OT: Stock and Investment Talk
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Tesla energy:https://stockdividendscreener.com/auto-manufacturers/tesla-energy-products-revenue/#F1
Giga Mexico (next gen platform)breaks ground this year.
6% of revs. Not nothing. But not significant.
They just turned started to turn a profit not sure about long term margin projections.
A lot of bear talk about ENPH is the competition coming from TSLA. Not sure of the details and whether this is about projections or current sales, but it seems like a meaningful headwind.
Turned a profit with Lathrop operations currently at ~25% capacity (still ramping). A 2nd 40 GWh facility coming on line in Shanghai next year. More to come after that. If you believe the grid is getting greener and demand for electricity will escalate, there will be a quasi-infinite demand for energy storage. Tesla energy will eventually surpass vehicles on GWh deployed. A recession proof energy provider.
I know none of this is sexy for the guys looking at next quarter, but for buy and hold guys like me, Tesla energy will eventually become the foundation of the company, especially in rocky macro environments.
Feb $200 puts. $1.50?
Can probably double your money there:) (definitely worth a check back though on Thursday).
$200 puts? What duration?
Wondering about a Aug 25 play for just in or out of the money. I guess we need to wait to see the premiums on Tues or Wed.
FYI, moved my MARA calls back to Jan 2024. Next possible court decision date is Tuesday. Seems very likely to drop by end of Aug.
I guess everyone has the same idea. :)
Nvidia options show traders positioned for outsized share move after earnings
REUTERS
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Traders in the U.S. equity options market are expecting a larger-than-usual swing in Nvidia's (NVDA.NaE) shares following the chipmaker's quarterly results after the close on Wednesday, options market data showed.
Nvidia (NVDA.NaE) options imply a nearly 11% swing for the shares, in either direction, by Friday, according to Trade Alert data.
A move of that magnitude would be larger than the 8.6% average swing on the day after the chipmaker's results over the last eight quarters, but still well below the 24.4% jump after the last earnings report.
The stock has gained about 11% in the last seven sessions, taking its year-to-date gains to about 210%, and has drawn options bets on further gains.
For contracts expiring this week, Nvidia (NVDA.NaE) call options that would make money if the stock climbed more than 9% by Friday to above $500, were the largest block of open options, with some 19,000 contracts open.
Still, some strategists cautioned against chasing further gains in the stock.
"A lot of good news is baked into this," Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said.
"The stock moves on earnings but you can't just assume it only moves up," he said.
Nvidia options show traders positioned for outsized share move after earnings
REUTERS
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Traders in the U.S. equity options market are expecting a larger-than-usual swing in Nvidia's (NVDA.NaE) shares following the chipmaker's quarterly results after the close on Wednesday, options market data showed.
Nvidia (NVDA.NaE) options imply a nearly 11% swing for the shares, in either direction, by Friday, according to Trade Alert data.
A move of that magnitude would be larger than the 8.6% average swing on the day after the chipmaker's results over the last eight quarters, but still well below the 24.4% jump after the last earnings report.
The stock has gained about 11% in the last seven sessions, taking its year-to-date gains to about 210%, and has drawn options bets on further gains.
For contracts expiring this week, Nvidia (NVDA.NaE) call options that would make money if the stock climbed more than 9% by Friday to above $500, were the largest block of open options, with some 19,000 contracts open.
Still, some strategists cautioned against chasing further gains in the stock.
"A lot of good news is baked into this," Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said.
"The stock moves on earnings but you can't just assume it only moves up," he said.
Reports that Fed officials are getting nervous about truly f'ing up the housing market with mortgage rates skyrocketing. Dovish speech on Friday by Powell?
Thanks to the Fed causing mortgage rates to skyrocket. Supply of existing homes on the market is rock bottom because nobody is willing to trade in a 3% mortgage for a 7%.
Time to cut rates and get mortgages down to 5%'ish. Then you will see the market get flooded and prices go down.
Why would the feds lower rates? They want to cool things… remember “demand destruction”. They are getting what they want.
I'm more worried about the midsized bank balance sheets as they continue to lend and reserves are low. rising rates are hurting them
not worried about housing, supply to low to really kill it and it going down slows the economy which is needed
Because high inflation is gone and they can move back to a neutral position. They also know that they are causing home prices to stay elevated due to existing homeowners refusing to sell.
They screwed up a bunch of regional banks already and as you pointed out, increasing rates will threaten other banks. Are they really this stupid?
Do you know that CPI YoY Headline is 0.5% and CPI YoY Core is 1.5% if you use real-time shelter metrics instead of the garbage CPI shelter OER? Where is this high inflation everyone was talking about?
F’ing up the housing market meaning it’s going up or not going down? Not following
F'ing up the housing market is due to the Fed caused imbalance in supply vs demand which is making house prices remain elevated. Nobody is selling existing homes since mortgage rates went from super low to now super high.
The Fed's actions are causing the opposite effect they were hoping for.
2nd derivative. Housing is not going up at the same rate as before. Prices are not coming down but not increasing like 2021 and 2022. If Fed’s can soften the employment market, prices will come down.
You would think these Fed and policymaker morons could figure out a way to address what is really another housing crisis in disguise. I mentioned the idea of a mobile mortgage a while back on this thread and shockingly they were talking about it on CNBC yesterday. All of this was created by a completely overblown COVID response by flooding the market with money, suspending loan and rent payments, etc. Remember how many businesses were gonna close, jobs lost, all out Armageddon? Instead workers simply worked from home and viable businesses took PPP money they didn’t need. I find it funny (or sad) how the local businesses I supported during the pandemic return the favor by jacking up prices by 30%+ and many have done massive renovations. They are making more money than ever.
The Fed can't soften the employment market. Also, if rates go up more (10y or Fed Funds) the housing market imbalance will just get worse. Gotta start cutting for things to get better.
+1
COVID supply chain disruptions and gov'ment overspending caused the spike in inflation.
If the real time metrics show inflation is as low as you say, then maybe the fed doesn't need to cut rates in order to free up the housing market?
Not true. Remember, inflation and high prices are two very different things. Inflation can literally be 0%, but high prices still remain. This is the issue with the housing market. Prices should have gone down a lot if not for the Fed induced supply imbalance. Keeping mortgage rates at 7%+ will not improve anything.
Not sure if it's intended or not, but a consequence of existing housing sales being so low is it encourages new home construction, which is, or course, an increase of actual housing supply, not just homes for sale.
breaking housing is good for the economy. Housing is being artificially inflated due to supply and pricing needs to align with rates. In addition, need to cool things off all over and housing drives the biggest part of the bus
Today feels like the earnings Super Bowl with NVDA (and SNOW as well). Nice to see companies get rewarded for solid performance.
How can this happen? Raising rates is making the problem worse not better. Until existing homeowners start selling, the housing market is stuck.
Big day for sure.
I think NVDA might have more of an AAPL response.
SNOW? Tanked on earnings last qtr, quickly rebounded, but then gave it all back. 21x rev's, which sounds like a lot given 33% rev growth.
Seems like both will beat expectations, but can either go meaningfully higher right now? I guess if NVDA raises next Q guidance again, yes it could.
I would love an opportunity to buy SNOW after a dip.
It's really high relative to 1930's housing prices too.
But to your point.
Housing Prices - HPI vs CPI — Banking Strategist
www.bankingstrategist.com
