Purdue vs NC State.... PU favored by 9.5 points
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
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Not with UConn that wins every game by double digits.Purdue vs NC State.... PU favored by 9.5 points
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
Two number one seeds versus opponents not expected to reach Final 4Awfully large point spreads for teams in the Final 4 no ?
Some of us saw the Purdue-UConn matchup coming a long time ago.Purdue vs NC State.... PU favored by 9.5 points
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
My initial reaction is to bet NC State and UConn based on these spreads. It will be interesting to see in which direction they drift.Purdue vs NC State.... PU favored by 9.5 points
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
Some of us saw the Purdue-UConn matchup coming a long time ago.
I gotta root for the NC State kids though.
UConn yes. I think NC State keeps it close.Purdue vs NC State.... PU favored by 9.5 points
UCONN vs Alabama.... UCONN favored by 11.5
Take the points!
The gambling sites want people to take the points.Awfully large point spreads for teams in the Final 4 no ?
Or you’ve got an 11 seed in the final fourThe gambling sites want people to take the points.
The objective of sportsbooks is to establish a betting line that attracts equal $ bet on each team. So they want an equal number of bettors who take the points and give the points.The gambling sites want people to take the points.
There is ZERO upside for the NCAA champ to play the NIT "champ." Never going to happen.In what would be an interesting game and very profitable to have the final four winner to play the NIT winner. Especially if it is Indiana State, I would love to see ISU play the dance winner.
In what would be an interesting game and very profitable to have the final four winner to play the NIT winner. Especially if it is Indiana State, I would love to see ISU play the dance winner.
I really hate that this narrative is generally accepted as truth by the public. The books absolutely look for spots where they can fool the public and win. They do not simply want to win the juice on most bets. This simply isn't true.The objective of sportsbooks is to establish a betting line that attracts equal $ bet on each team. So they want an equal number of bettors who take the points and give the points.
Nah..... Corporate sports books seek to maximize profits by minimizing risk. Their goal is to secure a balance on both sides of a wager, hence a line is smartly established for this purpose, but that initial line "moves" to rebalance both sides of the bet. Their commission is a percentage of what comes in and what goes out. They don't gamble. You do.I really hate that this narrative is generally accepted as truth by the public. The books absolutely look for spots where they can fool the public and win. They do not simply want to win the juice on most bets. This simply isn't true.
Separately, advanced data shows Alabama and Purdue to be the plays. Not saying they'll hit (because variance is very real), but that's what the model I use shows.
I know that people believe this. It's simply not true. I can't convince you, and it really doesn't matter. But I watched an interview with the head of a major LV sportsbook and he actually laughed at the notion. He said there are several times when the books look to win. There are often times when tons of money come in on one side and the line never moves. The data is readily available.Nah..... Corporate sports books seek to maximize profits by minimizing risk. Their goal is to secure a balance on both sides of a wager, hence a line is smartly established for this purpose, but that initial line "moves" to rebalance both sides of the bet. Their commission is a percentage of what comes in and what goes out. They don't gamble. You do.
That said smaller, private, unlicensed books, may waver on the "minimizing risk" approach.
This is interesting and against what I always believed. . Where is this interview and data ? I am interestedI know that people believe this. It's simply not true. I can't convince you, and it really doesn't matter. But I watched an interview with the head of a major LV sportsbook and he actually laughed at the notion. He said there are several times when the books look to win. There are often times when tons of money come in on one side and the line never moves. The data is readily available.
Ok, I don't want to overstate. It's not every market. Sure, Vegas looks to get even money on the majority of bets. But the executive said there are multiple bets per day where they see an advantage and take it. I can only tell you that I saw the interview so long ago that sports betting was only legal in Nevada. I have looked for it many times since and never found it.This is interesting and against what I always believed. . Where is this interview and data ? I am interested
Def takes away something for me, playing these games in NFL stadiums. All of a sudden for most important 3 games of the season you have this weird camera angle.The camera is way too far away
You have replays of the foul calls missed..? Don't remember anything egregiousWolfpack has zero free throws in first half.
Really? I don't see Bama staying within 20.I really hate that this narrative is generally accepted as truth by the public. The books absolutely look for spots where they can fool the public and win. They do not simply want to win the juice on most bets. This simply isn't true.
Separately, advanced data shows Alabama and Purdue to be the plays. Not saying they'll hit (because variance is very real), but that's what the model I use shows.
Pretty sure they're all drunk....Listening to the studio crew, you would think nc state is up by 10
While rebounding, Edey elbow to head of Diarra was one. Got him pretty good.You have replays of the foul calls missed..? Don't remember anything egregious