPI and 6-9? Sorry, I doubt that the committee will be impressed by RU’s only 2 wins away from HPSS.

http://www.laxpower.com/update18/binmen/rpi01.php
 
You mean Lehigh as in #27 RPI and 10-7? And Brown as in #33 RPI and 6-9? Sorry, I doubt that the committee will be impressed by RU’s only 2 wins away from HPSS.

http://www.laxpower.com/update18/binmen/rpi01.php
I know the committee won’t be impressed by them.... but my point was that numbers don’t tell the whole story. If you don’t think those were tough games, then you don’t have a clue. Those games are prime examples as to why RPI is total fubar. I would love to see an ACC team play in 20 degree weather on the road
 
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