Fairly high confidence in it being seasonably warm (a high in the upper 70s is likely after a low in the low 60s; 81/62F hi/lo is normal for 9/7), but unfortunately this looks like one of those forecasts where we might not know the outcome with regard to rain chances until close to the event. A front comes through on Friday, but whether that front clears the area completely or stalls a bit is the question and that leads to uncertainty on the track of a low likely to form along that front, i.e., the low and rain could be very close to us or it could be well SE of us. Just too early to predict with any accuracy, given what the models look like right now (GFS shows it dry all day, CMC shows mostly dry after heavy rain Friday night into early sat, and the Euro shows a deluge through late morning, but clearing out after that and 7 days out, those outcomes/timings could change significantly still).
https://www.weather.gov/phi/
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Uncertainty develops for the end of the week into the weekend due to
an approaching cold
front from the west and possible low pressure
lifting northward from our south. Guidance the last few models runs
have been back and forth in regards to keeping the low offshore
bringing it close to the region. We will keep low end probabilities
of precipitation due to the uncertainty Friday through Saturday.