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OT: Stock and Investment Talk

PLTR with another nice day. This has been a company that was thought to walk hand and hand with our gov't/military. Most defense stocks have ripped since beggining of last year, but PLTR, because it was non profitable, was caught in that downward vortex. But now that it's profitable?

Just a little above it's direct offering price back from 2020.
 
PLTR with another nice day. This has been a company that was thought to walk hand and hand with our gov't/military. Most defense stocks have ripped since beggining of last year, but PLTR, because it was non profitable, was caught in that downward vortex. But now that it's profitable?

Just a little above it's direct offering price back from 2020.
This is what happens when a "spec tech" play finally turns a profit. Hope other companies are taking note.
 
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See a couple stocks jumping this morning, ABNB, as they have surpassed precovid levels in terms of nightly reservations(or whatever the metric, was talked about on JB's youtube podcast yesterday).

RBLX being another.
RBLX was one of those empirical buys that I made when I continued to see my then 10 yr old daughter continue to play Roblox even though the pandemic eased in the summer of 21. I think that I bought in the 80’s and stopped loss on the round trip for a tiny profit.

It’s a great offering because we continue to make 7-11 yr old customers. Might be worth a re-entry if it stabilizes in the 40’s.

I’ve had it on my swing trade watch list because of its support resistance line of ~35
 
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Gold's been selling off in a big way.

Maybe an oppurtunity?
NEM is loved by many, so if you are looking for a long term play, you can buy and hold and clip the 4% coupons.

If you want to buy gold mining co’s then look at their AISC metrics (all in sustaining cost- which measures mining expenses) as a way to measure one co against another.
 
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RBLX was one of those empirical buys that I made when I continued to see my then 10 yr old daughter continue to play Roblox even though the pandemic eased in the summer of 21. I think that I bought in the 80’s and stopped loss on the round trip for a tiny profit.

It’s a great offering because we continue to make 7-11 yr old customers. Might be worth a re-entry if it stabilizes in the 40’s.

I’ve had it on my swing trade watch list because of its support resistance line of ~35
RBLX has a great product, but it’s not a great business yet. Gonna figure out how to do everything profitably. That’s a challenge. We own RBLX as part of my daughter’s investment account. We gave her $1k to invest and learn and that is one of the stocks she chose. Great timing! She’s up about 30%. LOL!
 
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RBLX has a great product, but it’s not a great business yet. Gonna figure out how to do everything profitably. That’s a challenge. We own RBLX as part of my daughter’s investment account. We gave her $1k to invest and learn and that is one of the stocks she chose. Great timing! She’s up about 30%. LOL!
I think that is a great thing to do. I started buying stocks for both of my kids at their 7th year as part of their Christmas presents and buy tickers that they know. It gets them to think about investing, something that is an anathema to kids these days who want instant gratification.
 
I think that is a great thing to do. I started buying stocks for both of my kids at their 7th year as part of their Christmas presents and buy tickers that they know. It gets them to think about investing, something that is an anathema to kids these days who want instant gratification.
Agreed. Best to start early! Our little one (5th grade) picked companies she knows and likes. Roblox, Apple, Disney, Chipotle, Google/Alphabet, McDonalds, and Starbucks. Also she chose VTI via my recommendation so she can track the entire market. Lots of fun! She’s beating the S&P by a wide margin so far.

Haven’t taught her about leveraged etfs yet!!! :)
 
Agreed. Best to start early! Our little one (5th grade) picked companies she knows and likes. Roblox, Apple, Disney, Chipotle, Google/Alphabet, McDonalds, and Starbucks. Also she chose VTI via my recommendation so she can track the entire market. Lots of fun! She’s beating the S&P by a wide margin so far.

Haven’t taught her about leveraged etfs yet!!! :)

Totally agree. Start early and review macro and micro economic news relevant to the stock, as well as geopolitical impacts. My kids also picked some stocks they knew, which helped them keep interested. Also when the market has big swings point them out and teach them the market doesn’t move upward in a linear fashion. They didn’t freak out at the early Covid drop or most recent decline because they had had some exposure and awareness to 2008-2009.
 
Anyone observing the failures of local eateries? I live in a small college town in the mountains of northwestern NC. We get a fair share of tourists, too. We've experienced ten or more restaurants/eateries close over the last couple months including a Krispy Kreme. Even an IHOP failed during Covid and that space was vacant for the better part of two years. It's now newly occupied by a "high-end" biscuit joint (yes, $15 biscuits, LOL). Anyway, curious to know what you're seeing locally in your areas. I suspect these failed eateries represent "canaries in the coal mine" to a degree. Your observations?
 
Anyone observing the failures of local eateries? I live in a small college town in the mountains of northwestern NC. We get a fair share of tourists, too. We've experienced ten or more restaurants/eateries close over the last couple months including a Krispy Kreme. Even an IHOP failed during Covid and that space was vacant for the better part of two years. It's now newly occupied by a "high-end" biscuit joint (yes, $15 biscuits, LOL). Anyway, curious to know what you're seeing locally in your areas. I suspect these failed eateries represent "canaries in the coal mines" to a degree. Your observations?
Yes, have seen the same. It's hard for restaurants to get workers.
 
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Anyone observing the failures of local eateries? I live in a small college town in the mountains of northwestern NC. We get a fair share of tourists, too. We've experienced ten or more restaurants/eateries close over the last couple months including a Krispy Kreme. Even an IHOP failed during Covid and that space was vacant for the better part of two years. It's now newly occupied by a "high-end" biscuit joint (yes, $15 biscuits, LOL). Anyway, curious to know what you're seeing locally in your areas. I suspect these failed eateries represent "canaries in the coal mine" to a degree. Your observations?
There’s a diner near me that remains closed because they lost their head chef and haven’t been able to replace him.

Similar story with a higher end gastro pub but that is due to ownership that is often leaving the lights off for various reasons. Though i did hear a restaurant is coming in off the highway (crappy spot imo plus ownership there is supposedly pretty difficult). to take that space.

Had a burger king close and that is now a starbucks.

This is probably all pretty normal though.
 
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I wouldn’t say that. But its not coming down as fast as some had thought.
Agreed. Inflation coming down nicely, especially when using real time housing metrics. PPI came in really weird last month. I think it was -0.5% MoM and then substantially updated. It’s a wonky print that bounces around.
 
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Agreed. Inflation coming done nicely, especially when using real time housing metrics. PPI came in really weird last month. I think it was -0.5% MoM and then substantially updated. It’s a wonky print that bounces around.
And i think soft landing was always going to include inflation coming down gradually.

Didn’t think we could get a rapid drop in inflation without the economy tanking.

At least this has been my thought since transitory was taken off the table.
 
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And i think soft landing was always going to include inflation coming down gradually.

Didn’t think we could get a rapid drop in inflation without the economy tanking.

At least this has been my thought since transitory was taken off the table.
Funny thing about the transitory story. Looking back 5-10 years from now, I bet it will be concluded that inflation was transitory. It was starting to cool in the summer of 2021, but then we got hit with delta and omicron. Lock downs continued, governments spent even more money and then Putin went Putin.

Inflation has been gone since the summer. Just takes a while for the math to catch up, especially when using YoY. Think about the math:

Say inflation was raging at 10% for a full year. Then, in January of the next year it instantly drops to 2%. How long will be take for the math to catch up and match reality (i.e., 2% print)?

MoM is a different story and is impacted by the lag and quality of individual metrics.
 
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Funny thing about the transitory story. Looking back 5-10 years from now, I bet it will be concluded that inflation was transitory. It was starting to cool in the summer of 2021, but then we got hit with delta and omicron. Lock downs continued, governments spent even more money and then Putin went Putin.

Inflation has been gone since the summer. Just takes a while for the math to catch up, especially when using YoY. Think about the math:

Say inflation was raging at 10% for a full year. Then, in January of the next year it instantly drops to 2%. How long will be take for the math to catch up and match reality (i.e., 2% print)?

MoM is a different story and is impacted by the lag and quality of individual metrics.
This was a chart I saw on twitter of someone saying it sure looks transitory. Now I’m not gonna pretend to know if hes right but still interesting

 
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I wouldn’t say that. But its not coming down as fast as some had thought.
revolving debt/credit is high and up. Fed needs to hit this.

You want to slow the economy and manage the spending then you hit credit. Raising rates is slow and so 18th century:) all kidding aside, raise reserve requirement, hit balance sheet items and force banks to restrict revolving credit. People are living off of credit
 
I own reits and everyone should. There has been no better investment during our lifetime for consistent returns and portfolio growth through drip. No they are not Yahoo, Google etc but different goal with these

I think this is on point for the most part
REITS are great dividend plays. They are required by law to distribute 90% of their taxable profits. You do need to look at the NAV to determine how well you did. Usually, the dividends more than offset a decline in principal.
 
This morning was a great time to sell call options. Sold TSLA May $300 call options for $8.25. Easy money.
Wow, that’s actually a really good premium you collected. I would write some premiums too but I would worry that Elon announces a model redesign between now and May.
 
Wow, that’s actually a really good premium you collected. I would write some premiums too but I would worry that Elon announces a model redesign between now and May.
They already did. Not sure that’s a positive because it will further erode margins
 
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