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OT: Winter Weather Advisories Up for Much of Area (2-4") for Sat am

@bac2therac
FYI:
Evening Update...Temperatures have dipped to near 32 degrees this evening, and pavements have struggled to cover up to this point. Nevertheless, snowfall rates have ramped up significantly over the last hour, beginning to cover most surfaces. A bulk
of the snow total will come now through midnight with nearly continuous moderate to heavy snow (with 1"/hr likely) for a majority of the area. That being said, 10 PM to Midnight, southern areas likely transition to a wintry mix with sleet and rain, before ending by 2 - 4 AM early Monday. As it ends, it could briefly flip back to snow with additional coatings... Overall, with the mixing arriving from S to N, the southern part of the country has a higher chance to be closer to 3 or 4", while the northern portion likely finisheson the higher end (6 or 7"). It will be a very wet snow, and as winds increase a bit through the event, a few downed trees / power outages are possible.

Let's see what happens.
 
@bac2therac
FYI:
Evening Update...Temperatures have dipped to near 32 degrees this evening, and pavements have struggled to cover up to this point. Nevertheless, snowfall rates have ramped up significantly over the last hour, beginning to cover most surfaces. A bulk
of the snow total will come now through midnight with nearly continuous moderate to heavy snow (with 1"/hr likely) for a majority of the area. That being said, 10 PM to Midnight, southern areas likely transition to a wintry mix with sleet and rain, before ending by 2 - 4 AM early Monday. As it ends, it could briefly flip back to snow with additional coatings... Overall, with the mixing arriving from S to N, the southern part of the country has a higher chance to be closer to 3 or 4", while the northern portion likely finisheson the higher end (6 or 7"). It will be a very wet snow, and as winds increase a bit through the event, a few downed trees / power outages are possible.

Let's see what happens.


I think this is a good analysis for the county....8 to the north to 4 or 5 to the south..anywhere in between that....not sure about the rain/sleet being a factor and that changeover althought the NAM just out is onto that idea. but this looks over by maybe even 3am. I have about an inch on paved and 1.5 on grass, we lost about an inch of snow due to rain at the start but should be getting into the heavier echoes over the next 3 hours that could drop an inch an hour, that will be the worst of the storm.
 
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I think this is a good analysis for the county....8 to the north to 4 or 5 to the south..anywhere in between that....not sure about the rain/sleet being a factor and that changeover althought the NAM just out is onto that idea. but this looks over by maybe even 3am. I have about an inch on paved and 1.5 on grass, we lost about an inch of snow due to rain at the start but should be getting into the heavier echoes over the next 3 hours that could drop an inch an hour, that will be the worst of the storm.
Definitely under-performed, only about 3 inches on pavement, roads down to black top. Barely anything south of us.
 
Yep..had trouble sticking to pavement and likely compressing during the storm. .paved surfaces less than grassy surfaces just as i anticipated
 
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