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THE OFFICIAL 2024-2025 NET RANKINGS THREAD

I think it's probably safe to assume at this point end of year the Princeton loss will likely be Quad 3, the Columbia win is staying Quad 4, and the neutral floor ND win very likely will be Quad 3.

Accepting that now would put us at at 3-6 quad 1 and 2 combined with 2 quad 3 losses.

Bac - is there any historical equivalent for a team similar to where we are at (+80 net as well) at this point in the season that actually made the tourney (save winning a conference tourney)?
I mean on Jan 18, 2022 Rutgers had a NET of 131 and one Q1 win (Q2s against Michigan and @Maryland)
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Shayne Van Ness

Ironbird is just a crazy Iowa fan and funny. Crackpot is bringing this board down day after day. Just argumentative and I believe senile. Someone who’s a pathological liar with delusions of grandeur
Getting ready to run back to your Penn State board with your flower printed panties, your mommy bought you for XMAS, and say " look what I said to Crackers guys...look what I said to Crackers"? You must be a complete zero in real life social scenes, to need all these messages boards members affirmation.

Post Mortem By Lion: RU at Nebraska

I suspect the blocked shots thing is one that is a bit of luck involved. While blocking shots to keep them in-bounds is a skill, I would agree (Roy Hinson was terrific at that skill), I suspect if the stats were available (I do not think they are), generally how many blocked shots stay in-bounds or go out of bounds is more random than not ... not going to say 50-50, necessarily, but random ... so ALL blocked shots going out of bounds would seem just unlucky. In some ways I compare blocked shots to fumbles: Causing fumbles and fumbling are not random, but skills, but recovering them is somewhat random. See the below discussion on fumbles.

FYI, though bad luck, and affecting the defensive efficiency stats, it IS fair to say a shot blocked out of bounds should be an offensive rebound (it does mean the offensive team missed a shot and retained the ball). I do NOT agree with the CYO coach who says a blocked shot out of bounds is like no block at all - clearly that is simply wrong ... blocking a shot prevents a FG and score, and even if the ball stays with the offensive team, they still have to do SOMETHING NEW to score, and the shot clock does not reset, etc.

For example, in college football, if you look at data over a full season of ALL college football teams, and over very long periods, like years and even decades, you will see that FUMBLE recoveries by a team in any single game, or frankly, for any ONE team over the course of ONE season, is totally random and a matter of sheer luck. I am not talking about CAUSING fumbles, but recovering them. The body of statistics show that over the course of a season for all of college football, and over the course of years, about ONE HALF of all fumbles are recovered by the defense and ONE HALF by the offense.

But you can get very tilted results for ne team over the course of one season. I looked at this for Rutgers after the 2007 football season, when it felt like RU was not recovering enough of the fumbles they caused, and seemed to lose a lot of fumbles.

So ... in 2006, RU fumbled 11 times (not random), lost 7 of them (random) ... and RU's defense CAUSED 24 fumbles (not random) and RECOVERED 16 (random - 2/3 of fumbles caused by RU were recovered). But in 2007, RU fumbled the ball 14 times (not random - 3 more times than in 2006), but LOST 12 of those 14 fumbles (RANDOM, and a ridiculous # of lost fumbles compared to actual fumbles - if RU fumbled, they lost the ball), and CAUSED 20 fumbles (not random), and RECOVERED 10 fumbles (random - about 50%).

FYI, in 2005 RU fumbled 13 times but lost just 4 ... in 2010, RU fumbled 16 times lost just 5 ... caused 24 fumbles and recovered 14 ... Just for sh*ts and giggles: In 2024 RU only fumbled 4 times (that is ridiculously low, never heard of such a low number), losing 2, and caused 14 fumbles - but only recovered 5 (just 1/3).
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Shayne Van Ness

Ironbird is just a crazy Iowa fan and funny. Crackpot is bringing this board down day after day. Just argumentative and I believe senile. Someone who’s a pathological liar with delusions of grandeur
Maybe when you show up in Jersey you should let Mr Janzer and Mr Aragona know you're around ...let's see how tough you are with those two guys ....two other parents who kids you also obliterated here....you're so clueles and all you are is a classless blowhard who uses your keyboard muscles to impress us as to how tough you are...your supposed accolades mean nothing anymore...theres a reason RU wants nothing to do with you...now you flip flop on Goody after calling for him to be fired so many times because he didn't bring kids to their utmost potential in your opinion ...you supposedly reached that potential and degrading kids coaches and now a kid who chose to go somewhere else is the disgraceful way you use it ..I'll support each and every kid who comes here and puts in the work to be a D1 starter for 4-5 years and be proud like they should be before a has been loud moth disgraced former supposed AA like you
Again...same old material, copying and pasted with a couple new jibber jabs. Aragona was a flop.Too busy playing house and stinky pinky with his girlfriend and arguably the biggest bust we have ever had. Janzer at the Citadel, in his 20th year of college, has just above 500 record, wrestling in a weak ass conference. Need I say more? The reason their fathers where pissed off, is because I was telling the truth. Also, all joking aside, I really think you are the one with the drinking problem.I may have the writing skills of a 5th grader, but you go on these wild " My friends can beat you up" 8th grade tirades.You sound and probably look like someone with their nose and nipples pierced.

OT: Moderate to Significant Snow (and some rain SE of 95) for Sunday, 1/19.

Im leaning toward 3-6 across central jersey to cover the bases..4-8 north of 78..2-4(leaning lower) monmouth down to inland south jersey..2-4 philly..coating to 2 inches coast. As always there will be a lollipop that overpwrforms somewhere

We lose some pavement accumulations early with snizzle and low intensity but main show is 4-8 pm

How much banding to the north and then who is in the subsidence. Its a quick mover but we will have one inch an hour rates at some point.

OT: Moderate to Significant Snow (and some rain SE of 95) for Sunday, 1/19.

Not from the HRRR, lol. HREF is quite high for all as is the Euro-AIFS (4-7" for most), while some models show 2-4/3-5", so a forecast of 4-6" for the 95 corridor and most of CNJ seems decent to me still (and 5-7" NW of 95 and 2-4" towards the coast). We'll see of course.

Biggest questions to me for 95 and SE of there are: i) how much front end rain/mix does an area get (and when do temps get cold enough to accumulate easily), ii) how much total precip do we get, and iii) where do the heaviest bands set up after about 3 pm, when the heavier precip is supposed to fall.

Those aren't really going to be answered by the models anymore as there's too much variability across them, so it's nowcasting time, i.e., watch the radars, the soundings/temps, and the sky of course...and time to enjoy it, for me, whether it's 3" or 7" (my low and high range for my house).
To be fair these are exactly the times to use the HRRR and you have often used it before here

In not necessarily a big fan of it but it definitely throws out a case for lower end. Also that post on AW by Jet guy a red tagger about tempering accumulations was noteworthy
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