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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Ive. It been shy about my views on SPACs. That said, if I did buy one, I’d look long and hard at Pershing Square Tontine Holdings. They recently agreed to purchase a 10% stake in Universal Music pre-IPO and will still have circa $2bn of capital for another deal without SPAC time constraints. Like UMG and the optionality on another deal. And I have a high opinion of Ackman as an investor. He’s had some Hugh profile misses, but his wins have still given him an overall very strong record.
Icahn took him to the woodshed on Herbalife. That was super entertaining for finance. Ackman tried the dump and short but got caught.
 
Ive. It been shy about my views on SPACs. That said, if I did buy one, I’d look long and hard at Pershing Square Tontine Holdings. They recently agreed to purchase a 10% stake in Universal Music pre-IPO and will still have circa $2bn of capital for another deal without SPAC time constraints. Like UMG and the optionality on another deal. And I have a high opinion of Ackman as an investor. He’s had some Hugh profile misses, but his wins have still given him an overall very strong record.

I think IPOE which is now SOFI has the potential to be a long term winner. There is likely to be a pullback in the upcoming weeks once the PIPE investors lock-up period ends and can sell.
 
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I think IPOE which is now SOFI has the potential to be a long term winner. There is likely to be a pullback in the upcoming weeks once the PIPE investors lock-up period ends and can sell.
Agreed. I’ve been holding it for a few months and plan to long term.
 
I typically write naked puts on about 5 stocks per month. My requirement is that I only do this with companies that I wouldn't mind owning long term (no swing/momentum stocks) and diversified among different sectors to reduce systemic risk.

Your broker lets you write naked puts or are they cash covered puts?
 
For those who followed me into PLTR at $15-16; IPOE/SOFI at $14-15 and PBR at $10-11... congratulations. Keep those good stock tips coming.

Next step is to figure out an entry point for SNOW. It would be nice to get in somewhere around $200, but that will be tough. We missed our chance when it dipped in the $180's
 
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SPAC's and de-SPAC's coming back with a vengeance the last few days, the quality ones at least.
I'm in on some post spac's like STEM and DNMR. Doing very well there(though STEM was down big today).

Missed out on NKLA which I should have bought around $11.

A couple SPAC's I'm watching( but don't own) like SNPR, THBR and AGC haven't done much, either way, of late.
 
I did catch myself a big ole memefish in WISH.

Thought I was just buying a recent IPO caught in the downdraft, but it launched today, I sold in afterhours at around a 95% gain for the day(only 85ish% overall).

I'm not even sure it was a WSB stock, but figure it had to be. I might try to buy back in in the morning extended if it gets down below $13. Could totally see this get to $20 tomorrow, but I wanted to take my winnings while I could. Given BB stalled at around $20 thought the risk reward suggest to sell here. But who knows.
 
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For those who followed me into PLTR at $15-16; IPOE/SOFI at $14-15 and PBR at $10-11... congratulations. Keep those good stock tips coming.

Next step is to figure out an entry point for SNOW. It would be nice to get in somewhere around $200, but that will be tough. We missed our chance when it dipped in the $180's
PLTR at $15? Are you talking back in Nov?

PBR looks like it could be dangerous....In a good way. Breakout levels here at $12, and then pretty smooth sailing to $16.
 
I'm in on some post spac's like STEM and DNMR. Doing very well there(though STEM was down big today).

Missed out on NKLA which I should have bought around $11.

A couple SPAC's I'm watching( but don't own) like SNPR, THBR and AGC haven't done much, either way, of late.
In on SNPR. Got back in on CCIV and THCB recently. Still holding long gambling tech that have de-SPAC’s GENI and RSI.
 
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TSLA doesn’t make money on cars either. Ford Lighting put it out of business. Cybertruck will be a next.
I think the Cybertruck will have a niche.

Ride's market was/is to be work trucks. And that is the f-150 stomping ground.
 
I think the Cybertruck will have a niche.

Ride's market was/is to be work trucks. And that is the f-150 stomping ground.
My bet is there will be a fair amount of interest and buzz with the Cybertruck’s initial release (assuming it actually hits the road) and then sales will fall off a cliff and it will disappear or undergo a massive facelift. 20 years from now it will be hobbyist dream.
 
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And for traditional ICE makers. The EV Mustang loses money just like many others.
The narrative by the TSLA crazies that F, GM and the rest of the legacies won't be able to build at scale is not based in reality.

F literally has a centuries worth of experience building at scale.
 
The narrative by the TSLA crazies that F, GM and the rest of the legacies won't be able to build at scale is not based in reality.

F literally has a centuries worth of experience building at scale.
It's based on history. All EV models via ICE companies have been busts so far. Even the F CEO admitted that the base model of the F150 Lighting will lose money.
 
My bet is there will be a fair amount of interest and buzz with the Cybertruck’s initial release (assuming it actually hits the road) and then sales will fall off a cliff and it will disappear or undergo a massive facelift. 20 years from now it will be hobbyist dream.

Maybe they'll make a movie about it staring Michael J. Fox and Christopher Lloyd.
 
It's based on history. All EV models via ICE companies have been busts so far. Even the F CEO admitted that the base model of the F150 Lighting will lose money.
The previous failures was not due to their inability to scale.

And Ford had said the entirety of the F-150 line will be profitable, you can dice up the #'s to fit your narrative but end of the day Ford will be profitable with the F-150.

And that is even with including R&D in the accounting, which is apparently not the industry standard.
 
The previous failures was not due to their inability to scale.

And Ford had said the entirety of the F-150 line will be profitable, you can dice up the #'s to fit your narrative but end of the day Ford will be profitable with the F-150.

And that is even with including R&D in the accounting, which is apparently not the industry standard.
It won't be profitable (as per the CEO). They are going to take a bath on the base model.
 
Update on IDEX: Hit 3.50 a few minutes ago.
Current p/s is 20x but that is jacked up by rev's that were crushed in 2020. End of year p/s would be around 10x of current market cap. OK growth predicted for 2022, but then it takes off after that.

Looks like a resistance level at $5 which goes back a couple years and bounced off that level in early Feb.


Eerily similar story to SRAX, which I'm in on and have done very well with in a month. SRAX recently broke through a $6ish resistance which it also bounced off of in Feb. Currently at $7. So it's a bit ahead of IDEX on the timeline.
 
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Time to move back into growth stocks. Cathie Woods was correct, at least on that one.

Ya that trade is back on.

You noted PLTR, it's up 30% in a month. Others have mentioned some other growth stocks which have been hot in the last month as well.

I assume this all relates to commodity prices which have cut pretty significantly during this time.
 
Wish at $11. Bounced off that level earlier this morning. See if it holds.

Haven't bought yet.
 
Billion dollar trade into the Euro market(Blackrock etf or something).

Thinking being the Euro markets may out perform the S&P in the near/intermediate term.
 
Does the base model generally make up a large percentage of the units sold of most vehicles?
Depends, but likely yes in this case. The truck will range from $40k to $80k. Most purchases will be closer to the lower #.
 
I posted a link a couple pages back in which Ford stated the EV F-150 would be profitable.
And I pulled out the quote where the CEO said the base model won't be. I think we are talking about the same article. LOL!
 
Hah, halftime report opens with Cathie Wood saying the growth trade is back on.
+1
Not sure of exactly when, but growth will boom again very soon. People can only be emotional and stupid for so long. Can't ignore these earnings and revenue growth #'s forever.
 
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