BACATOLOGY: 3/11 NCAA Tournament Analysis***Rutgers 95% in***

[Mr Magoo]

you got the wrong guy if you think I'm sitting here smoking a cigar just yet lol.
You know how old I am and how long I've been dying for Rutgers right? If not I've got the scares to show you ..HA. 🤞

Ha. Still think there is a 5% chance we are left out because…Rutgers. Too many years of being a Rutgers, Mets, Knicks fan, I guess. It would probably be UNC who suddenly and mysteriously jumps 15 spots to knock us out too. I’ll take 95% though.

 

[DHajekRC84]

The committee always has one or two “head scratchers”. None of the pre-announcement bracketologists are ever entirely correct. Should be interesting.

SOMEBODY is always screwed. It would be so hyped if one surprise in and one out.

 

[bac2therac]

tell you what, Im getting close to flipping Nevada back into the tournament and removing North Carolina State

 

[bac2therac]

huh...why? his track record is solid and feel like he is someone we can trust.

I agree that it would be good if he elaborated a bit more, but one doesnt need to reveal the actual source to be credible.

but, we're probably opening up a can of worms in this thread on this topic...lol

it needs to be totally clarified...did the ncaa tell him, there are other reports that this wasnt said, would not be hard for someone who covers RU to clarify

 

[jordkap]

Wachtel sticking with us as the top Dayton seed... Miss State and Providence as the last 2 byes

The variance between the 41st and 44th teams are close enough that no order should surprise anyone.

 

[RUfanSinceAnderson]

Tulsa a few years back

Notre Dame a big miss last year for many

this year it seems "TOO SETTLED" I almost expect bedlam

We don’t want bedlam (pun on OSU maybe)

 

[Mr Magoo]

SOMEBODY is always screwed. It would be so hyped if one surprise in and one out.

As long as it’s not us.

 

[SirScarlet]

it needs to be totally clarified...did the ncaa tell him, there are other reports that this wasnt said, would not be hard for someone who covers RU to clarify

agree...just saying that can be done without revealing the actual source.

surprised the NJAM crew havent run this down

 

[DHajekRC84]

5 mins ago

View embedded media

BOO. IF that's the case than this "special consideration" was basically meaningless once we got in. They would only play this card TO get us in.. (MO)

 

[SirScarlet]

BOO.

Brad is good...worries me he's doubling/tripling down on this...

 

[BlockR]

he needs to spill his sources

Doubt that happens.thats a last thing a journalist does.

 

[DHajekRC84]

THE only good thing about Dayton is we get the night to ourselves like last year. Brey was right in that there was no really better game than that one.. good exposure in its own way. (see, I'm already trying to resign myself for the disappointment).

ok. Time to start the day and get off the laptop. See ya at post 6.

 

[GRU23]

We should feel pretty good about at least playing in Dayton. But we have also given the committee ammunition to have us last four out, if they wanna make an example of Big Ten’s disappointing Tournament play in recent years.

They could’ve easily done that last year and didn’t. I think it’s pretty clear committee doesn’t care about last year and has consistently shown that they respect the B1G.

 

[cicero grimes]

I don't know. Still a little worried about pike not having the media in for the watch party. As a rutgers fan I almost expect the committee will screw us.

 

[BigEastPhil]

Agreed. I'm just saying sometimes the committee is weird. That's why bac has it at 95% and not 100%.

A possible nightmare situation : who knows how much politics plays in getting into the tourney etc. Last year many would say that we were fortunate to get in- can the reverse occur this year given the “break “ we received last year due to committee politics?
I’m expecting to hear our name called but I am nervous given the bad losses etc and some of the negative metrics etc that Wachrel and others have pointed out.
As much as I don’t want Dayton again, I would however sign up for it now.

 

[GRU23]

I just feel that last year the thing committee valued the most was quality wins. We have that, and the added bonus of some of the best metrics inside the bubble. What people forget is we weren’t even last team in last year, we were third to last team in. We had more room than we believed. I feel something similar is going to happen again.

 

[bac2therac]

the strong runs by Marquette and Texas A&M in their conference resumes have boosted Mississippi State's resume where I am going to push them a tick above Rutgers in my bracket

 

[RUfanSinceAnderson]

A possible nightmare situation : who knows how much politics plays in getting into the tourney etc. Last year many would say that we were fortunate to get in- can the reverse occur this year given the “break “ we received last year due to committee politics?
I’m expecting to hear our name called but I am nervous given the bad losses etc and some of the negative metrics etc that Wachrel and others have pointed out.
As much as I don’t want Dayton again, I would however sign up for it now.

Everyone at the bottom has some bad metrics. If not, they would be squarely in.

 

[Plum Street]

I know. I'm just saying that would be a nice session to watch.

HA, no. I'm kidding I'm one that can admit error. I forgot about that. Thanks.

I would admit my errors too, except I have never been wrong !! 😂.

J/k

 

[BlockR]

Of course. Lol. No one knows except the committee. Hope for good news but prepare for not so good news

Always watch out for the RU screw.

 

[RUfanSinceAnderson]

the strong runs by Marquette and Texas A&M in their conference resumes have boosted Mississippi State's resume where I am going to push them a tick above Rutgers in my bracket

Boo

 

[RutgersNo1]

the strong runs by Marquette and Texas A&M in their conference resumes have boosted Mississippi State's resume where I am going to push them a tick above Rutgers in my bracket

What about the strong run by Penn St? Does it boost our resume?

 

[mikemarc1]

Always watch out for the RU screw.

The older I got, the more I don’t believe in that. The meltdown in the final minute at Minnesota is what will screw us IF the improbable happens and we’re left out

 

[SirScarlet]

The older I got, the more I don’t believe in that. The meltdown in the final minute at Minnesota is what will screw us IF the improbable happens and we’re left out

RU Screw would be us going to Dayton

if we are left out completely, that would be straight up robbery...and a complete scandal.

 

[PSAL_Hoops]

the strong runs by Marquette and Texas A&M in their conference resumes have boosted Mississippi State's resume where I am going to push them a tick above Rutgers in my bracket

Fair enough.

But what about USC? Take a close look at their resume and think for a minute about the possibility of the committee deciding ASU is not a tourney team. Are they really a sure fire lock for a bye then? They’d have a pair of home wins over UCLA and Auburn against the field (and yeah - they beat Vermont by 2 - big deal). A 13 point home loss to FGCU is far worse than anything on our resume…

 

[RutgersClassof2004]

A possible nightmare situation : who knows how much politics plays in getting into the tourney etc. Last year many would say that we were fortunate to get in- can the reverse occur this year given the “break “ we received last year due to committee politics?
I’m expecting to hear our name called but I am nervous given the bad losses etc and some of the negative metrics etc that Wachrel and others have pointed out.
As much as I don’t want Dayton again, I would however sign up for it now.

All this stuff is commonsense. Rutgers has the resume to be in as a 10 or 11. But that doesn't mean they will be. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Committee make an example of them for Big Ten’s terrible track record in Tournament recently. The Minnesota game put us in this position. Also, beating a Michigan that only scored one basket in 19:00 minutes 2nd half isn't exactly something to hang hat on as last win.

 

[Plum Street]

Seth Davis just rattled off teams that should be nervous today and one of them is us.

 

[RU_03]

I think to Brad's point, I think 2 out of the following 3 get 11s with a bye: Providence, Miss St, Rutgers. I think Rutgers is 1, Miss St 2 and Providence 3. One can argue to flip Miss St to a 1 and us to a 2, but I don't see Providence in the top 2 of 3 with their resume.

The issue is none of them are clear winners, so it's going to be subjective based on what the committee cherry picks.

 

[mikemarc1]

RU Screw would be us going to Dayton

if we are left out completely, that would be straight up robbery...and a complete scandal.

You can surely make an argument we did get the RU screw if we’re left out completely. Sure, that’s fair.

But again, too many bad losses and self inflicted punishment to say we were screwed if we get l sent to Dayton. I think our resume screams Dayton

 

[carmenst]

Seth Davis just rattled off teams that should be nervous today and one of them is us.

I wanted to punch the tv screen when Seth said we’re a bubble team.

 

[mikemarc1]

Seth Davis just rattled off teams that should be nervous today and one of them is us.

Rightfully. All teams near the bubble should always be nervous.

 

[RUfanSinceAnderson]

Seth Davis just rattled off teams that should be nervous today and one of them is us.

Anytime you are in the last four out category you have to be nervous.

 

[bac2therac]

really struggling with my last 2 in and last 2 out right now

 

[bac2therac]

What about the strong run by Penn St? Does it boost our resume?

yes but not as much because Marquette is now a predicted 2 seed and A&M is moving to 5 possibly. PSU is in the 9 spot at best an 8

the Marquette win by MSU was non conference and they also have a non conference win over TCU

 

[Raritan83]

Lunardi just moved us down to last four in aka Dayton

 

[bac2therac]

Seth Davis just rattled off teams that should be nervous today and one of them is us.

thats fair to say...any of the last 8 teams in right now should all have some worry

 

[mikemarc1]

Lunardi just moved us down to last four in aka Dayton

He must have jumped Mississippi St over us thanks to Marquette run.

 

[mikemarc1]

He must have jumped Mississippi St over us thanks to Marquette run.

That’s exactly what he did.

 

[bac2therac]

Fair enough.

But what about USC? Take a close look at their resume and think for a minute about the possibility of the committee deciding ASU is not a tourney team. Are they really a sure fire lock for a bye then? They’d have a pair of home wins over UCLA and Auburn against the field (and yeah - they beat Vermont by 2 - big deal). A 13 point home loss to FGCU is far worse than anything on our resume…

not a big fan of uscs resume thats why they are a 10, the win over ucla like with asu is the biggie, in some ways i prefer asus resume. If RU cleaned up the minnesota loss they would be probably be the top 10 right now

 

[ru66]

Geez, there are so many scenarios back and forth ,by so many people someone is gonna claim to be a genius. But the truth is , some crap always sticks to the wall when thrown there.