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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

Crypto over the last 6 months has a major correlation to the NASDAQ. It’s inconsistent with what our boys Saylor and Novogratz were preaching. As inflation has gone up over the last 6 months, Bitcoin is down about 45%. Definitely not a safe harbor during volatile economic times. It’s not panic time yet, but they can’t be too comfortable at this point.
 
Crypto over the last 6 months has a major correlation to the NASDAQ. It’s inconsistent with what our boys Saylor and Novogratz were preaching. As inflation has gone up over the last 6 months, Bitcoin is down about 45%. Definitely not a safe harbor during volatile economic times. It’s not panic time yet, but they can’t be too comfortable at this point.
I’m shocked
 
I’m shocked
Double shocked…you mean Saylor and Novogratz, two of the biggest pumpers in the game, fed the market a heaping scoop of BS? Never…I do not believe it. It’s going to $100K…no $500K…no $1M…just keep buying LOL. Sorry, I couldn’t resist.
 
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Getting murdered.

But LYFT is actually up. Figure it found it's bottom after it's sell off. Bought some near the money calls which expire next week.
 
Jon Najarian thinking we may have seen the washout we have been looking for, at least in tech.

FB 3x normal volume
AMZN 3.5x normal volume
Uber 11x normal volume

Edit: checking the charts I'm not see this looking correct. Perhaps he is talking options?
 
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Jon Najarian thinking we may have seen the washout we have been looking for, at least in tech.

FB 3x normal volume
AMZN 3.5x normal volume
Uber 11x normal volume

Edit: checking the charts I'm not see this looking correct. Perhaps he is talking options?
Regardless, good to hear that a bear'ish investor is thinking that. The middle school emotions will end sooner or later.
 
Friday predictions? Another sell off? Not the bottom but you can see it from here?

Still thinking the S&P has more to drop. 3600?
 
Friday predictions? Another sell off? Not the bottom but you can see it from here?

Still thinking the S&P has more to drop. 3600?
Moderate bounce tomorrow that tails off late. More downside to come but not tomorrow.

I hear 3800 a bunch in regards to a potential S&P bottom. And as Tim Seymour noted, that could come if AAPL, then last of the mega caps to really give back, does just that.
 
Yeah, I grabbed it near what will hopefully be the bottom.
I was looking for a quick rebound trade and almost went there. Almost went TQQQ. But went with Lyft instead.

Just don't have a lot of money lying around, though I do have some safe haven plays(which didn't work out so well as a safe haven) which I could sell.
 
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I was looking for a quick rebound trade and almost went there. Almost went TQQQ. But went with Lyft instead.

Just don't have a lot of money lying around, though I do have some safe haven plays(which didn't work out so well as a safe haven) which I could sell.
I think TQQQ would be the better play (over Lyft, which had a pretty bad earnings report). However, you need to hold TQQQ for a while to get a significant return. It's a market trend play. Whether inflation ticks down next week or next month, we are then off to the races! :)
 
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Crypto is being treated as technology play more than anything else at this stage. That’s why it’s follow NASDAQ.
the Bitcoin protections are based on models of adoption by institutions and a big part of the model is a store of value instead of gold which I’m highly skeptical on. The former Carries a ton of weight but for now I see these large institutions throwing their capital at investments in crypto related firms and seeing what takes
Off there rather than the coins/tokens/NFTs right now:
Time will tell
 
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Today's price action was fairly predictable. And yet, I didn't pull the trigger on my AMD premarket sell order. 🤦 I did purchase more TQQQ and UPRO at the close though...and am up 91% on the 90 put contracts I sold last Friday.
 
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Today's price action was fairly predictable. And yet, I didn't pull the trigger on my AMD premarket sell order. 🤦 I did purchase more TQQQ and UPRO at the close though...and am up 91% on the 90 put contracts I sold last Friday.
On put contracts you sold? Which ones?

I'll admit though I didn't think a massive sell off was coming. Some give back off yesterdays rally sure, but not 5% on the nasdaq.
 
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On put contracts you sold? Which ones?

I'll admit though I didn't think a massive sell off was coming. Some give back off yesterdays rally sure, but not 5% on the nasdaq.
The swing from yesterday morning to afternoon to today was insanely profitable for volatility traders
 
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On put contracts you sold? Which ones?

I'll admit though I didn't think a massive sell off was coming. Some give back off yesterdays rally sure, but not 5% on the nasdaq.
For clarification, I thought there would be profit taking in the AM and then a mild afternoon recovery, but still down for the day; not the blood bath we experienced.

So...I sold the May 6th $90 strike puts at $5.20 per contract in the mid-morning on 4/29. If I had waited 'til market close those options were trading at roughly $7.20 per contract. Anyhow, I have a core holding, which I rarely touch, but will supplement by selling puts and occasionally covered calls.
 
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Novogratz (on CNBC) says we will go through a painful stagflation period, and that the NASDAQ and Bitcoin will not perform well. Looks like reality is setting in. He said the “amazing ride was fueled by cheap money”, which hits the nail on the head.
 
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Novogratz (on CNBC) says we will go through a painful stagflation period, and that the NASDAQ and Bitcoin will not perform well. Looks like reality is setting in. He said the “amazing ride was fueled by cheap money”, which hits the nail on the head.
The DAQ will be fine and back to ATHs in short order. As for BTC and crypto, it's cycle includes long consolidation periods which may last up to 2 years. We shall see. The next BTC halfing won't happen until 2024. These events normally trigger bull runs.
 
Novogratz (on CNBC) says we will go through a painful stagflation period, and that the NASDAQ and Bitcoin will not perform well. Looks like reality is setting in. He said the “amazing ride was fueled by cheap money”, which hits the nail on the head.
He said the same thing at the SALT even in the Bahamas and he actually countered Cathy wood on the $1mm projection of Bitcoin she modeled
 
It was obvious that Trump was playing to Putin to keep him close to the west. The old saying, keep your friends close but your enemies closer. Trumps strategy was to keep russia close enough that they could be an effective counterweight to China. Of course at the time the democrats were carping about russian bogeymen everywhere so the alliance was never able to develop.
Bottom line, we had peace and stability in the United States foreign and domestic affairs under Trump and now we have neither under Biden and have a humanitarian crises developing all because Biden is weak.
The Markets are going down because more and more people by the day are losing confidence in Biden. The big drops have not come yet but they are on the way. Buckle up!
posted 2/23/22
 
The DAQ will be fine and back to ATHs in short order. As for BTC and crypto, it's cycle includes long consolidation periods which may last up to 2 years. We shall see. The next BTC halfing won't happen until 2024. These events normally trigger bull runs.
If it’s not a store of value, not a currency replacement, and trades in tandem with tech stocks yet has no underlying business, what’s the catalyst for the bull run? Is it simply a matter of less supply due to Whale consolidation and the halving taking place in 2024 that gives rise to the next big pump and dump? Where is the adoption? The scale? Use cases? People love to point out that institutions are apparently interested in “investing” in crypto yet that’s all driven by financial firms looking to develop new revenue streams in the form of fees. Has a single thing crypto pumpers have said so far come true?
 
FYI - More big downside ahead Thanks to Biden and the e
No politics, please.
Come on Pinehurst. The entire stock market is imploding because of what Biden is doing and you don't want to talk about it in an investing thread? BTW more downside to come.
 
FYI - More big downside ahead Thanks to Biden and the e

Come on Pinehurst. The entire stock market is imploding because of what Biden is doing and you don't want to talk about it in an investing thread? BTW more downside to come.
The market downturn is far more complicated than pinning it on the current administration. This is global. Take your blinders off and learn a little about macroeconomics.
 
The market downturn is far more complicated than pinning it on the current administration. This is global. Take your blinders off and learn a little about macroeconomics.
Nut, The U.S. is not the world. The U.S. leads the world. The world is following the U.S. and MOST of the economic issues we are having today are directly related to the current policies and lack of confidence in the current administration. It is you who needs to take the blinders off and stop acting like the administration isn't responsible for the current serious economic issues facing our country and leading the market down the drain.
 
@T2Kplus20

Tom Lee taking a beating on CNBC. But not backing down.
Tom Lee = The Man, Myth, and Legend!

All bulls unite. :)

giphy.gif
 
Nut, The U.S. is not the world. The U.S. leads the world. The world is following the U.S. and MOST of the economic issues we are having today are directly related to the current policies and lack of confidence in the current administration. It is you who needs to take the blinders off and stop acting like the administration isn't responsible for the current serious economic issues facing our country and leading the market down the drain.
Sorry but you're wrong. The economy still has the COVID blues (free cash dating back to the previous administration, supply chain issues, now reaggravated by China's shutdown of Shanghai), the Fed printing money artificially inflating the market, Ukraine war (putting pressure on food prices, natural gas, and oil). I will admit it was a strategic mistake to reduce oil production when this administration took office instead of tapering when real alternatives became viable and plentiful. The U.S. is the leading economy in the world but it is entwined in global economics. What goes on in what may seem distant parts of the world affects us here.
 
Sorry but you're wrong. The economy still has the COVID blues (free cash dating back to the previous administration, supply chain issues, now reaggravated by China's shutdown of Shanghai), the Fed printing money artificially inflating the market, Ukraine war (putting pressure on food prices, natural gas, and oil). I will admit it was a strategic mistake to reduce oil production when this administration took office instead of tapering when real alternatives became viable and plentiful. The U.S. is the leading economy in the world but it is entwined in global economics. What goes on in what may seem distant parts of the world affects us here.
Biden is failing and flailing! It is his policies which set the tone and he is failing miserably. President Trump had our economy on a rock solid path and had the election not been stolen he would continue to have our economy on a rock solid path. President dementia is not getting it done and the mid terms are our first chance for a major course correction....Or the economy and markets are going to continue to go down.
 
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Biden is failing and flailing! It is his policies which set the tone and he is failing miserably. President Trump had our economy on a rock solid path and had the election not been stolen he would continue to have our economy on a rock solid path. President dementia is not getting it done and the mid terms are our first chance for a major course correction....Or the economy and markets are going to continue to go down.
You planning on a career change, or a lay off, considering people are fleeing the stock market. You have two and half years left under President Biden. Are you advising your people to leave the market until Biden leaves office?
 
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