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Freshman on the road......

It's only ignored on the surface because Nova and UConn have won national championships. And in MOST cases across CBB and CFB, the easier a path is for a program during the regular season, the more the flaws get hidden and the lighter the workload.

While PSU stinks, they're much better than Depaul.....Nebraska is not deemed a Top team and won at Creighton earlier this year.

St Johns played a tough game against Creighton on Sunday and their reward is a road trip to Chicago and Depaul for their next game.....not exactly the toughest game and much easier to experiment and develop depth, when you're playing soft opponents in January and February.

Nebraska played a road game vs Northwestern on Sunday and travels to PSU Wednesday and lose by 20+....the margins for error are much smaller in the B1G and SEC and Big 12. It's just the reality of what it is over 4 months.
You say this like it means anything though. We don't play in the Big East. What happens in the Big East is completely irrelevant.
 
They play 70% of the minutes because Pike overestimated the talent of the transfers. In an ideal situation, the freshmen play in spots to help their development. The failure of the transfers speaks more to them than the freshmen. If there was quality upperclassmen surrounding Ace and Dylan, that should be enough to be a good team battling for a March bid. The upperclassmen sidekicks are so bad, no matter what Ace or Dylan do is never enough. Henceforth, the other freshmen provided a better chance to win. The problem starts with Pike and how he assembled the team.
I don't think anyone would dispute that, except the failure of the transfers is more on the coaching staff than the transfers themselves. The transfers were limited when we brought them on, it's not their fault. Almost all of the fans over rated JWill no matter how much I argued otherwise.
 
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This ignores the fact that St. John's is a much better team than they were at that point in the season. They had a lot of new faces who took some time to fit together. You're correct that they are a very bad three-point shooting team, but it works and they keep beating people. This could prevent a deep run in the NCAAs, but as much as I can't stand him, I'll never count a Pitino team out. But they're certainly better than Oregon and, really, Illinois, which never impresses me. Washington stinks, too.

The Big East is more down this year than it has been, but it's no cakewalk. It never is. It doesn't have the sheer volume of teams the Big Ten does, so it won't appear as deep (and is, in fact, not this year), but aside from Seton Hall and DePaul, there are no automatic wins. Butler, Providence, and Georgetown are all wildly inconsistent but look very good sometimes. Those teams are very much like the Big Ten from, say, Oregon or Ohio State on down. The Big Ten does lack any automatic wins, as even though Penn State, Washington, and Northwestern stink, they still have all had moments this year.

But the sheer volumes of Big Ten programs notwithstanding, which provides the illusion of clearly superior quality, the leagues are pretty similar from year to year, aside from the Big Ten's quarter-century national championship drought and the fact that the Big East has won four of the last eight of them.

I tend to enjoy your posts and very often agree with them, but this has been a theme of yours for years and it's never really been borne out by the evidence.
well this particular year there is no comparsion

the butlers. providences georgetowns are equal to minny, wash nw which are the bottom 3 herein the Big 10.

Nova is equal to the usc, rutgers, indiana right now

there is no one as bad as depaul and shu in the league and there hasnt been anyone as bad as depaul/gtown in prior years.

At the top the BE is comparable in recent years to the Big 10

the Big 10 has more schools and the middle of the Big 10 is waaaaaaaaaaay better than the middle of the Big East.
 
If the game was offensive ONLY I could agree with this.
Defense is 50% of the game and they are liabilities there.

Supporting cast did fine last night. Ace and Dylan played great offensively and we still needed OT to beat a bad Washington team.

People are overestimating what type of college basketball players Ace and Dylan are.
I have a hot take that you'll hate, Ace may be our best defensive player.
 
I have a hot take that you'll hate, Ace may be our best defensive player.
explain.....I will be honest...I can't give you a better answer.

When he is engaged he can make defensive plays and get 10 1/2 foot high rebounds.

I have a tougher time watching games on TV, but I think he made a big defensive play down the stretch last night from a help position.
 
That’s why if we can keep our core group of freshmen going forward and that to me includes Somerville which I don’t understand because as you say he had and still has a lot of learning to do and people still want to compare him to Cliff but he is light years better than Cliff offensively and that is the 5th year Cliff!!
Give him an offseason of strength and conditioning and I think he will be very good next year
Your opinion Hawk? Which unlike many others I really respect
Thanks
agree on this,

as i said in another post, Sommerville is a freshman, one has to wonder if he was ever required to play defense other than being bigger than his opponent

He has a nice touch/% from the FT line and by jr and sr year could also be a decent 3 point threat
 
It's only ignored on the surface because Nova and UConn have won national championships. And in MOST cases across CBB and CFB, the easier a path is for a program during the regular season, the more the flaws get hidden and the lighter the workload.

While PSU stinks, they're much better than Depaul.....Nebraska is not deemed a Top team and won at Creighton earlier this year.

St Johns played a tough game against Creighton on Sunday and their reward is a road trip to Chicago and Depaul for their next game.....not exactly the toughest game and much easier to experiment and develop depth, when you're playing soft opponents in January and February.

Nebraska played a road game vs Northwestern on Sunday and travels to PSU Wednesday and lose by 20+....the margins for error are much smaller in the B1G and SEC and Big 12. It's just the reality of what it is over 4 months.
Also, remember that when UCONN won the 1st of their 2 championships, they were the first team to win without having to play a 1, 2, 3 or 4th seeded team.
 
There is nothing wrong with stating the truth....I have former players in other sports, commenting about how soft Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper are in other threads.....they are NOT qualified to talk about how they perceive someone to be soft or whatever.

Just because I am a RU fan, doesn't mean I start skewing off nonsense about how the women's Soccer coach needs to be replaced or talking about lacrosse or other sports that I don't follow closely.

I also can read these boards for years and can tell right away that fans don't watch basketball on a consistent basis and only watch RU sports and think things don't occur elsewhere with other programs.

There is a lack of awareness about CBB sports and it starts with posts that I don't have all day to explain how bad these takes are. We have fans who have a right to not like our coaches, as long as it's a legit criticism or supported with facts.....

I'm comfortable with belief that what I post is accurate, even if not agreeable or acceptable at that time. Usually, over a certain amount of time, these things usually land correctly.

The fact remains that in 2025 that this league is NOT the same as other leagues. And I'm not going to have someone downplay an accomplishment, because they think every 16th to 18th place team in every conference is the same.
I understand WHAT you are saying I am just giving you some of my personal POV that your tone or comments have taken on a different style of late. The HOW. Your knowledge, insights, and feedback have always stood on their merits without having to say you know better, etc. because you are smarter or they (we) are dumb, clueless, etc. I have always read your stuff but now when I see comments like that I just stop. That is all. I'm not perfect by any stretch. Carry on sir. Good luck to us.
 
I am saying South Carolina and Washington are WAY better than the teams at the bottom of other leagues.....and that RU winning vs Washington is not a given.

I dont look solely at Kenpom but there's a reason why the SEC has almost all of their teams in the Top 100 and other leagues have teams around 200 (ACC and Big East).

Ok......so?
Under this premise, no SEC or Big Ten coach should ever be fired or on the hot seat.
Never can be criticized.

South Carolina: We may be 0-13 in the SEC but we're much better than American East last place NJIT!

That should be the title of their season recap DVD.
 
explain.....I will be honest...I can't give you a better answer.

When he is engaged he can make defensive plays and get 10 1/2 foot high rebounds.

I have a tougher time watching games on TV, but I think he made a big defensive play down the stretch last night from a help position.
Don't get me wrong, he's still not above average and has lapses, but I think he's picked up on many of the help concepts which is where he picks up many of his blocks, similar to how Cliff used to, an his rebounding has become vital to our success. I think he's struggling offensively this month (maybe illness, maybe the wall, maybe asthma), but we are still getting effort on D from him, which is good to see.

I don't have access to many of the analytics, but do see he's showing as the lowest defensive rating on team, (besides limited minutes Dortch), so that metric at least sees what I see.
 
It's still an obvious thing that freshman are going to be wildly inconsistent, even super skilled/talented ones like Harper and Bailey and even Zoom Diallo for Washington.

But there were a lot of people on threads earlier this week, who arent qualified to talk about toughness or talent in terms of basketball, trying to downplay the talent of the 4 RU freshman.

65 total points
(22 of 28 from FT line)
5 of 13 from 3 point range (38.4%)
13 rebounds
4 assists
2 blocks
5 steals
7 turnovers

And with these types of numbers, the roster just needed something from its other contributors, which it did tonight from

JWill timely baskets and plays (2 3s) .

Acuff (1 3 pointer) and decent minutes.

JMike playing within the gameplan.

Martini adding an assist in 16 minutes.

Even a Derkack with a steal and a 3 before the untimely 2 turnovers or rushed passes in the 1st half and total of 5 minutes.

It's very tough to ask for 50 to 60+ points, 15 to 20 rebounds, 5 to.7 assists and 5+ blocks/steals from the freshman in order to win.....especially a B1G road game.....but that's where this roster is right now. Debating how we got here is already obvious, there's little point to argue about nonsense when this was always my reality and where RU sports is, in this NIL environment.

I don't know if there are too many wins the rest of the way unless there's this equation of productivity. But it takes some patience that knowledgeable hoops fans understand is part of the process.

Inconsistent play is most of the equation with freshman, so it's anyone's guess on what to expect the rest of the way. But I'm on board willing to see it play out with freshman logging minutes.
Martini adding an assist in 16 minutes 🤣

dating app GIF
 
agree on this,

as i said in another post, Sommerville is a freshman, one has to wonder if he was ever required to play defense other than being bigger than his opponent

He has a nice touch/% from the FT line and by jr and sr year could also be a decent 3 point threat
I think he matched up against the kid Johnson from Illinois a couple times in high school. Don't recall how they did against each other, but thought they both had games where they put up numbers against each other. Other than those couple, no idea what level of talent he played against.
 
I understand WHAT you are saying I am just giving you some of my personal POV that your tone or comments have taken on a different style of late. The HOW. Your knowledge, insights, and feedback have always stood on their merits without having to say you know better, etc. because you are smarter or they (we) are dumb, clueless, etc. I have always read your stuff but now when I see comments like that I just stop. That is all. I'm not perfect by any stretch. Carry on sir. Good luck to us.
I read the boards as you do and there's more negative energy bordering on insanity in regards to RU sports talk, recruiting and i don't see any point in how that means some of our fans get free shots fired at our players, especially Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey. They have done nothing but try and show up on a roster without as much help as anticipated.

And the hoops comments around those fans justifies my response about fans (some, not all) not having enough cache to talk hoops. The board does need more awareness and less nonsense.
 
Biggest thing people glosses over or didn't want to admit with the SJU scrimmage. RU played to win with HArper and Bailey stupidly playing a ton of minutes. Pitino evened out his minutes and I also believe they had an ijury
It was actually opposite. SJU played their starters all second half to comeback trying to win while Pike rotated everyone in
 
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I actually agree with a lot of what Hawk is saying. Freshmen will have ups and downs but overall they are mostly delivering compared to the upperclassmen mostly giving us nothing. Upperclassmen should be more consistent and reliable but they aren't

B1G is definitely a strong top to bottom conference. Washington would do better in the non top 3 conferences for sure

We did play with and could have easily beaten SJU Alabama TAMU this season so we have shown the ability to play with the best teams in country at times. We also have shown we can play like an absolutely terrible disaster of a program too unfortunately
 
That’s why if we can keep our core group of freshmen going forward and that to me includes Somerville which I don’t understand because as you say he had and still has a lot of learning to do and people still want to compare him to Cliff but he is light years better than Cliff offensively and that is the 5th year Cliff!!
Give him an offseason of strength and conditioning and I think he will be very good next year
Your opinion Hawk? Which unlike many others I really respect
Thanks
Most important point here
Freshman Somerville is a better offensive center than a 5th year Cliff

And some fans want to ignore that and actually want him to leave
Unbelievable
 
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What if Washington shot their average?
Everyone shoots lights out against us. So I cannot consider that. Look at Oregon. Our D is simply that bad it is to be assumed. In our case, that’s not true. Our outside shooting has been agnostic to the quality of the D. We have bricked against low majors too.
 
Everyone shoots lights out against us. So I cannot consider that. Look at Oregon. Our D is simply that bad it is to be assumed. In our case, that’s not true. Our outside shooting has been agnostic to the quality of the D. We have bricked against low majors too.
Teams still have bad nights shooting from 3 regardless of the defense
 
Teams still have bad nights shooting from 3 regardless of the defense

Sure - but I’m not buying your argument here. We allowed a 50% three point shooter and a 41% three point shooter to attempt 12 threes. We deserved what we got in them making 7 of them. That was 7 of their 8 threes.

Do you not see the difference? We had 2 guys who the scouting report says can’t shoot a lick, attempt 3 threes and make all of them.

Which situation stands out as the outlier?
 
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Sure - but I’m not buying your argument here. We allowed a 50% three point shooter and a 41% three point shooter to attempt 12 threes. We deserved what we got in them making 7 of them. That was 7 of their 8 threes.

Do you not see the difference? We had 2 guys who the scouting report says can’t shoot a lick, attempt 3 threes and make all of them.

Which situation stands out as the outlier?
A lot of college players will hit a good percentage of threes, if left completely alone

Even ones either poor percentages up to that point
 
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Sure - but I’m not buying your argument here. We allowed a 50% three point shooter and a 41% three point shooter to attempt 12 threes. We deserved what we got in them making 7 of them. That was 7 of their 8 threes.

Do you not see the difference? We had 2 guys who the scouting report says can’t shoot a lick, attempt 3 threes and make all of them.

Which situation stands out as the outlier?
That's fair
 
If the game was offensive ONLY I could agree with this.
Defense is 50% of the game and they are liabilities there.

Supporting cast did fine last night. Ace and Dylan played great offensively and we still needed OT to beat a bad Washington team.

People are overestimating what type of college basketball players Ace and Dylan are.
The freshmen attempt to play defense with maybe the exception being Sommerville at times. The freshmen have the potential to be solid defenders, but they need time and experience. The transfers can't play defense if you paid them... pun intended.

The supporting cast can't do it every night based on the record as proof.

I don't think people overestimated Ace or Dylan as college players. They have played well enough to win. It's the underestimation of the transfers that have done more to torpedo the season. Acuff (foot) was suppose to be a third option as a scorer. JWil has taken a step back. He doesn't bring it every night. PJ is a waste. He was suppose to be the 3pt specialist. Martini is maddening. He is a system player who doesn't fit Rutgers' iso ball approach. This is the reason why Grant and Dortch (Ogbole's injury) have step in and played well compared to the transfers. They may not be scorers, but they hustle and attempt to play defense, which is the groundwork for Pike's system.
 
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I actually agree with a lot of what Hawk is saying. Freshmen will have ups and downs but overall they are mostly delivering compared to the upperclassmen mostly giving us nothing. Upperclassmen should be more consistent and reliable but they aren't

B1G is definitely a strong top to bottom conference. Washington would do better in the non top 3 conferences for sure

We did play with and could have easily beaten SJU Alabama TAMU this season so we have shown the ability to play with the best teams in country at times. We also have shown we can play like an absolutely terrible disaster of a program too unfortunately
As I noted I stopped reading but if that was the point of his post I agree. Aside from a here and there overall their play has been some (not quite all) the only enjoyment I've gotten this year. The surrounding cast (save a few) have been terribly inconsistent and unproductive.
 
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That's fair

I wish it wasn’t. The D is just that bad.

Anyone who can’t see that Cliff is the big difference - I.e. the contrast between this year and last year, I don’t know what to tell you.

It sure as heck wasn’t GG, Noah, Hyatt making the difference. Derek was fine on D but he wasn’t a difference maker either on the perimeter. It’s Cliff. And when he was there, Mag, but to a lesser extent since he only played in 17 games.
 
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Losing Big O hurt because as a pair they were coming together and adding value. Weight room big fella. He can be really good in the future.
Agreed,

The game was slowing down for Ogbole on the D end .

Have to remember he was only a soccer player until a few years ago and was never required to have good hand/eye coordination which hurt him on the O end, that said he was getting stronger on put backs from O rebounds
 
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I think if RU had an experienced scorer who averaged 15pts/game to go along with the freshmen, a number of games would have turned RU’s way. Just relying on true freshmen to get the bulk of the buckets for a whole season is not conducive to winning at a high level. Acuff, Derrick, Hayes and Martino did not prove to be those players. Jwill on occasion can get you 15pt but what is needed is someone who can score at a high level when Dylan and Ace were off or doubled team. An experienced Somerville or Grant can be one of those guys but they are fresh themselves.

Love that team is not packing it in.

GO RU
 
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I’m going to stop you right there. Do you see why?

(To be clear I think your broader point is correct)

I’m guessing it’s off because the output from last night skewed it. Is that why? I was lazy and didn’t adjust because for the point I was driving at - it didn’t matter. We let 2 good shooters specifically, who were hot, continue to shoot. That explains Washington’s better than normal shooting. For 2 guys like that to get 12 threes off is on our D.

In contrast, J Will and Jordan sit at 26.4% AFTER incorporating the 3 threes. I wouldn’t say Washington’s D did anything wrong in giving them those shots, would you?
 
I’m guessing it’s off because the output from last night skewed it. Is that why? I was lazy and didn’t adjust because for the point I was driving at - it didn’t matter. We let 2 good shooters specifically, who were hot, continue to shoot. That explains Washington’s better than normal shooting. For 2 guys like that to get 12 threes off is on our D.

In contrast, J Will and Jordan sit at 26.4% AFTER incorporating the 3 threes. I wouldn’t say Washington’s D did anything wrong in giving them those shots, would you?

No it’s because nobody shoots 50% from three. I would bet you lots and lots and lots of money that guy makes fewer than say 100 of his next 200.
 
No it’s because nobody shoots 50% from three. I would bet you lots and lots and lots of money that guy makes fewer than say 100 of his next 200.
Ok - but it’s not like hes doing it on extremely limited sample size. He’s made 42 out of 84 attempts this season and entered the game at 49.3% (I now did the math). So the bottom line is, it’s not all that surprising statistically that he made 3 of 5 attempts.
 
It comes down to roster construction and poor recruiting outside of the current freshman class. RU did not have an answer for Osobor inside and needed to give him extra attention. This helped lead to open shots for Harris and Mason.

I think Pike would’ve liked to guard them tighter on the perimeter. But, he has to pick his poison. Things worked out because Dylan and Ace played very well. Osobor and Mason fouling out helped, too.
 
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Everyone shoots lights out against us. So I cannot consider that. Look at Oregon. Our D is simply that bad it is to be assumed. In our case, that’s not true. Our outside shooting has been agnostic to the quality of the D. We have bricked against low majors too.
Teams that were in terrible slumps shooting 3’s before and after we played them , Indiana , Michigan State and Oregon had their best or close to their best 3 point shooting game against us and the only reason they won.
It comes down to roster construction and poor recruiting outside of the current freshman class. RU did not have an answer for Osobor inside and needed to give him extra attention. This helped lead to open shots for Harris and Mason.

I think Pike would’ve liked to guard them tighter on the perimeter. But, he has to pick his poison. Things worked out because Dylan and Ace played very well. Osobor and Mason fouling out helped, too.
losing Manny has not helped as at least that would have been size and strength Osobar has and maybe slow him down a little and offer more resistance.
 
Another way of looking at it - Rutgers won because we shot 47.4% from 3 compared to our season average of 33.3%. Shoot our average from deep and we don’t win this game. Even with a great game from the stars.
No team in the history of team sports has played every individual game according to their season’s average. You win or lose most often by either exceeding or falling short of your average (or your opponent’s average), respectively.
 
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No team in the history of team sports has played every individual game according to their season’s average. You win or lose most often by either exceeding or falling short of your average (or your opponent’s average), respectively.

Of course. The point was - we still needed overtime to win, despite two of our worst shooters going a perfect 3 for 3 from long range. It was in response to the posts saying we won because Dylan played well. Sure - we needed that too. But we don’t win without two of our worst shooters having atypically good days from long range. These are guys that the scouting report says not to worry much about guarding on the perimeter. And again, we still needed OT because our D is just really bad.
 
Teams that were in terrible slumps shooting 3’s before and after we played them , Indiana , Michigan State and Oregon had their best or close to their best 3 point shooting game against us and the only reason they won.

losing Manny has not helped as at least that would have been size and strength Osobar has and maybe slow him down a little and offer more resistance.
Agreed he’s SOOO much stronger than Somerville when Osobar backed into Somerville he bounced back like 2 feet every time
 
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