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BACATOLOGY: 3/11 NCAA Tournament Analysis***Rutgers 95% in***

agree. his stuff about Mag was way overblown especially since they clearly showed in last 2 games it wasnt a factor...and guess what they won at Wisconisn who would be in the field if ru didnt beat them and won at Penn State. The only truly bad loss was Minnesota in that stretch. Losing to Michigan at home isnt a bad loss for petes sake
We basically eliminated Wisconsin and Michigan by beating them without Mag. We beat PSU and hung right with Purdue... all of these were on the road or neutral. One without the B2B DPOY as well

The last 2 games eye test should remove the Mag injury doubt as a real factor
 
It’s funny going back on this board the past few weeks. Posters claiming we aren’t the same team without Mag. losing Mag is the reason we’re struggling. Now a bracketologist basically says this….and everyone is up in arms. Lol.
 
It’s funny going back on this board the past few weeks. Posters claiming we aren’t the same team without Mag. losing Mag is the reason we’re struggling. Now a bracketologist basically says this….and everyone is up in arms. Lol.
Yup. We went from team mvp to we don’t even need him in 2 games.
 
It’s funny going back on this board the past few weeks. Posters claiming we aren’t the same team without Mag. losing Mag is the reason we’re struggling. Now a bracketologist basically says this….and everyone is up in arms. Lol.
Because they inserted a new starter and proved they CAN play and win without him. Things change and the most recent two games proved it.
 
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If it weren't for early season Q1 wins(2-11), Illinois wouldn't be in. They beat UCLA Nov 18 on a Neutral and Texas Dec 2 on a Neutral. They lost to Virginia and Missouri on a Neutral courts and was 0-9 in Q1s in the B1G, best Q2, home vs 33 MSU and vs Rutgers., best true road wins Wisconsin and Nebraska.
 
It’s funny going back on this board the past few weeks. Posters claiming we aren’t the same team without Mag. losing Mag is the reason we’re struggling. Now a bracketologist basically says this….and everyone is up in arms. Lol.
Pike changed the starting lineup and rotations and has now seemed to figure it out. The last two games this team looks reborn with Simpson starting and Hyatt benched
 
If it weren't for early season Q1 wins(2-11), Illinois wouldn't be in. They beat UCLA Nov 18 on a Neutral and Texas Dec 2 on a Neutral. They lost to Virginia and Missouri on a Neutral courts and was 0-9 in Q1s in the B1G, best Q2, home vs 33 MSU and vs Rutgers., best true road wins Wisconsin and Nebraska.


agree but they have them and against two two seeds
 
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huh...why? his track record is solid and feel like he is someone we can trust.

I agree that it would be good if he elaborated a bit more, but one doesnt need to reveal the actual source to be credible.

but, we're probably opening up a can of worms in this thread on this topic...lol
It’s an interesting dynamic because you can’t even tell if the info is correct u less they specifically ask the committee after the fact (which I imagine won’t make the list of questions). They could leave RU off or in play-in and still at they took OSU game into consideration.
Other interesting piece is the precedent making more teams in future appealing ref blown games, etc in the hopes that it might become some type of tiebreaker in the future selection processes.
 
It’s funny going back on this board the past few weeks. Posters claiming we aren’t the same team without Mag. losing Mag is the reason we’re struggling. Now a bracketologist basically says this….and everyone is up in arms. Lol.
A lot has changed in the past week. Rutgers last two games showed they were able to figure things out and make an adjustment. It took 8-9 games but they look like the team from earlier in the year.
 
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Quick check of VCU shows a neutral court loss to Ariz St and a neutral win over Pitt.
 
2 losses in Q4 for VCU..if they didnt have the won vs Jacksonville, they could have a legit case

but compared to Nevada, they still fall short
 
All this stuff is commonsense. Rutgers has the resume to be in as a 10 or 11. But that doesn't mean they will be. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Committee make an example of them for Big Ten’s terrible track record in Tournament recently. The Minnesota game put us in this position. Also, beating a Michigan that only scored one basket in 19:00 minutes 2nd half isn't exactly something to hang hat on as last win.
Or you could say rutgers smothering tourney worthy defense caused big name Michigan to only score a couple FGs in the second half.
 
You can surely make an argument we did get the RU screw if we’re left out completely. Sure, that’s fair.

But again, too many bad losses and self inflicted punishment to say we were screwed if we get l sent to Dayton. I think our resume screams Dayton
You keep saying bad losses. There is 1 , Minnesota. A game we led for 39 minutes and 59/ and 1/2 seconds and lost on a miracle blowing a 10 point lead with 1:15 left. That is the only reason we are not a 9 today or for sure a top 10. The Committee has to check into that game and it was not like they were losing the whole game and let a terrible team dominant them. That is just common sense and logic that gets thrown out the window on this site.

Your love of Brad’s negative tweets about bad losses has infiltrated your brain. Temple Seton Hall Nebraska are not bad losses no matter how many times he says it. Plus Degaz makes an excellent point about our worst loss is by 13 points 2x, There are teams firmly in the field that have been blown out by 20 or more. For some reason , because of this stupid Quad system , that is not considered a bad loss. But logic dictates it is the worst kind of bad loss.
That is why the Committee will use the NET as only 1 factor and the eye test and who you beat and when and where you beat them should be the ultimate test. We beat the top 4 seeds in the BIG 10, currently projected as a # 1, #4; # 7 and #8. Two on the road and one a neutral. Things the committee has always value. We have a resume just like NW, Maryland , Michigan State , Illinois and Iowa ,and Penn State , all projected 6-9 seeds. Don’t leave your logic at home and do what so many but not all the bracjetologists do and look at data alone and Quads alone. It defies logic.
 

We basically eliminated Wisconsin and Michigan by beating them without Mag. We beat PSU and hung right with Purdue... all of these were on the road or neutral. One without the B2B DPOY as well

The last 2 games eye test should remove the Mag injury doubt as a real factor
Because Pike did learn how to adjust the lineup post-Mag. I understand the Selection Cmte will likely ignore that, but this team did suffer transitioning after the Mag injury. Simpson rescued us @JoePaSt and somehow Hyatt and Reiber came through with just enough along with a monster game from Cam at Wisky. Simpson became the new blueprint because we all know we can't count on Hyatt&Reiber for any consistency.
 
You keep saying bad losses. There is 1 , Minnesota. A game we led for 39 minutes and 59/ and 1/2 seconds and lost on a miracle blowing a 10 point lead with 1:15 left. That is the only reason we are not a 9 today or for sure a top 10. The Committee has to check into that game and it was not like they were losing the whole game and let a terrible team dominant them. That is just common sense and logic that gets thrown out the window on this site.

Your love of Brad’s negative tweets about bad losses has infiltrated your brain. Temple Seton Hall Nebraska are not bad losses no matter how many times he says it. Plus Degaz makes an excellent point about our worst loss is by 13 points 2x, There are teams firmly in the field that have been blown out by 20 or more. For some reason , because of this stupid Quad system , that is not considered a bad loss. But logic dictates it is the worst kind of bad loss.
That is why the Committee will use the NET as only 1 factor and the eye test and who you beat and when and where you beat them should be the ultimate test. We beat the top 4 seeds in the BIG 10, currently projected as a # 1, #4; # 7 and #8. Two on the road and one a neutral. Things the committee has always value. We have a resume just like NW, Maryland , Michigan State , Illinois and Iowa ,and Penn State , all projected 6-9 seeds. Don’t leave your logic at home and do what so many but not all the bracjetologists do and look at data alone and Quads alone. It defies logic.

We have 4 quad 3-4 losses. I think quad 3 and 4 losses are what he’s considering “bad losses”.

No team on the bubble or in the field has 4. That is likely going to hurt us.
 
I think we avoid Dayton. People want to focus on only our negatives. Yes, we had a tough 2-3 week stretch late. Of course, so did Penn St, UConn, Indiana, etc., albeit earlier in the season.

We also have a lot of really good wins and some of those on the road. These other teams around us don’t have those quality wins.

And BTW considering SHU a “bad loss” makes no sense. They went .500 in the B1G and beat UConn and Memphis as well.
 
Bac who do you think is the most likely surprise team to make the field that most bracketologsts have out?
 
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