Thanks for taking the trouble to put all the facts out in black and white and this takes into account the end of his tenure as opposed to the beginning. You see his conference record is just around .500 and what comprises his OOC record. I always bring up conference record not just overall because that matters more to me in evaluation. That's the meat of your schedule, your peers so to speak, you can't run away from it and that's where your bread will be buttered.OOC:
2006- 6-0 (UNC: 3-9; Ill: 2-10; Ohio 9-4; Howard; Navy 9-4; K State 7-6)
2007-5-1 (Buffalo 5-7; Navy 8-5; Norfolk State; Lost to 6-6 Maryland; Army 3-9; Ball State 7-5)
2008 3-3 (Lost Fresno; Lost UNC; Lost Navy; Morgan State; Army 3-9; NC State 6-6)
2009 6-0 (Howard; FIU, Maryland 2-10; Texas Southern?; Army 5-7; UCF 8-5)
2010 3-2 (Norfolk, FIU, Lost UNC 8-5; Lost Tulane 4-8; Army 6-6
2011 5-1 (NC Cent; Lost UNC 6-6; Ohio; Navy 5-7; Army 3-9; Iowa State 6-6)
28-7 looks impressive, but 23 of those wins were against teams that had losing or 6-6 records or cupcakes like Norfolk or Morgan State. No thanks.
He's not on my list really but I could be okay with him depending on the type of offense he runs and if he'd be able to find OCs to implement it and leave them alone. If it's McNulty or similar then I don't want him but if he can find quality spread guys and let them do their thing while not my favorite it could be acceptable to me. Just like Ash when he was hired even though he wasn't on my list either.
People always mention recruiting with the B10 behind Schiano etc..and I always say you can't look at things in a vacuum and it never really gets addressed when I bring it up. We're not recruiting with B10 behind us and then competing in the BE still.
In the BE we were near the top tier in terms of recruiting, resources etc...and we didn't do all that much like you see...about .500 in conference no BCS bowls etc..no wins over Kelly/WVU (top coaches/programs in the BE, he'll be facing much steeper competition in the B10 in terms coaching)....etc.. Just look at RichRod...and even his much better results in the BE didn't translate and at a high status program like Michigan no less. His offense as coming along but his defense sucked.
But in the B10 even if he improves recruiting, and the way I judge recruiting in my tiered pyramid view I'm not sure he will, for arguments sake say it will, we will still be behind most of our division rivals and probably about par with others. In terms of recruiting, resources and the like we will always be in the bottom tier of the B10.
So if he was about mediocre or so in the BE where we were in the top tier in terms of recruiting grounds, resources, etc...how does that translate to doing well in the B10 where we are in the bottom tier in terms of recruiting, resources, etc...
IMO, any chance to reconcile that issue to lies in the type of offense and the people he's able to put in place for that....if it's just the same as the BE (McNulty or any other pro style type) then I don't see any chance of reconciliation of that issue. If he has evolved on offense and can put quality spread people in place then there could be chance.