7 of the top 10 bracketologists have us in with their updated projections. Most of them in Dayton. Only lost 1 since the loss yesterday.
BACATOLOGY: NCAA ANALYSIS 3/7......NEW UPDATE 3/12 1PM PAGE 37
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
Jerry Palm “America’s least accurate bracketologist”
Dickie V at the SEC championship game, good stuff
I defer to you on what the committee would do with our wins/losses alone, but in my opinion we should be very borderline purely on wins and losses.
That's an argument that they could do, but certainly not an argument that they must do. Why do they care about following the NET?
Agree 100%.
yeah but look at Wake and Notre Dame...solid record but geez they beat nobody....
RU is the typical bloated power 6 school without a lot of losses but outstanding wins. Its just this year the net ****ed us and unlike michigan we do not have a strong sos to save us
Rutgers wins the eye however the perception is where we loose out. Plus there is no recent tradition with Rutgers you need to be at least 50 to have any recollection when Rutgers was good for more than a couple of years
Wake and Notre Dame should be below us
Bracket based on my W/L rankings (doesn't include the two games played today)
1 Seed
Arizona *
Gonzaga *
Kansas *
Baylor
2 Seed
Providence
Villanova*
Auburn
Texas Tech
3 Seed
Kentucky*
Tennessee
Purdue*
UCLA
4 Seed
Wisconsin
Duke*
Connecticut
Colorado St
5 Seed
Arkansas
Murray St*
St Mary's CA
Illinois
6 Seed
Creighton
Texas
USC
Houston*
7 Seed
Seton Hall
San Diego St
Michigan St
Marquette
8 Seed
Iowa
Iowa St
TCU
Boise St*
9 Seed
LSU
Alabama
Ohio St
Wyoming
10 Seed
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Xavier
Texas A&M
11 Seed
San Francisco
Davidson*
Michigan
Indiana / Colorado
12 Seed
Miami FL / SMU
South Dakota St*
Loyola Chicago*
New Mexico St*
13 Seed
UAB*
Chattanooga*
Vermont*
Princeton*
14 Seed
Montana St*
Kent St*
Long Beach St*
Delaware*
15 Seed
Longwood*
Georgia St*
St Peter's*
Jacksonville St*
16 Seed
Norfolk St*
Colgate*
Bryant / Wright St*
Texas Southern* / Southeastern Louisiana*
Last Four Byes
Xavier
Texas A&M
San Francisco
Michigan
Last Four In
Indiana
Colorado
Miami FL
SMU
First Four Out
Rutgers
West Virginia (yes I know, this is why extremely hard schedules are bad!)
S Dakota St
Notre Dame
Next Four Out
Memphis
Oklahoma St (see WVU comment)
Florida
St John's
1 Seed
Arizona *
Gonzaga *
Kansas *
Baylor
2 Seed
Providence
Villanova*
Auburn
Texas Tech
3 Seed
Kentucky*
Tennessee
Purdue*
UCLA
4 Seed
Wisconsin
Duke*
Connecticut
Colorado St
5 Seed
Arkansas
Murray St*
St Mary's CA
Illinois
6 Seed
Creighton
Texas
USC
Houston*
7 Seed
Seton Hall
San Diego St
Michigan St
Marquette
8 Seed
Iowa
Iowa St
TCU
Boise St*
9 Seed
LSU
Alabama
Ohio St
Wyoming
10 Seed
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Xavier
Texas A&M
11 Seed
San Francisco
Davidson*
Michigan
Indiana / Colorado
12 Seed
Miami FL / SMU
South Dakota St*
Loyola Chicago*
New Mexico St*
13 Seed
UAB*
Chattanooga*
Vermont*
Princeton*
14 Seed
Montana St*
Kent St*
Long Beach St*
Delaware*
15 Seed
Longwood*
Georgia St*
St Peter's*
Jacksonville St*
16 Seed
Norfolk St*
Colgate*
Bryant / Wright St*
Texas Southern* / Southeastern Louisiana*
Last Four Byes
Xavier
Texas A&M
San Francisco
Michigan
Last Four In
Indiana
Colorado
Miami FL
SMU
First Four Out
Rutgers
West Virginia (yes I know, this is why extremely hard schedules are bad!)
S Dakota St
Notre Dame
Next Four Out
Memphis
Oklahoma St (see WVU comment)
Florida
St John's
How on earth does it have Colorado in the field and WVU behind RU
Why not?
I assume you mean right behind them? As in, "why is WVU so high?" not "why is WVU below Rutgers?"
Keegan is so good. Other than Fran I really don't mind this Iowa team. Respect for Indiana for showing up at this tourney too
1 SEEDS
Things can obviously change. Its very very close between Michigan on down through BYU. I think Oklahoma is out because of the 18-15 record. I think San Fran is safe but questionable on seeding. I think Michigan is likely in and seeding could be better because of their good metrics. I like Va Tech by a whisker of Texas A&M and Notre Dame but with two of them in action that could change. Everything can change with a full scrub tonight. RU could fall back into the first four games or not. I think RU is a couple of notches above the cut line currently if the committee is doing an honest evaluation.
- GONZAGA*
- ARIZONA*
- KANSAS*
- BAYLOR
- AUBURN
- KENTUCKY*
- DUKE*
- VILLANOVA
- PURDUE
- TENNESSEE
- TEXAS TECH
- WISCONSIN
- ILLINOIS*
- PROVIDENCE*
- UCLA
- ARKANSAS
- CONNECTICUT
- IOWA
- HOUSTON*
- TEXAS
- ALABAMA
- SAINT MARY'S
- OHIO STATE
- LSU
- USC
- MICHIGAN STATE
- COLORADO STATE
- TCU
- BOISE STATE
- MURRAY STATE
- MARQUETTE
- SAN DIEGO STATE
- SETON HALL
- CREIGHTON
- IOWA STATE
- NORTH CAROLINA
- MEMPHIS
- LOYOLA*
- DAVIDSON*
- MIAMI
- MICHIGAN
- SAN FRANCISCO
- RUTGERS
- WYOMING
- UAB*
- SOUTH DAKOTA STATE*
- INDIANA/VIRGINIA TECH
- XAVIER/SMU
- CHATTANOOGA*
- NEW MEXICO STATE*
- KENT STATE*
- VERMONT*
- PRINCETON*
- MONTANA STATE*
- COLGATE*
- LONG BEACH STATE*
- SAINT PETER'S*
- LONGWOOD*
- DELAWARE*
- WRIGHT STATE*
- JACKSONVILLE STATE*
- GEORGIA STATE*
- BRYANT*/ALCORN STATE*
- NORFOLK STATE*/SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA*
LAST 4 IN
VIRGINIA TECH
SMU
XAVIER
INDIANA
LAST 4 OUT
TEXAS A&M
NOTRE DAME
BYU
OKLAHOMA
NEXT FOUR OUT
WAKE FOREST
VCU
DAYTON
NORTH TEXAS
Things can obviously change. Its very very close between Michigan on down through BYU. I think Oklahoma is out because of the 18-15 record. I think San Fran is safe but questionable on seeding. I think Michigan is likely in and seeding could be better because of their good metrics. I like Va Tech by a whisker of Texas A&M and Notre Dame but with two of them in action that could change. Everything can change with a full scrub tonight. RU could fall back into the first four games or not. I think RU is a couple of notches above the cut line currently if the committee is doing an honest evaluation.
Davidson up big - good
Texas A&M up big - bad
Indiana I think is already ahead of us, not sure that outcome matters that much. Obviously prefer them to lose anyways
Texas A&M up big - bad
Indiana I think is already ahead of us, not sure that outcome matters that much. Obviously prefer them to lose anyways
Seems like you feel RU is locked in even if bad upsets happen and TAM, VT, indiana, SMU etc all win. Let’s hope you are right.
Can I ask a question about our non conference SOS everyone says it is terrible and reason of concern.
what if we swapped Lehigh, laffeyette, umass, and Maine with Gonzaga, Baylor, Kentucky and Arizona. So now instead of 18-13 we are 16-15. Do we make ncaa tournament with the toughest schedule in basketball. If not then why play a tougher schedule?
our problem isn’t strength of schedule. Our problem is we lost to laffeyette and umass.
what if we swapped Lehigh, laffeyette, umass, and Maine with Gonzaga, Baylor, Kentucky and Arizona. So now instead of 18-13 we are 16-15. Do we make ncaa tournament with the toughest schedule in basketball. If not then why play a tougher schedule?
our problem isn’t strength of schedule. Our problem is we lost to laffeyette and umass.
not necessarily...wins by smu, texas am and vt is worse case scenario. RU is vulnerable at that point. Everything gets scrubbed and reevaluated.
We really need A&M to lose, that is more important than Va Tech I think..plus the bid stealer lingers in the A10
our sos is problem at 300, because we failed to do enough other things so they will look at that as another red flag...
why are people defending a shitty schedule non conference...and we went 6-4 vs it, a double negative
just curious why you say OU is out because of their 18-15 record..but RU has a bye with their 18-14 record.
Rutgers has 13 losses. Also has significantly more wins against teams that should make it
