In regard to point 2, the preference is the B1G then SEC. That's not debatebaleFalse on the Money.
Everyone can agree on ESPN doing what makes $$$ for them and taking advantage of it.
1) The B12 contract was based off of the additions of the Cincy, UCF, Houston and BYU. Utah, Colorado, ASU, Arizona did not renegotiate. ESPN was willing to pay the B12 amount each since those schools were worth more. B12 contract slightly undervalued - not a significant amount since you are splitting the money 16 ways, but still a couple of million. This comes up for renegotiation in 2031. Toward the tail end of this contract they are making more than the ACC even if ESPN picks up the ACC contract. And then the Big12 gets a bump. 380M/year(16 schools) from 2025 to 2031(currently 200M/year). ACC deal is 240M/year(14 schools) (i believe not counting ACC Network). The new additions are getting similar shares - although SMU,Stanford and Cal coming for free so other schools can bridge the gap)
2) I think everyone can agree FSU and Clemson are leaving. Maybe not the B10 or SEC but to the Big12, Independent or something else. Most people scream that FSU didn't do all this to just to go to the Big12, but for certain i they definitely didn't do all this to stay in the ACC till 2036. FSU will rather get screwed in money than allow the ACC to continue like if nothing is going on. They will leave. ESPN will not renew the the ACC deal without FSU and Clemson. But even if they did, the Big12 is making more and gets another Bump in 2031. I think FSU goes to the Big12 with the hopes of joining the P2 in the future. The Big12 will give them some unequal revenue sharing. Big12 wants to kill the ACC.
3) B12 going all in on maximizing their money. This might all backfire eventually, but in the short term they will be making more. They don't care if the B12 gets- renamed to Kellogg's Cereal Conference. ACC will not do that.
ACC is status quo on money or making less if somehow FSU can leave.
Big12 will be making more as of 2025(payouts in 2027) and they will sell their underwear to make more money. They will give FSU unequal revenue sharing. The Big12 sees the ACC gutting as ensuring their survival (I personally disagree with this), but this is how they see it.
I wish the ACC and PAc12 would have gutted the Big12 years ago to ensure 4 strong conferences even if the B10 and SEC were ahead. But it clearly seems the Big12 will be the lone 3rd league with the ACC a distant 4th.
Winners
Cincy
UCF
BYU
Houston
Iowa St
Kansas St
Losers
Oregon St
Wash St
Boston College
Syracuse
Wake Forest
Cal
Maybe Stanford
Anyone that doesn't get into the Big12
But the main goal is $$$
If that means going to the B12 and only being 5-10 million behind the SEC/B1G, they'll do it in a heartbeat
Need out of the ACC immediately